HarrisDemocratic37.4%1,848TrumpRepublican61.9%3,060OliverLibertarian0.3%15
R+24.5- Lead
- 1,212
- Total
- 4,945
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- 39.9%
Akashiccounty
Frio County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 39.9% of 12,493 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic45.9%2,422TrumpRepublican53.5%2,823JorgensenLibertarian0.4%23
R+7.6- Lead
- 401
- Total
- 5,279
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Turnout
- 41.9%
ClintonDemocratic55.5%2,444TrumpRepublican42.2%1,856JohnsonLibertarian1.7%76
D+13.4- Lead
- 588
- Total
- 4,400
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Turnout
- 41.4%
ObamaDemocratic59.9%2,376RomneyRepublican39.3%1,559GrayLibertarian0.6%25
D+20.6- Lead
- 817
- Total
- 3,968
- vs nation
- D+16.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.2%2,405McCainRepublican40.5%1,644OtherAll other candidates0.3%13
D+18.7- Lead
- 761
- Total
- 4,062
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic49.1%1,931BushRepublican50.7%1,991OtherAll other candidates0.2%8
R+1.5- Lead
- 60
- Total
- 3,930
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic56.1%2,317BushRepublican43.0%1,774NaderGreen0.6%23
D+13.2- Lead
- 543
- Total
- 4,128
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic63.4%2,593DoleRepublican29.9%1,225PerotReform6.2%253
D+33.4- Lead
- 1,368
- Total
- 4,092
- vs nation
- D+24.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 18,5822024 5-year
- Population density
- 16 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,134 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,0102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 14.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 77.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Willacy County, TX · twin score 96.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 39.9%4,981 participants ÷ 12,493 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +9.5 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 29.7%–30.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,099 | 12,322 | 41.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,860 | 12,624 | 30.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,413 | 12,926 | 41.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,883 | 12,009 | 32.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,981 | 12,493 | 39.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Frio County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
87.5%
998 votes · D+75.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 87.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
72.2%
673 votes · R+44.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
3,016votes
66.5% of the vote · D+33.3
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · 2,849 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,060votes
61.9% of the vote · R+24.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,823 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+86.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+60.0 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +84.5 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+27.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+44.5 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +23.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 9,134 |
| 2018 | 8,606 |
| 2020 | 8,984 |
| 2022 | 9,114 |
| 2024 | 9,526 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−134 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −341 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,226 in average income, against $54,548 for residents who stayed — 3% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.3 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Frio County, TX itself (R+24.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX114D+9.7
- Medina County, TX34R+42.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX114
- Medina County, TX39
- Atascosa County, TX20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +53 |
| 2012 | +244 |
| 2013 | +188 |
| 2014 | +230 |
| 2015 | +2 |
| 2016 | −187 |
| 2017 | −97 |
| 2018 | −15 |
| 2019 | −235 |
| 2021 | −545 |
| 2022 | +15 |
| 2023 | +33 |
| 2024 | +107 |
| 2025 | −134 |
Frio County's Hispanic-majority population, long anchored to Democratic margins, has shifted toward Republican candidates in recent cycles — part of a broader realignment across the Eagle Ford Shale corridor that has redrawn South Texas's electoral map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 78.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 44.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 16.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.5 points.
A population of 18,582, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,010 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Willacy County and Reeves County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Willacy County
Texas
96.9twin score
% Latino12-yr trend% White
Reeves County
Texas
95.2twin score
% Latino12-yr trend% White≠ elasticity
Val Verde County
Texas
92.5twin score
% Latino% Whiteelasticity≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Frio County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48163/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Frio County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Frio County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Frio County, Texas voted Republican by 24.5 points (R+24.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,945 votes cast, 1,848 went Democratic and 3,060 went Republican.
When did Frio County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Frio County, Texas voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in Frio County, Texas?
Frio County, Texas has a population of 18,582 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Frio County, Texas?
Median household income in Frio County, Texas is $66,010 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Frio County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Frio County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.