- Lead
- 751
- Total
- 53,581
- vs nation
- D+0.1
Texas 34th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,942
- Total
- 59,093
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Lead
- 8,405
- Total
- 50,268
- vs nation
- D+14.6
- Lead
- 7,083
- Total
- 49,306
- vs nation
- D+10.5
- Lead
- 6,863
- Total
- 51,726
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Lead
- 1,709
- Total
- 55,843
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Lead
- 6,576
- Total
- 53,149
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Lead
- 15,126
- Total
- 52,772
- vs nation
- D+20.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 189,5602024 5-year
- Population density
- 305 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 621 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,4102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 20.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 74.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+1.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 37, TX · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 34th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Winfield S. Hancock1880
91.8%
624 votes · D+83.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 91.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
50.2%
26,922 votes · R+1.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 48.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
33,854votes
68.7% of the vote · D+38.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 32,152 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
26,922votes
50.2% of the vote · R+1.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 26,822 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+90.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+71.3 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +90.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
−0.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+1.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −5.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 49.9%24,003 | 50.1%24,127 | 48,130 |
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+1.4, against D+13.3 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with Hispanic or Latino residents at 62.5%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 1.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.4 points.
A population of 189,560, a 20% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,410 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 37 and State House District 41.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 34th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.