Akashic

county

Willacy County, TX

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1912–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1912 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Mexican83.0%32.1%11.3%

Honduran0.6%0.8%0.3%

Spanish0.3%——

Irish2.4%6.0%9.4%

German2.1%8.3%12.5%

American1.7%4.6%5.3%

English0.9%7.9%9.5%

Czech0.6%——

Italian0.4%1.9%4.8%

Swedish0.3%——

French0.2%1.5%1.6%

African American†1.3%10.3%9.9%

Haitian0.2%—0.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Willacy County	Texas	United States
Median age	34.3	35.7	39.1
Age 18–24	11.5%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	14.8%	13.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Willacy County	Texas	United States
Median household income	$54,180	$78,476	$84,427
Poverty rate	24.0%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	14.0%	33.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Willacy County	Texas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	60.6%	35.2%	22.3%
Spanish	60.5%	28.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Willacy County	Texas	United States
Catholic	13.2%	20.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	5.2%	23.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	77.1%	45.2%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 39.6% of 14,062 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic48.0%2,673TrumpRepublican51.3%2,856OliverLibertarian0.3%18

R+3.3

Lead: 183
Total: 5,563
vs nation: R+1.8
Turnout: 39.6%

BidenDemocratic55.6%3,108TrumpRepublican43.7%2,441OtherAll other candidates0.7%41

D+11.9

Lead: 667
Total: 5,590
vs nation: D+7.5
Turnout: 38.1%

ClintonDemocratic67.2%3,422TrumpRepublican30.4%1,547JohnsonLibertarian1.8%94

D+36.8

Lead: 1,875
Total: 5,095
vs nation: D+34.7
Turnout: 36.8%

ObamaDemocratic71.1%3,600RomneyRepublican28.0%1,416GrayLibertarian0.7%37

D+43.1

Lead: 2,184
Total: 5,064
vs nation: D+39.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic69.5%3,409McCainRepublican29.7%1,456OtherAll other candidates0.8%38

D+39.8

Lead: 1,953
Total: 4,903
vs nation: D+32.6
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic55.1%2,734BushRepublican44.5%2,209OtherAll other candidates0.4%19

D+10.6

Lead: 525
Total: 4,962
vs nation: D+13.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic63.6%3,218BushRepublican35.3%1,789NaderGreen0.5%24

D+28.2

Lead: 1,429
Total: 5,062
vs nation: D+27.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic70.0%3,789DoleRepublican24.6%1,332PerotReform4.5%241

D+45.4

Lead: 2,457
Total: 5,411
vs nation: D+36.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 20,1392024 5-year
Median household income: $54,1802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 9.8%2024 5-year
Black: 1.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 87.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+90.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+25.7 in 1952MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Frio County, TX · twin score 96.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 39.6%5,565 participants ÷ 14,062 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +9.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off versus state: -9.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 30.0%–31.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	5,095	13,827	36.8%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	4,362	14,326	30.4%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	5,660	14,862	38.1%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	3,919	13,752	28.5%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	5,565	14,062	39.6%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

17 precincts · 5,563 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Willacy County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4	380	392	2	774	49.1%	50.6%	R+1.6
Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A	386	320	6	712	54.2%	44.9%	D+9.3
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3	239	287	4	530	45.1%	54.2%	R+9.1
Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A	275	239	8	522	52.7%	45.8%	D+6.9
Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9	244	225	3	472	51.7%	47.7%	D+4.0
Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5	227	213	2	442	51.4%	48.2%	D+3.2
Precinct -Precinct 7APrecinct 7A	240	195	1	436	55.0%	44.7%	D+10.3
Precinct -Precinct 8APrecinct 8A	138	139	2	279	49.5%	49.8%	R+0.4
Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10	50	204	2	256	19.5%	79.7%	R+60.2
Precinct -Precinct 11APrecinct 11A	111	125	1	237	46.8%	52.7%	R+5.9
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6	109	121	0	230	47.4%	52.6%	R+5.2
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1	72	149	1	222	32.4%	67.1%	R+34.7
Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8	63	70	1	134	47.0%	52.2%	R+5.2
Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7	52	80	0	132	39.4%	60.6%	R+21.2
Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11	48	45	0	93	51.6%	48.4%	D+3.2
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2	21	36	1	58	36.2%	62.1%	R+25.9
Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12	18	16	0	34	52.9%	47.1%	D+5.9

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1912–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1912	+90.7%
1916	+83.3%
1920	+71.0%
1924	+45.4%
1928	+0.9%
1932	+60.1%
1936	+44.7%
1940	+22.6%
1944	+5.3%
1948	+24.1%
1952	−25.7%
1956	−13.4%
1960	+21.3%
1964	+27.2%
1968	+18.9%
1972	−25.0%
1976	+31.6%
1980	+20.6%
1984	+12.9%
1988	+28.6%
1992	+33.9%
1996	+45.4%
2000	+28.2%
2004	+10.6%
2008	+39.8%
2012	+43.1%
2016	+36.8%
2020	+11.9%
2024	−3.3%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	48.0%Harris2,673	51.3%Trump2,856	0.3%Oliver18 +1	R+3.3	R+15.2	R+1.8	5,563
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican51.3%2,856 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic48.0%2,673 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%18 Jill SteinIndependent0.3%16
2020	D	55.6%Biden3,108	43.7%Trump2,441	0.7%	D+11.9	R+24.9	D+7.5	5,590
2016	D	67.2%Clinton3,422	30.4%Trump1,547	1.8%Johnson94	D+36.8	R+6.3	D+34.7	5,095
2012	D	71.1%Obama3,600	28.0%Romney1,416	0.7%Gray37	D+43.1	D+3.3	D+39.3	5,064
2008	D	69.5%Obama3,409	29.7%McCain1,456	0.8%	D+39.8	D+29.3	D+32.6	4,903
2004	D	55.1%Kerry2,734	44.5%Bush2,209	0.4%	D+10.6	R+17.6	D+13.0	4,962
2000	D	63.6%Gore3,218	35.3%Bush1,789	0.5%Nader24	D+28.2	R+17.2	D+27.7	5,062
1996	D	70.0%Clinton3,789	24.6%Dole1,332	4.5%Perot241	D+45.4	D+11.5	D+36.9	5,411
1992	D	61.0%Clinton3,359	27.0%Bush1,490	11.8%Perot652	D+33.9	D+5.3	D+28.4	5,510
1988	D	64.1%Dukakis3,165	35.4%Bush1,750	0.5%	D+28.6	D+15.7	D+36.4	4,940
1984	D	56.3%Mondale3,037	43.4%Reagan2,340	0.3%	D+12.9	R+7.7	D+31.1	5,391
1980	D	59.7%Carter3,047	39.1%Reagan1,995	1.3%	D+20.6	R+11.0	D+30.3	5,108
1976	D	65.5%Carter2,984	33.8%Ford1,542	0.7%	D+31.6	D+56.7	D+29.6	4,557
1972	R	37.1%McGovern1,384	62.1%Nixon2,317	0.8%	R+25.0	R+43.9	R+1.9	3,730
1968	D	53.1%Humphrey1,930	34.2%Nixon1,243	12.8%	D+18.9	R+8.3	D+19.6	3,638
1964	D	63.5%Johnson2,152	36.3%Goldwater1,230	0.2%	D+27.2	D+5.9	D+4.6	3,388
1960	D	60.5%Kennedy2,109	39.2%Nixon1,367	0.3%	D+21.3	D+34.7	D+21.1	3,487
1956	R	42.8%Stevenson1,261	56.2%Eisenhower1,656	1.1%	R+13.4	D+12.3	D+2.0	2,948
1952	R	37.0%Stevenson1,324	62.8%Eisenhower2,244	0.2%	R+25.7	R+49.8	R+15.0	3,574
1948	D	59.2%Truman1,139	35.1%Dewey676	5.7%	D+24.1	D+18.8	D+19.6	1,924
1944	D	48.7%Roosevelt846	43.4%Dewey754	7.9%	D+5.3	R+17.3	R+2.2	1,737
1940	D	61.1%Roosevelt1,173	38.5%Willkie740	0.4%	D+22.6	R+22.2	D+12.6	1,920
1936	D	71.6%Roosevelt1,002	26.9%Landon376	1.5%	D+44.7	R+15.4	D+20.5	1,399
1932	D	80.0%Roosevelt1,042	19.9%Hoover259	0.1%	D+60.1	D+59.2	D+42.3	1,302
1928	D	50.4%Smith396	49.6%Hoover389	0.0%	D+0.9	R+44.5	D+18.4	785
1924	D	70.7%Davis307	25.3%Coolidge110	3.9%La Follette17	D+45.4	R+25.6	D+70.6	434
1920	D	85.5%Cox53	14.5%Harding9	0.0%	D+71.0	R+12.4	D+97.2	62
1916	D	91.7%Wilson110	8.3%Hughes10	0.0%	D+83.3	R+7.3	D+80.2	120
1912	D	95.3%Wilson102	4.7%Taft5	0.0%	D+90.7	—	D+71.1	107
1908	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	52.0%2,829	48.0%2,614	5,443
2018	D	68.5%2,868	31.5%1,319	4,187

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	53.4%2,892	43.7%2,365	5,415
2020Class II	D	56.1%MJ Hegar2,968	41.3%John Cornyn2,183	5,289
2018Class I	D	64.1%Beto O'Rourke2,773	35.3%Ted Cruz1,527	4,325
2014Class II	D	53.5%David Alameel1,093	39.4%John Cornyn804	2,042
2012Class I	D	58.0%Paul Sadler2,717	38.0%Ted Cruz1,781	4,683
2008Class II	D	69.1%Richard J. Noriega3,242	29.0%John Cornyn1,358	4,690
2006Class I	D	50.2%Barbara A. Radnofsky976	47.9%Kay Bailey Hutchison932	1,946
2002Class II	D	74.8%Ron Kirk2,681	24.1%John Cornyn865	3,586
2000Class I	D	51.9%Gene Kelly2,525	45.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,218	4,861
1996Class II	D	67.2%Victor M. Morales3,534	31.5%Phil Gramm1,658	5,259
1994Class I	D	56.9%Richard Fisher1,841	42.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison1,377	3,234
1990Class II	D	50.5%Hugh Parmer1,814	47.9%Phil Gramm1,719	3,589
1988Class I	D	74.1%Lloyd Bentsen3,513	25.3%Beau Boulter1,200	4,738
1984Class II	D	60.1%Lloyd Doggett3,128	39.9%Phil Gramm2,077	5,205
1982Class I	D	70.1%Lloyd Bentsen2,652	29.3%James M. Collins1,110	3,782
1978Class II	D	51.8%Bob Krueger1,287	46.8%John G. Tower1,163	2,483
1976Class I	D	74.0%Lloyd Bentsen3,178	25.5%Alan Steelman1,096	4,295
1972Class II	R	37.8%Barefoot Sanders1,337	50.9%John G. Tower1,802	3,537
1970Class I	D	67.5%Lloyd Bentsen2,027	32.4%George H.W. Bush974	3,003
1966Class II	R	47.1%Waggoner Carr856	52.6%John G. Tower956	1,816
1964Class I	D	60.4%Ralph Yarborough2,044	39.5%George H.W. Bush1,335	3,382
1960Class II	D	65.7%Lyndon B. Johnson2,365	34.1%John G. Tower1,228	3,600
1958Class I	D	81.1%Ralph Yarborough747	17.9%Roy Whittenburg165	921
1954Class II	D	85.6%Lyndon B. Johnson575	13.8%Carlos G. Watson93	672
1952Class I	D	85.4%Price Daniel3,004	14.6%None512	3,516
1948Class II	D	59.3%Lyndon B. Johnson1,119	38.9%Jack Porter735	1,888
1946Class I	D	85.9%Tom Connally474	14.1%Murray C. Sells78	552
1942Class II	D	96.8%Pappy O'Daniel519	2.8%Dudley Lawson15	536
1936Class II	D	83.3%Morris Sheppard1,152	15.9%Carlos G. Watson220	1,383
1934Class I	D	88.8%Tom Connally595	11.2%U.S. Goen75	670
1930Class II	D	89.8%Morris Sheppard403	10.2%D.J. Haesly46	449
1928Class I	D	81.7%Tom Connally620	18.3%T.M. Kennerly139	759
1924Class II	D	76.1%Morris Sheppard397	23.9%T.M. Kennerly125	522
1922Class I	R	40.4%Earle B. Mayfield111	59.6%George Peddy164	275
1918Class II	D	100.0%Morris Sheppard42	0.0%J. Webster Flanagan0	42
1916Class I	D	95.0%Charles Culberson114	5.0%Alex W. Atcheson6	120

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1993Special · Class I	R	34.2%Robert Krueger390	65.8%Kay Bailey Hutchison752	1,142
1961Special · Class II	D	58.4%William A. Blakley1,107	41.6%John G. Tower790	1,897
1957Special · Class I	D	46.0%Ralph Yarborough679	21.6%Thad Hutcheson319	1,476
1941Special · Class II	R	7.7%Pappy O'Daniel66	92.3%Polittle Evans788	854

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	55.7%O'Rourke2,137	43.1%Abbott1,656	3,838
2018	D	53.4%Valdez2,257	45.7%Abbott1,931	4,226
2014	D	58.3%Wendy Davis1,274	39.1%Greg Abbott854	2,185
2010	D	61.7%Bill White1,560	36.8%Rick Perry929	2,527
2006	D	36.9%Chris Bell759	34.7%Rick Perry713	2,056
2002	D	71.4%Tony Sanchez2,615	27.4%Rick Perry1,004	3,664
1998	R	44.5%Garry Mauro1,028	54.8%George W. Bush1,267	2,311
1994	D	62.9%Ann Richards2,148	36.6%George W. Bush1,250	3,415
1990	D	62.3%Ann Richards2,410	35.8%Clayton Williams1,385	3,867
1986	D	54.4%Mark White1,846	44.8%Bill Clements1,522	3,395
1982	D	65.3%Mark White2,485	34.3%Bill Clements1,304	3,806
1978	D	56.7%John Luke Hill1,473	42.4%Bill Clements1,100	2,597

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Willacy County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	12,226
2018	12,151
2020	12,804
2022	11,728
2024	11,703

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−152 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −2,379 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $37,211 in average income, against $44,274 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+4.8 on average — 1.5 points more Republican-leaning than Willacy County, TX itself (R+3.3).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Cameron County, TX88R+5.8
Hidalgo County, TX48R+2.9

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Cameron County, TX111
Hidalgo County, TX76
Bexar County, TX26

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Willacy County, TX in Willacy County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−253
2012	−133
2013	−347
2014	−222
2015	−229
2016	−261
2017	−328
2018	−154
2019	−168
2021	+167
2022	−61
2023	−229
2024	−9
2025	−152

Willacy County, anchored by Raymondville and sitting along the Gulf coastal plain, backed Democratic presidential candidates by double digits as recently as 2016 before narrowing to R+3.3 in 2024—one of the starkest swings among majority-Hispanic counties in the Rio Grande Valley.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 25.7 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 15.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.

A population of 20,139, a 10% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,180 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Frio County and Cameron County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Frio County

Texas

96.9twin score

% Latino12-yr trend% White

Cameron County

Texas

92.1twin score

elasticity% Latino2016 margin≠ % Catholic

Alamosa County

Colorado

91.2twin score

2012–2024 trajectorymedian age≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Willacy County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48489/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Willacy County

Raymondville

D+6

10.2K residents

Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Willacy County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Willacy County, Texas voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,563 votes cast, 2,673 went Democratic and 2,856 went Republican.

When did Willacy County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Willacy County, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Willacy County, Texas?

Willacy County, Texas has a population of 20,139 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Willacy County, Texas?

Median household income in Willacy County, Texas is $54,180 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Willacy County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Willacy County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.

Measure

Willacy County

Texas

United States

Median age

34.3

35.7

39.1

Age 18–24

11.5%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

14.8%

13.5%

17.2%

Measure

Willacy County

Texas

United States

Median household income

$54,180

$78,476

$84,427

Poverty rate

24.0%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

14.0%

33.6%

35.6%

Measure

Willacy County

Texas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

60.6%

35.2%

22.3%

Spanish

60.5%

28.2%

13.6%

Measure

Willacy County

Texas

United States

Catholic

13.2%

20.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

5.2%

23.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

77.1%

45.2%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+3.3MIT Election Lab

Population

20,1392024 5-year

Median household income

$54,1802024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

9.8%2024 5-year

Black

1.5%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

87.3%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+90.7 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+25.7 in 1952MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Frio County, TX · twin score 96.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

5,095

13,827

36.8%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

4,362

14,326

30.4%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

5,660

14,862

38.1%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

3,919

13,752

28.5%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

5,565

14,062

39.6%

A/A

Willacy County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4

380

392

774

49.1%

50.6%

R+1.6

Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A

386

320

712

54.2%

44.9%

D+9.3

Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3

239

287

530

45.1%

54.2%

R+9.1

Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A

275

239

522

52.7%

45.8%

D+6.9

Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9

244

225

472

51.7%

47.7%

D+4.0

Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5

227

213

442

51.4%

48.2%

D+3.2

Precinct -Precinct 7APrecinct 7A

240

195

436

55.0%

44.7%

D+10.3

Precinct -Precinct 8APrecinct 8A

138

139

279

49.5%

49.8%

R+0.4

Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10

204

256

19.5%

79.7%

R+60.2

Precinct -Precinct 11APrecinct 11A

111

125

237

46.8%

52.7%

R+5.9

Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6

109

121

230

47.4%

52.6%

R+5.2

Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1

149

222

32.4%

67.1%

R+34.7

Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8

134

47.0%

52.2%

R+5.2

Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7

132

39.4%

60.6%

R+21.2

Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11

51.6%

48.4%

D+3.2

Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2

36.2%

62.1%

R+25.9

Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12

52.9%

47.1%

D+5.9

Presidential margin, 1912–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1912	+90.7%
1916	+83.3%
1920	+71.0%
1924	+45.4%
1928	+0.9%
1932	+60.1%
1936	+44.7%
1940	+22.6%
1944	+5.3%
1948	+24.1%
1952	−25.7%
1956	−13.4%
1960	+21.3%
1964	+27.2%
1968	+18.9%
1972	−25.0%
1976	+31.6%
1980	+20.6%
1984	+12.9%
1988	+28.6%
1992	+33.9%
1996	+45.4%
2000	+28.2%
2004	+10.6%
2008	+39.8%
2012	+43.1%
2016	+36.8%
2020	+11.9%
2024	−3.3%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

48.0%Harris2,673

51.3%Trump2,856

0.3%Oliver18 +1

R+3.3

R+15.2

R+1.8

5,563

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican51.3%2,856
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic48.0%2,673
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%18
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%16

2020

55.6%Biden3,108

43.7%Trump2,441

0.7%

D+11.9

R+24.9

D+7.5

5,590

2016

67.2%Clinton3,422

30.4%Trump1,547

1.8%Johnson94

D+36.8

R+6.3

D+34.7

5,095

2012

71.1%Obama3,600

28.0%Romney1,416

0.7%Gray37

D+43.1

D+3.3

D+39.3

5,064

2008

69.5%Obama3,409

29.7%McCain1,456

0.8%

D+39.8

D+29.3

D+32.6

4,903

2004

55.1%Kerry2,734

44.5%Bush2,209

0.4%

D+10.6

R+17.6

D+13.0

4,962

2000

63.6%Gore3,218

35.3%Bush1,789

0.5%Nader24

D+28.2

R+17.2

D+27.7

5,062

1996

70.0%Clinton3,789

24.6%Dole1,332

4.5%Perot241

D+45.4

D+11.5

D+36.9

5,411

1992

61.0%Clinton3,359

27.0%Bush1,490

11.8%Perot652

D+33.9

D+5.3

D+28.4

5,510

1988

64.1%Dukakis3,165

35.4%Bush1,750

0.5%

D+28.6

D+15.7

D+36.4

4,940

1984

56.3%Mondale3,037

43.4%Reagan2,340

0.3%

D+12.9

R+7.7

D+31.1

5,391

1980

59.7%Carter3,047

39.1%Reagan1,995

1.3%

D+20.6

R+11.0

D+30.3

5,108

1976

65.5%Carter2,984

33.8%Ford1,542

0.7%

D+31.6

D+56.7

D+29.6

4,557

1972

37.1%McGovern1,384

62.1%Nixon2,317

0.8%

R+25.0

R+43.9

R+1.9

3,730

1968

53.1%Humphrey1,930

34.2%Nixon1,243

12.8%

D+18.9

R+8.3

D+19.6

3,638

1964

63.5%Johnson2,152

36.3%Goldwater1,230

0.2%

D+27.2

D+5.9

D+4.6

3,388

1960

60.5%Kennedy2,109

39.2%Nixon1,367

0.3%

D+21.3

D+34.7

D+21.1

3,487

1956

42.8%Stevenson1,261

56.2%Eisenhower1,656

1.1%

R+13.4

D+12.3

D+2.0

2,948

1952

37.0%Stevenson1,324

62.8%Eisenhower2,244

0.2%

R+25.7

R+49.8

R+15.0

3,574

1948

59.2%Truman1,139

35.1%Dewey676

5.7%

D+24.1

D+18.8

D+19.6

1,924

1944

48.7%Roosevelt846

43.4%Dewey754

7.9%

D+5.3

R+17.3

R+2.2

1,737

1940

61.1%Roosevelt1,173

38.5%Willkie740

0.4%

D+22.6

R+22.2

D+12.6

1,920

1936

71.6%Roosevelt1,002

26.9%Landon376

1.5%

D+44.7

R+15.4

D+20.5

1,399

1932

80.0%Roosevelt1,042

19.9%Hoover259

0.1%

D+60.1

D+59.2

D+42.3

1,302

1928

50.4%Smith396

49.6%Hoover389

0.0%

D+0.9

R+44.5

D+18.4

785

1924

70.7%Davis307

25.3%Coolidge110

3.9%La Follette17

D+45.4

R+25.6

D+70.6

434

1920

85.5%Cox53

14.5%Harding9

0.0%

D+71.0

R+12.4

D+97.2

1916

91.7%Wilson110

8.3%Hughes10

0.0%

D+83.3

R+7.3

D+80.2

120

1912

95.3%Wilson102

4.7%Taft5

0.0%

D+90.7

—

D+71.1

107

1908

—

No data

—

1904

—

No data

—

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

52.0%2,829

48.0%2,614

5,443

2018

68.5%2,868

31.5%1,319

4,187

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

53.4%2,892

43.7%2,365

5,415

2020Class II

56.1%MJ Hegar2,968

41.3%John Cornyn2,183

5,289

2018Class I

64.1%Beto O'Rourke2,773

35.3%Ted Cruz1,527

4,325

2014Class II

53.5%David Alameel1,093

39.4%John Cornyn804

2,042

2012Class I

58.0%Paul Sadler2,717

38.0%Ted Cruz1,781

4,683

2008Class II

69.1%Richard J. Noriega3,242

29.0%John Cornyn1,358

4,690

2006Class I

50.2%Barbara A. Radnofsky976

47.9%Kay Bailey Hutchison932

1,946

2002Class II

74.8%Ron Kirk2,681

24.1%John Cornyn865

3,586

2000Class I

51.9%Gene Kelly2,525

45.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,218

4,861

1996Class II

67.2%Victor M. Morales3,534

31.5%Phil Gramm1,658

5,259

1994Class I

56.9%Richard Fisher1,841

42.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison1,377

3,234

1990Class II

50.5%Hugh Parmer1,814

47.9%Phil Gramm1,719

3,589

1988Class I

74.1%Lloyd Bentsen3,513

25.3%Beau Boulter1,200

4,738

1984Class II

60.1%Lloyd Doggett3,128

39.9%Phil Gramm2,077

5,205

1982Class I

70.1%Lloyd Bentsen2,652

29.3%James M. Collins1,110

3,782

1978Class II

51.8%Bob Krueger1,287

46.8%John G. Tower1,163

2,483

1976Class I

74.0%Lloyd Bentsen3,178

25.5%Alan Steelman1,096

4,295

1972Class II

37.8%Barefoot Sanders1,337

50.9%John G. Tower1,802

3,537

1970Class I

67.5%Lloyd Bentsen2,027

32.4%George H.W. Bush974

3,003

1966Class II

47.1%Waggoner Carr856

52.6%John G. Tower956

1,816

1964Class I

60.4%Ralph Yarborough2,044

39.5%George H.W. Bush1,335

3,382

1960Class II

65.7%Lyndon B. Johnson2,365

34.1%John G. Tower1,228

3,600

1958Class I

81.1%Ralph Yarborough747

17.9%Roy Whittenburg165

921

1954Class II

85.6%Lyndon B. Johnson575

13.8%Carlos G. Watson93

672

1952Class I

85.4%Price Daniel3,004

14.6%None512

3,516

1948Class II

59.3%Lyndon B. Johnson1,119

38.9%Jack Porter735

1,888

1946Class I

85.9%Tom Connally474

14.1%Murray C. Sells78

552

1942Class II

96.8%Pappy O'Daniel519

2.8%Dudley Lawson15

536

1936Class II

83.3%Morris Sheppard1,152

15.9%Carlos G. Watson220

1,383

1934Class I

88.8%Tom Connally595

11.2%U.S. Goen75

670

1930Class II

89.8%Morris Sheppard403

10.2%D.J. Haesly46

449

1928Class I

81.7%Tom Connally620

18.3%T.M. Kennerly139

759

1924Class II

76.1%Morris Sheppard397

23.9%T.M. Kennerly125

522

1922Class I

40.4%Earle B. Mayfield111

59.6%George Peddy164

275

1918Class II

100.0%Morris Sheppard42

0.0%J. Webster Flanagan0

1916Class I

95.0%Charles Culberson114

5.0%Alex W. Atcheson6

120

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1993Special · Class I

34.2%Robert Krueger390

65.8%Kay Bailey Hutchison752

1,142

1961Special · Class II

58.4%William A. Blakley1,107

41.6%John G. Tower790

1,897

1957Special · Class I

46.0%Ralph Yarborough679

21.6%Thad Hutcheson319

1,476

1941Special · Class II

7.7%Pappy O'Daniel66

92.3%Polittle Evans788

854

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

55.7%O'Rourke2,137

43.1%Abbott1,656

3,838

2018

53.4%Valdez2,257

45.7%Abbott1,931

4,226

2014

58.3%Wendy Davis1,274

39.1%Greg Abbott854

2,185

2010

61.7%Bill White1,560

36.8%Rick Perry929

2,527

2006

36.9%Chris Bell759

34.7%Rick Perry713

2,056

2002

71.4%Tony Sanchez2,615

27.4%Rick Perry1,004

3,664

1998

44.5%Garry Mauro1,028

54.8%George W. Bush1,267

2,311

1994

62.9%Ann Richards2,148

36.6%George W. Bush1,250

3,415

1990

62.3%Ann Richards2,410

35.8%Clayton Williams1,385

3,867

1986

54.4%Mark White1,846

44.8%Bill Clements1,522

3,395

1982

65.3%Mark White2,485

34.3%Bill Clements1,304

3,806

1978

56.7%John Luke Hill1,473

42.4%Bill Clements1,100

2,597

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Willacy County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	12,226
2018	12,151
2020	12,804
2022	11,728
2024	11,703

How did Willacy County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Willacy County, Texas voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,563 votes cast, 2,673 went Democratic and 2,856 went Republican.

When did Willacy County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Willacy County, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Willacy County, Texas?

Willacy County, Texas has a population of 20,139 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Willacy County, Texas?

Median household income in Willacy County, Texas is $54,180 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Willacy County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Willacy County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.