Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas
Akashic| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 51.8% | 184,094 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 47.4% | 168,310 |
| Jill SteinGreen | 0.8% | 2,998 |
County-level results (4 counties) — table
| County | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron County, TX | Republican | R+5.8 |
| Hidalgo County, TX | Republican | R+2.9 |
| Starr County, TX | Republican | R+16.0 |
| Willacy County, TX | Republican | R+3.3 |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47.4%Harris168,310 | 51.8%Trump184,094 | 0.8%Stein2,998 | 355,402 | ||
| D | 57.1%Biden204,493 | 41.9%Trump150,247 | 1.0%Jorgensen3,585 | 358,325 | ||
| D | 67.2%Clinton190,922 | 28.8%Trump81,885 | 3.9%Johnson11,101 | 283,908 | ||
| D | 69.4%Obama161,804 | 29.6%Romney68,927 | 1.0%Johnson2,433 | 233,164 | ||
| D | 68.0%Obama150,424 | 31.3%McCain69,287 | 0.6%Barr1,425 | 221,136 | ||
| D | 53.8%Kerry106,300 | 45.8%Bush90,493 | 0.4%Badnarik789 | 197,582 | ||
| D | 59.1%Gore104,327 | 39.5%Bush69,801 | 1.4%Nader2,505 | 176,633 | ||
| D | 65.8%Clinton101,327 | 29.2%Dole44,959 | 4.9%Perot7,605 | 153,891 | ||
| D | 56.6%Clinton91,667 | 30.7%Bush49,798 | 12.7%Perot20,523 | 161,988 | ||
| D | 62.5%Dukakis95,425 | 37.0%Bush56,477 | 0.4%Paul671 | 152,573 | ||
| D | 53.2%Mondale78,625 | 46.5%Reagan68,602 | 0.3%Larouche435 | 147,662 | ||
| D | 54.9%Carter65,571 | 42.9%Reagan51,233 | 2.1%Anderson2,559 | 119,363 | ||
| D | 63.8%Carter67,961 | 35.5%Ford37,853 | 0.7%McCarthy772 | 106,586 | ||
| R | 42.7%McGovern36,410 | 56.8%Nixon48,442 | 0.5%Schmitz390 | 85,242 | ||
| D | 55.1%Humphrey41,665 | 38.1%Nixon28,831 | 6.8%Wallace5,147 | 75,643 | ||
| D | 65.7%Johnson44,374 | 34.1%Goldwater23,002 | 0.3%Hass169 | 67,545 | ||
| D | 59.2%Kennedy37,239 | 40.5%Nixon25,465 | 0.3%Byrd162 | 62,866 | ||
| R | 44.7%Stevenson22,621 | 54.2%Eisenhower27,425 | 1.0%Andrews525 | 50,571 | ||
| R | 39.6%Stevenson21,189 | 60.2%Eisenhower32,185 | 0.1%Hallinan79 | 53,453 | ||
| D | 60.8%Truman19,439 | 36.8%Dewey11,764 | 2.5%Thurmond786 | 31,989 | ||
| D | 56.6%Roosevelt15,406 | 37.5%Dewey10,211 | 5.9%Thomas1,595 | 27,212 | ||
| D | 63.8%Roosevelt15,879 | 36.0%Willkie8,965 | 0.2%Thomas62 | 24,906 | ||
| D | 71.6%Roosevelt15,960 | 26.1%Landon5,818 | 2.2%Lemke498 | 22,276 | ||
| D | 78.1%Roosevelt18,637 | 21.1%Hoover5,045 | 0.7%Thomas175 | 23,857 | ||
| D | 50.1%Smith8,368 | 49.7%Hoover8,297 | 0.2%Thomas27 | 16,692 | ||
| D | 71.3%Davis6,950 | 24.6%Coolidge2,395 | 4.2%La Follette407 | 9,752 | ||
| D | 63.6%Cox3,800 | 35.4%Harding2,115 | 1.0%Debs59 | 5,974 | ||
| D | 78.8%Wilson3,250 | 19.5%Hughes805 | 1.7%Benson69 | 4,124 | ||
| D | 85.0%Wilson4,125 | 9.2%Taft445 | 5.9%Roosevelt284 | 4,854 | ||
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| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +75.8% |
| 1916 | +59.3% |
| 1920 | +28.2% |
| 1924 | +46.7% |
| 1928 | +0.4% |
| 1932 | +57.0% |
| 1936 | +45.5% |
| 1940 | +27.8% |
| 1944 | +19.1% |
| 1948 | +24.0% |
| 1952 | −20.6% |
| 1956 | −9.5% |
| 1960 | +18.7% |
| 1964 | +31.6% |
| 1968 | +17.0% |
| 1972 | −14.1% |
| 1976 | +28.2% |
| 1980 | +12.0% |
| 1984 | +6.8% |
| 1988 | +25.5% |
| 1992 | +25.8% |
| 1996 | +36.6% |
| 2000 | +19.5% |
| 2004 | +8.0% |
| 2008 | +36.7% |
| 2012 | +39.8% |
| 2016 | +38.4% |
| 2020 | +15.1% |
| 2024 | −4.4% |
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 579,410 |
| 2018 | 614,604 |
| 2020 | 657,073 |
| 2022 | 690,465 |
| 2024 | 732,755 |
This South Texas media market is among the most heavily Hispanic in the United States, with Democratic margins historically wide but showing measurable rightward shifts in recent cycles as working-class border communities reassess party allegiances.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 20.6 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 19.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.4 points.
A population of 1,404,303, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,023 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Laredo and El Paso (Las Cruces).
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/636/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.