Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic38.2%225TrumpRepublican61.0%359OtherAll other candidates0.8%5
R+22.8
Lead
134
Total
589
vs nation
R+21.3
BidenDemocratic50.9%363TrumpRepublican48.7%347OtherAll other candidates0.4%3
D+2.2
Lead
16
Total
713
vs nation
R+2.2
ClintonDemocratic79.5%341TrumpRepublican17.5%75OtherAll other candidates3.0%13
D+62.0
Lead
266
Total
429
vs nation
D+59.9
ObamaDemocratic92.2%356RomneyRepublican7.3%28OtherAll other candidates0.5%2
D+85.0
Lead
328
Total
386
vs nation
D+81.1
ObamaDemocratic85.2%230McCainRepublican12.2%33OtherAll other candidates2.6%7
D+73.0
Lead
197
Total
270
vs nation
D+65.7
KerryDemocratic73.4%179BushRepublican25.8%63OtherAll other candidates0.8%2
D+47.5
Lead
116
Total
244
vs nation
D+50.0
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+22.8MIT Election Lab
Population
2,5732024 5-year
Population density
953 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$29,8442024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
0.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
99.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+85.0 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+22.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
48.3%614 participants ÷ 1,271 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+14.9 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
33.4%–37.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
45.4%
42.7%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
614
1,271 ± 198
48.3%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
505
1,182 ± 184
42.7%
Audited
E/D
715
1,241 ± 225
57.6%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
432
951 ± 165
45.4%
Audited
E/D
431
834 ± 158
51.7%
Audited
E/D
386
926
41.7%
Derived
—
270
312
86.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Escobares, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
92.2%
356 votes · D+85.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 85.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
61.0%
359 votes · R+22.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 48.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
363votes
50.9% of the vote · D+2.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 356 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
359votes
61.0% of the vote · R+22.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 347 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+81.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+85.0 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +65.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+21.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+22.8 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +2.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Escobares · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Starr County, Texas, the county containing Escobares — Escobares’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Escobares, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Escobares sits along the Rio Grande in Starr County, one of the most heavily Hispanic counties in the nation. Its compact electorate reflects the tight-knit, border-community voting patterns that define this stretch of the river valley.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.0 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 22.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 25.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.8 points.
A population of 2,573, a 1% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $29,844 describe the city.
In 2024, Escobares, Texas voted Republican by 22.8 points (R+22.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 589 votes cast, 225 went Democratic and 359 went Republican.
When did Escobares, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Escobares, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Escobares, Texas?
Escobares, Texas has a population of 2,573 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Escobares, Texas?
Median household income in Escobares, Texas is $29,844 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Escobares, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Escobares, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
