- Lead
- 13,953
- Total
- 121,678
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- 48.2%
Nueces County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.2% of 253,003 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,692
- Total
- 127,322
- vs nation
- R+7.4
- Turnout
- 49.9%
- Lead
- 1,568
- Total
- 104,405
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Turnout
- 41.7%
- Lead
- 3,194
- Total
- 96,104
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,479
- Total
- 101,230
- vs nation
- R+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,920
- Total
- 104,560
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,557
- Total
- 97,326
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12,539
- Total
- 93,168
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 352,9552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,8972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 62.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+14.3 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Yakima County, WA · twin score 92.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 48.2%121,970 participants ÷ 253,003 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.2%–39.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 104,405 | 250,080 | 41.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 95,108 | 253,310 | 37.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 127,314 | 254,999 | 49.9% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 89,855 | 250,306 | 35.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 121,970 | 253,003 | 48.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
131 precincts · 121,678 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 126Precinct 126 | 1,520 | 2,541 | 38 | 4,099 | 37.1% | 62.0% | R+24.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 1,175 | 1,924 | 28 | 3,127 | 37.6% | 61.5% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 40Precinct 40 | 756 | 2,335 | 36 | 3,127 | 24.2% | 74.7% | R+50.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 107Precinct 107 | 801 | 2,223 | 25 | 3,049 | 26.3% | 72.9% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 81Precinct 81 | 754 | 2,145 | 38 | 2,937 | 25.7% | 73.0% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 122Precinct 122 | 797 | 1,979 | 27 | 2,803 | 28.4% | 70.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 67Precinct 67 | 1,171 | 1,437 | 24 | 2,632 | 44.5% | 54.6% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 116Precinct 116 | 1,273 | 1,319 | 28 | 2,620 | 48.6% | 50.3% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 1,152 | 1,338 | 26 | 2,516 | 45.8% | 53.2% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 641 | 1,643 | 31 | 2,315 | 27.7% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 992 | 1,270 | 28 | 2,290 | 43.3% | 55.5% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 65Precinct 65 | 974 | 1,146 | 38 | 2,158 | 45.1% | 53.1% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 129Precinct 129 | 897 | 1,172 | 23 | 2,092 | 42.9% | 56.0% | R+13.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 125Precinct 125 | 863 | 1,194 | 15 | 2,072 | 41.7% | 57.6% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 117Precinct 117 | 538 | 1,474 | 22 | 2,034 | 26.5% | 72.5% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 91Precinct 91 | 943 | 1,026 | 23 | 1,992 | 47.3% | 51.5% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 124Precinct 124 | 872 | 1,096 | 13 | 1,981 | 44.0% | 55.3% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 586 | 1,363 | 24 | 1,973 | 29.7% | 69.1% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 128Precinct 128 | 830 | 1,052 | 19 | 1,901 | 43.7% | 55.3% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 697 | 1,160 | 6 | 1,863 | 37.4% | 62.3% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 599 | 1,236 | 17 | 1,852 | 32.3% | 66.7% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 119Precinct 119 | 756 | 1,060 | 21 | 1,837 | 41.2% | 57.7% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 969 | 675 | 10 | 1,654 | 58.6% | 40.8% | D+17.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 815 | 807 | 16 | 1,638 | 49.8% | 49.3% | D+0.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 338 | 1,233 | 11 | 1,582 | 21.4% | 77.9% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 540 | 997 | 14 | 1,551 | 34.8% | 64.3% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8APrecinct 8A | 619 | 904 | 19 | 1,542 | 40.1% | 58.6% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 63Precinct 63 | 677 | 798 | 16 | 1,491 | 45.4% | 53.5% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 455 | 1,020 | 11 | 1,486 | 30.6% | 68.6% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 711 | 716 | 18 | 1,445 | 49.2% | 49.6% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 88Precinct 88 | 635 | 756 | 19 | 1,410 | 45.0% | 53.6% | R+8.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 93Precinct 93 | 787 | 578 | 13 | 1,378 | 57.1% | 41.9% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 123Precinct 123 | 431 | 933 | 8 | 1,372 | 31.4% | 68.0% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 118Precinct 118 | 723 | 606 | 23 | 1,352 | 53.5% | 44.8% | D+8.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 112Precinct 112 | 643 | 700 | 5 | 1,348 | 47.7% | 51.9% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 127Precinct 127 | 373 | 900 | 11 | 1,284 | 29.0% | 70.1% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 106Precinct 106 | 620 | 635 | 15 | 1,270 | 48.8% | 50.0% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 713 | 531 | 11 | 1,255 | 56.8% | 42.3% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 70Precinct 70 | 682 | 515 | 14 | 1,211 | 56.3% | 42.5% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 412 | 784 | 6 | 1,202 | 34.3% | 65.2% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 120Precinct 120 | 540 | 613 | 12 | 1,165 | 46.4% | 52.6% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 92APrecinct 92A | 591 | 549 | 21 | 1,161 | 50.9% | 47.3% | D+3.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32 | 562 | 589 | 5 | 1,156 | 48.6% | 51.0% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 94Precinct 94 | 586 | 511 | 12 | 1,109 | 52.8% | 46.1% | D+6.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 115Precinct 115 | 498 | 569 | 16 | 1,083 | 46.0% | 52.5% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 489 | 577 | 15 | 1,081 | 45.2% | 53.4% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 366 | 591 | 7 | 964 | 38.0% | 61.3% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 69Precinct 69 | 522 | 420 | 9 | 951 | 54.9% | 44.2% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 159 | 684 | 4 | 847 | 18.8% | 80.8% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 48Precinct 48 | 443 | 377 | 14 | 834 | 53.1% | 45.2% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 59Precinct 59 | 465 | 359 | 9 | 833 | 55.8% | 43.1% | D+12.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 51Precinct 51 | 419 | 401 | 10 | 830 | 50.5% | 48.3% | D+2.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 121Precinct 121 | 418 | 397 | 11 | 826 | 50.6% | 48.1% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 87Precinct 87 | 406 | 387 | 10 | 803 | 50.6% | 48.2% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 368 | 427 | 4 | 799 | 46.1% | 53.4% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 110Precinct 110 | 274 | 493 | 9 | 776 | 35.3% | 63.5% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 75Precinct 75 | 502 | 232 | 10 | 744 | 67.5% | 31.2% | D+36.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 58Precinct 58 | 411 | 320 | 9 | 740 | 55.5% | 43.2% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 72Precinct 72 | 423 | 312 | 4 | 739 | 57.2% | 42.2% | D+15.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 100Precinct 100 | 294 | 408 | 6 | 708 | 41.5% | 57.6% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 66Precinct 66 | 394 | 307 | 7 | 708 | 55.6% | 43.4% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 330 | 357 | 9 | 696 | 47.4% | 51.3% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 98Precinct 98 | 489 | 198 | 7 | 694 | 70.5% | 28.5% | D+41.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 78Precinct 78 | 447 | 229 | 4 | 680 | 65.7% | 33.7% | D+32.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 54Precinct 54 | 424 | 252 | 3 | 679 | 62.4% | 37.1% | D+25.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 49Precinct 49 | 197 | 468 | 1 | 666 | 29.6% | 70.3% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 71Precinct 71 | 416 | 229 | 9 | 654 | 63.6% | 35.0% | D+28.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 64Precinct 64 | 287 | 353 | 9 | 649 | 44.2% | 54.4% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 74Precinct 74 | 419 | 204 | 9 | 632 | 66.3% | 32.3% | D+34.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 37Precinct 37 | 373 | 252 | 6 | 631 | 59.1% | 39.9% | D+19.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 73Precinct 73 | 385 | 207 | 7 | 599 | 64.3% | 34.6% | D+29.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 111Precinct 111 | 197 | 373 | 9 | 579 | 34.0% | 64.4% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 80Precinct 80 | 385 | 181 | 6 | 572 | 67.3% | 31.6% | D+35.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 68Precinct 68 | 302 | 202 | 1 | 505 | 59.8% | 40.0% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 55Precinct 55 | 301 | 180 | 0 | 481 | 62.6% | 37.4% | D+25.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 79Precinct 79 | 306 | 164 | 9 | 479 | 63.9% | 34.2% | D+29.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 174 | 258 | 4 | 436 | 39.9% | 59.2% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 90Precinct 90 | 232 | 201 | 0 | 433 | 53.6% | 46.4% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 97Precinct 97 | 296 | 130 | 3 | 429 | 69.0% | 30.3% | D+38.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 36Precinct 36 | 212 | 213 | 1 | 426 | 49.8% | 50.0% | R+0.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 86Precinct 86 | 221 | 193 | 6 | 420 | 52.6% | 46.0% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 96Precinct 96 | 247 | 163 | 2 | 412 | 60.0% | 39.6% | D+20.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 237 | 159 | 4 | 400 | 59.3% | 39.8% | D+19.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 84Precinct 84 | 200 | 192 | 6 | 398 | 50.3% | 48.2% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 83Precinct 83 | 261 | 133 | 3 | 397 | 65.7% | 33.5% | D+32.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 105Precinct 105 | 237 | 145 | 6 | 388 | 61.1% | 37.4% | D+23.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 52Precinct 52 | 266 | 113 | 4 | 383 | 69.5% | 29.5% | D+39.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 57Precinct 57 | 197 | 183 | 2 | 382 | 51.6% | 47.9% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 95 | 269 | 5 | 369 | 25.7% | 72.9% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 56Precinct 56 | 222 | 137 | 4 | 363 | 61.2% | 37.7% | D+23.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 108Precinct 108 | 157 | 190 | 4 | 351 | 44.7% | 54.1% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 35Precinct 35 | 218 | 125 | 4 | 347 | 62.8% | 36.0% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 95Precinct 95 | 222 | 116 | 7 | 345 | 64.3% | 33.6% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 53Precinct 53 | 204 | 131 | 3 | 338 | 60.4% | 38.8% | D+21.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 131 | 200 | 4 | 335 | 39.1% | 59.7% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27 | 130 | 203 | 1 | 334 | 38.9% | 60.8% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 60Precinct 60 | 231 | 93 | 0 | 324 | 71.3% | 28.7% | D+42.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 151 | 159 | 3 | 313 | 48.2% | 50.8% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 89Precinct 89 | 142 | 166 | 2 | 310 | 45.8% | 53.5% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 178 | 129 | 2 | 309 | 57.6% | 41.7% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 62Precinct 62 | 187 | 114 | 2 | 303 | 61.7% | 37.6% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 165 | 137 | 0 | 302 | 54.6% | 45.4% | D+9.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 44Precinct 44 | 176 | 113 | 7 | 296 | 59.5% | 38.2% | D+21.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 50Precinct 50 | 160 | 128 | 2 | 290 | 55.2% | 44.1% | D+11.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 168 | 104 | 6 | 278 | 60.4% | 37.4% | D+23.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 114Precinct 114 | 139 | 127 | 3 | 269 | 51.7% | 47.2% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 61Precinct 61 | 197 | 71 | 0 | 268 | 73.5% | 26.5% | D+47.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 80 | 177 | 3 | 260 | 30.8% | 68.1% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 42Precinct 42 | 117 | 134 | 5 | 256 | 45.7% | 52.3% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 95 | 155 | 3 | 253 | 37.5% | 61.3% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 39Precinct 39 | 125 | 121 | 6 | 252 | 49.6% | 48.0% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 60 | 167 | 0 | 227 | 26.4% | 73.6% | R+47.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 76Precinct 76 | 134 | 90 | 1 | 225 | 59.6% | 40.0% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 34Precinct 34 | 112 | 105 | 1 | 218 | 51.4% | 48.2% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 82Precinct 82 | 123 | 87 | 4 | 214 | 57.5% | 40.7% | D+16.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 43Precinct 43 | 132 | 68 | 2 | 202 | 65.3% | 33.7% | D+31.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 33Precinct 33 | 116 | 78 | 3 | 197 | 58.9% | 39.6% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 99Precinct 99 | 116 | 73 | 2 | 191 | 60.7% | 38.2% | D+22.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 85Precinct 85 | 128 | 54 | 1 | 183 | 69.9% | 29.5% | D+40.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 31Precinct 31 | 112 | 70 | 0 | 182 | 61.5% | 38.5% | D+23.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 113Precinct 113 | 118 | 57 | 0 | 175 | 67.4% | 32.6% | D+34.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 24 | 133 | 3 | 160 | 15.0% | 83.1% | R+68.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 41Precinct 41 | 89 | 57 | 1 | 147 | 60.5% | 38.8% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 45Precinct 45 | 92 | 43 | 4 | 139 | 66.2% | 30.9% | D+35.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 47Precinct 47 | 62 | 41 | 3 | 106 | 58.5% | 38.7% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 77Precinct 77 | 74 | 21 | 2 | 97 | 76.3% | 21.6% | D+54.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 46Precinct 46 | 58 | 27 | 0 | 85 | 68.2% | 31.8% | D+36.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 38Precinct 38 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 58 | 82.8% | 15.5% | D+67.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 48 | 68.8% | 29.2% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 92BPrecinct 92B | 22 | 20 | 0 | 42 | 52.4% | 47.6% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 8BPrecinct 8B | 7 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 36.8% | 63.2% | R+26.3 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +55.1% |
| 1908 | +49.9% |
| 1912 | +63.1% |
| 1916 | +59.5% |
| 1920 | +48.6% |
| 1924 | +34.4% |
| 1928 | +9.2% |
| 1932 | +74.3% |
| 1936 | +67.5% |
| 1940 | +52.0% |
| 1944 | +46.1% |
| 1948 | +44.4% |
| 1952 | +2.6% |
| 1956 | −0.2% |
| 1960 | +21.6% |
| 1964 | +48.3% |
| 1968 | +26.3% |
| 1972 | −11.2% |
| 1976 | +23.1% |
| 1980 | +3.3% |
| 1984 | −7.5% |
| 1988 | +3.0% |
| 1992 | +9.5% |
| 1996 | +13.5% |
| 2000 | −4.7% |
| 2004 | −14.3% |
| 2008 | −4.4% |
| 2012 | −3.3% |
| 2016 | −1.5% |
| 2020 | −2.9% |
| 2024 | −11.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 203,026 |
| 2020 | 211,652 |
| 2022 | 213,925 |
| 2024 | 218,753 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,427 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −8,248 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,462 in average income, against $73,681 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.9 on average — 1.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Nueces County, TX itself (R+11.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- San Patricio County, TX675R+36.4
- Bexar County, TX579D+9.7
- Harris County, TX375D+5.5
- Kleberg County, TX252R+12.7
- Jim Wells County, TX224R+15.5
- Travis County, TX218D+39.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX875
- San Patricio County, TX612
- Harris County, TX483
- Travis County, TX317
- Kleberg County, TX225
- Jim Wells County, TX221
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +507 |
| 2012 | +1,930 |
| 2013 | +2,315 |
| 2014 | +714 |
| 2015 | +799 |
| 2016 | −1,636 |
| 2017 | −2,676 |
| 2018 | −1,064 |
| 2019 | −1,571 |
| 2021 | −834 |
| 2022 | −2,606 |
| 2023 | −948 |
| 2024 | −1,751 |
| 2025 | −1,427 |
Nueces County, anchored by Corpus Christi and its large Hispanic working-class population, moved from a reliably Democratic stronghold to an R+11.5 result in 2024, tracking a broader Rio Grande regional realignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 14.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.5 points.
A population of 352,955, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,897 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yakima County and Kleberg County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nueces County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48355/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.