Texas 34th Congressional District, Texas: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 647,5752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,5152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 33.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 89.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+21 in 1952MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: VELA, Filemon (2021–2023), FLORES, Mayra (2021–2023), VELA, Filemon (2019–2021), VELA, Filemon (2017–2019)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 81,299 | 90,757 | 173,613 | ||
| D | 97,135 | 74,488 | 173,451 | ||
| D | 90,361 | 44,773 | 140,888 | ||
| D | 77,148 | 39,281 | 117,678 | ||
| D | 74,515 | 40,347 | 115,650 | ||
| D | 53,295 | 52,198 | 106,001 | ||
| D | 52,773 | 41,546 | 95,866 | ||
| D | 54,723 | 27,901 | 87,315 | ||
| D | 47,783 | 30,738 | 92,165 | ||
| D | 50,013 | 36,125 | 86,674 | ||
| R | 42,908 | 44,398 | 87,596 | ||
| D | 38,084 | 33,655 | 73,436 | ||
| D | 40,933 | 25,498 | 66,960 | ||
| R | 22,805 | 32,952 | 55,982 | ||
| D | 26,230 | 18,555 | 48,461 | ||
| D | 27,119 | 14,654 | 41,878 | ||
| D | 21,945 | 16,329 | 38,342 | ||
| R | 14,411 | 18,392 | 33,138 | ||
| R | 13,859 | 21,333 | 35,234 | ||
| D | 11,867 | 7,283 | 19,800 | ||
| D | 9,719 | 7,324 | 17,962 | ||
| D | 10,306 | 5,522 | 15,872 | ||
| D | 9,770 | 3,288 | 13,362 | ||
| D | 11,892 | 2,815 | 14,811 | ||
| R | 5,182 | 5,515 | 10,712 | ||
| D | 4,020 | 1,779 | 6,243 | ||
| D | 1,889 | 1,302 | 3,262 | ||
| D | 2,058 | 586 | 2,731 | ||
| D | 2,478 | 161 | 2,802 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 44.6% | 53.1% | 11,291,854 |
| 2020 | R | 43.9% | 53.5% | 11,144,040 |
| 2018 | R | 48.3% | 50.9% | 8,371,655 |
| 2014 | R | 34.4% | 61.6% | 4,648,358 |
| 2012 | R | 40.6% | 56.5% | 7,864,822 |
| 2008 | R | 42.8% | 54.8% | 7,912,075 |
| 2006 | R | 36.0% | 61.7% | 4,314,663 |
| 2002 | R | 43.3% | 55.3% | 4,514,012 |
| 2000 | R | 32.3% | 65.1% | 6,267,964 |
| 1996 | R | 43.9% | 54.8% | 5,527,441 |
| 1994 | R | 38.3% | 60.8% | 4,279,940 |
| 1990 | R | 37.4% | 60.2% | 3,822,157 |
| 1988 | D | 59.2% | 40.0% | 5,323,606 |
| 1984 | R | 41.4% | 58.5% | 5,314,178 |
| 1982 | D | 58.6% | 40.5% | 3,103,167 |
| 1978 | R | 49.3% | 49.8% | 2,312,540 |
| 1976 | D | 56.8% | 42.2% | 3,874,230 |
Demographics
Stretching along the Rio Grande from Laredo to the Gulf Coast, TX-34 backed Democrats by double digits as recently as 2020 before swinging R+12.1 in 2024, making it one of the cycle's most dramatic margin reversals among majority-Hispanic districts.
The Democratic margin in Texas 34th Congressional District peaked at eighty-three points in 1912. By 2024 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $53,515 sits well below state and national norms, and 25% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Congressional District 34, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4834/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.