Texas 21st State Senate District, Texas: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- TiedMIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,100,6962024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,1922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 61.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 200,635 | 199,126 | 405,553 | ||
| D | 221,693 | 174,135 | 402,312 | ||
| D | 172,922 | 121,778 | 311,006 | ||
| D | 148,897 | 114,919 | 269,068 | ||
| D | 150,171 | 113,702 | 266,550 | ||
| R | 115,836 | 121,595 | 239,715 | ||
| R | 91,773 | 99,153 | 200,168 | ||
| D | 93,020 | 62,748 | 166,631 | ||
| D | 89,164 | 61,929 | 182,444 | ||
| D | 92,348 | 71,605 | 165,125 | ||
| R | 70,372 | 81,260 | 151,999 | ||
| D | 65,883 | 56,660 | 126,949 | ||
| D | 69,189 | 43,481 | 113,814 | ||
| R | 45,513 | 53,853 | 99,648 | ||
| D | 47,714 | 25,671 | 80,736 | ||
| D | 55,715 | 16,848 | 72,674 | ||
| D | 44,466 | 21,826 | 66,441 | ||
| D | 30,441 | 25,964 | 56,612 | ||
| D | 32,846 | 26,870 | 59,805 | ||
| D | 29,890 | 9,610 | 41,297 | ||
| D | 27,047 | 8,417 | 37,452 | ||
| D | 29,333 | 8,252 | 37,638 | ||
| D | 27,491 | 4,976 | 32,640 | ||
| D | 26,559 | 3,293 | 29,954 | ||
| D | 12,641 | 9,049 | 21,705 | ||
| D | 15,134 | 5,352 | 22,860 | ||
| D | 7,532 | 4,848 | 14,608 | ||
| D | 8,045 | 3,640 | 11,858 | ||
| D | 7,631 | 2,568 | 11,466 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Texas 21st State Senate District in the Gulf South and Southern Plains delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Democratic candidate carrying the district by zero points — well within the historical noise of how the district votes.
The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventy-eight points in 1932; the Republican margin reached eight points in 1972. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 1,100,696, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,192 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State Senate District 21, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/48021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.