HarrisDemocratic41.8%6,862TrumpRepublican57.8%9,487OliverLibertarian0.2%36
R+16.0- Lead
- 2,625
- Total
- 16,421
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Turnout
- 51.5%
Akashiccounty
Starr County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 51.5% of 33,174 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic52.1%9,123TrumpRepublican47.1%8,247JorgensenLibertarian0.5%92
D+5.0- Lead
- 876
- Total
- 17,525
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- 56.1%
ClintonDemocratic79.1%9,289TrumpRepublican18.9%2,224JohnsonLibertarian1.4%159
D+60.2- Lead
- 7,065
- Total
- 11,740
- vs nation
- D+58.1
- Turnout
- 41.2%
ObamaDemocratic86.3%10,260RomneyRepublican13.0%1,547GrayLibertarian0.4%50
D+73.3- Lead
- 8,713
- Total
- 11,883
- vs nation
- D+69.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic84.5%8,274McCainRepublican15.2%1,492OtherAll other candidates0.3%26
D+69.3- Lead
- 6,782
- Total
- 9,792
- vs nation
- D+62.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic73.6%7,199BushRepublican26.1%2,552OtherAll other candidates0.3%30
D+47.5- Lead
- 4,647
- Total
- 9,781
- vs nation
- D+50.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic76.9%6,505BushRepublican22.6%1,911NaderGreen0.2%19
D+54.3- Lead
- 4,594
- Total
- 8,464
- vs nation
- D+53.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic86.9%6,312DoleRepublican10.4%756PerotReform2.2%157
D+76.5- Lead
- 5,556
- Total
- 7,260
- vs nation
- D+68.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 66,0672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $37,6392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 97.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.1 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Zavala County, TX · twin score 97.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 51.5%17,081 participants ÷ 33,174 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.4%–41.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 11,798 | 28,649 | 41.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,883 | 30,059 | 39.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,525 | 31,224 | 56.1% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,482 | 32,809 | 38.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,081 | 33,174 | 51.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 16,421 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 873 | 1,088 | 11 | 1,972 | 44.3% | 55.2% | R+10.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8 | 670 | 1,130 | 9 | 1,809 | 37.0% | 62.5% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 658 | 985 | 3 | 1,646 | 40.0% | 59.8% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 785 | 850 | 3 | 1,638 | 47.9% | 51.9% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 654 | 968 | 2 | 1,624 | 40.3% | 59.6% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 732 | 873 | 5 | 1,610 | 45.5% | 54.2% | R+8.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 540 | 816 | 10 | 1,366 | 39.5% | 59.7% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 606 | 735 | 7 | 1,348 | 45.0% | 54.5% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 367 | 593 | 9 | 969 | 37.9% | 61.2% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 303 | 502 | 7 | 812 | 37.3% | 61.8% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 318 | 481 | 4 | 803 | 39.6% | 59.9% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 166 | 231 | 0 | 397 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 164 | 193 | 1 | 358 | 45.8% | 53.9% | R+8.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 26 | 42 | 1 | 69 | 37.7% | 60.9% | R+23.2 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +47.1% |
| 1908 | +37.2% |
| 1912 | +45.5% |
| 1916 | +63.5% |
| 1920 | +64.9% |
| 1924 | +94.1% |
| 1928 | +80.6% |
| 1932 | +91.9% |
| 1936 | +75.2% |
| 1940 | +89.3% |
| 1944 | +89.2% |
| 1948 | +83.0% |
| 1952 | +66.3% |
| 1956 | +66.6% |
| 1960 | +87.0% |
| 1964 | +71.2% |
| 1968 | +47.5% |
| 1972 | +16.3% |
| 1976 | +74.8% |
| 1980 | +54.3% |
| 1984 | +50.5% |
| 1988 | +69.9% |
| 1992 | +69.7% |
| 1996 | +76.5% |
| 2000 | +54.3% |
| 2004 | +47.5% |
| 2008 | +69.3% |
| 2012 | +73.3% |
| 2016 | +60.2% |
| 2020 | +5.0% |
| 2024 | −16.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 31,134 |
| 2018 | 33,110 |
| 2020 | 34,050 |
| 2022 | 34,065 |
| 2024 | 36,420 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−603 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −7,691 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $36,746 in average income, against $38,895 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.7 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Starr County, TX itself (R+16.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hidalgo County, TX261R+2.9
- Harris County, TX52D+5.5
- Bexar County, TX22D+9.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hidalgo County, TX373
- Bexar County, TX44
- Harris County, TX38
- Travis County, TX20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −672 |
| 2012 | −824 |
| 2013 | −652 |
| 2014 | −540 |
| 2015 | −556 |
| 2016 | −639 |
| 2017 | −575 |
| 2018 | −617 |
| 2019 | −387 |
| 2021 | −279 |
| 2022 | −702 |
| 2023 | −269 |
| 2024 | −376 |
| 2025 | −603 |
Starr County, once among the most reliably Democratic counties in Texas, shifted to R+16 in 2024 — a dramatic realignment in a majority-Hispanic, rural border community where economic concerns increasingly override historical party loyalty.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.1 points in 1924 and a Republican high of 16.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 21.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.0 points.
A population of 66,067, a 2% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $37,639 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Zavala County and Duval County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Zavala County
Texas
97.8twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Duval County
Texas
97.5twin score
12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectory% Catholic≠ % Evangelical
Zapata County
Texas
97.4twin score
12-yr trend% Latino% Catholic≠ 2004 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Starr County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48427/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Starr County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Starr County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Starr County, Texas voted Republican by 16.0 points (R+16.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,421 votes cast, 6,862 went Democratic and 9,487 went Republican.
When did Starr County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Starr County, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Starr County, Texas?
Starr County, Texas has a population of 66,067 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Starr County, Texas?
Median household income in Starr County, Texas is $37,639 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Starr County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Starr County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 30 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.