Akashic

county

Duval County, TX

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1908–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1908 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

Mexican73.6%32.1%11.3%

Salvadoran1.5%1.2%0.7%

Spaniard0.5%0.3%—

Honduran0.2%0.8%0.3%

German5.1%8.3%12.5%

American3.0%4.6%5.3%

Irish1.3%6.0%9.4%

English1.3%7.9%9.5%

Italian0.4%1.9%4.8%

Scottish0.2%1.3%1.3%

Norwegian0.2%——

Swedish0.2%——

Vietnamese1.1%1.0%0.6%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Duval County	Texas	United States
Median age	33.6	35.7	39.1
Age 18–24	7.9%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	16.9%	13.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Duval County	Texas	United States
Median household income	$49,038	$78,476	$84,427
Poverty rate	33.3%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	6.8%	33.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Duval County	Texas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	51.1%	35.2%	22.3%
Spanish	49.0%	28.2%	13.6%
Vietnamese	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	Duval County	Texas	United States
Catholic	60.9%	20.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	24.3%	23.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	14.1%	45.2%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 64.2% of 7,217 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic44.9%2,003TrumpRepublican54.7%2,439OliverLibertarian0.3%13

R+9.8

Lead: 436
Total: 4,461
vs nation: R+8.3
Turnout: 64.2%

BidenDemocratic51.0%2,575TrumpRepublican48.3%2,443JorgensenLibertarian0.4%22

D+2.6

Lead: 132
Total: 5,053
vs nation: R+1.8
Turnout: 65.4%

ClintonDemocratic66.8%2,783TrumpRepublican31.6%1,316JohnsonLibertarian1.2%49

D+35.2

Lead: 1,467
Total: 4,168
vs nation: D+33.1
Turnout: 50.5%

ObamaDemocratic76.7%3,331RomneyRepublican22.6%980GrayLibertarian0.6%25

D+54.1

Lead: 2,351
Total: 4,344
vs nation: D+50.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic74.8%3,298McCainRepublican24.4%1,076OtherAll other candidates0.8%35

D+50.4

Lead: 2,222
Total: 4,409
vs nation: D+43.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic71.3%2,916BushRepublican28.4%1,160OtherAll other candidates0.4%15

D+42.9

Lead: 1,756
Total: 4,091
vs nation: D+45.4
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic79.3%3,990BushRepublican20.1%1,010NaderGreen0.4%22

D+59.2

Lead: 2,980
Total: 5,030
vs nation: D+58.7
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic84.9%3,958DoleRepublican11.7%543PerotReform2.9%136

D+73.3

Lead: 3,415
Total: 4,660
vs nation: D+64.8
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+9.8MIT Election Lab
Population: 9,7422024 5-year
Median household income: $49,0382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 15.6%2024 5-year
Black: 0.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 81.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+99.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+9.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Starr County, TX · twin score 97.5

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 64.2%4,632 participants ÷ 7,217 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +11.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -7.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 52.4%–59.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	4,277	8,473	50.5%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	4,307	8,100	53.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	5,258	8,041	65.4%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	3,936	7,347	53.6%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	4,632	7,217	64.2%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

9 precincts · 4,447 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Duval County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8	385	884	3	1,272	30.3%	69.5%	R+39.2
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1	543	581	6	1,130	48.1%	51.4%	R+3.4
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2	397	257	3	657	60.4%	39.1%	D+21.3
Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9	302	294	3	599	50.4%	49.1%	D+1.3
Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5	117	159	1	277	42.2%	57.4%	R+15.2
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3	153	96	2	251	61.0%	38.2%	D+22.7
Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7	22	86	0	108	20.4%	79.6%	R+59.3
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6	47	33	1	81	58.0%	40.7%	D+17.3
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4	27	45	0	72	37.5%	62.5%	R+25.0

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1908–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1908	+6.7%
1912	+99.0%
1916	+87.9%
1920	+84.8%
1924	+85.8%
1928	+48.3%
1932	+96.2%
1936	+89.2%
1940	+91.0%
1944	+91.4%
1948	+93.3%
1952	+66.3%
1956	+36.1%
1960	+64.9%
1964	+85.2%
1968	+80.2%
1972	+71.4%
1976	+73.0%
1980	+56.6%
1984	+51.4%
1988	+64.2%
1992	+65.7%
1996	+73.3%
2000	+59.2%
2004	+42.9%
2008	+50.4%
2012	+54.1%
2016	+35.2%
2020	+2.6%
2024	−9.8%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	44.9%Harris2,003	54.7%Trump2,439	0.3%Oliver13 +1	R+9.8	R+12.4	R+8.3	4,461
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican54.7%2,439 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.9%2,003 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%13 Jill SteinIndependent0.1%6
2020	D	51.0%Biden2,575	48.3%Trump2,443	0.4%Jorgensen22	D+2.6	R+32.6	R+1.8	5,053
2016	D	66.8%Clinton2,783	31.6%Trump1,316	1.2%Johnson49	D+35.2	R+18.9	D+33.1	4,168
2012	D	76.7%Obama3,331	22.6%Romney980	0.6%Gray25	D+54.1	D+3.7	D+50.3	4,344
2008	D	74.8%Obama3,298	24.4%McCain1,076	0.8%	D+50.4	D+7.5	D+43.1	4,409
2004	D	71.3%Kerry2,916	28.4%Bush1,160	0.4%	D+42.9	R+16.3	D+45.4	4,091
2000	D	79.3%Gore3,990	20.1%Bush1,010	0.4%Nader22	D+59.2	R+14.0	D+58.7	5,030
1996	D	84.9%Clinton3,958	11.7%Dole543	2.9%Perot136	D+73.3	D+7.6	D+64.8	4,660
1992	D	79.6%Clinton4,006	13.9%Bush698	6.5%Perot326	D+65.7	D+1.5	D+60.1	5,035
1988	D	82.0%Dukakis4,177	17.8%Bush907	0.3%	D+64.2	D+12.8	D+71.9	5,097
1984	D	75.6%Mondale3,748	24.2%Reagan1,201	0.2%	D+51.4	R+5.3	D+69.6	4,959
1980	D	77.9%Carter3,706	21.3%Reagan1,012	0.8%	D+56.6	R+16.3	D+66.4	4,757
1976	D	86.4%Carter4,267	13.4%Ford661	0.3%	D+73.0	D+1.6	D+70.9	4,941
1972	D	85.7%McGovern3,729	14.3%Nixon623	0.0%	D+71.4	R+8.8	D+94.5	4,352
1968	D	88.7%Humphrey3,978	8.6%Nixon384	2.7%	D+80.2	R+5.0	D+80.9	4,483
1964	D	92.5%Johnson4,432	7.4%Goldwater353	0.1%	D+85.2	D+20.3	D+62.6	4,789
1960	D	82.4%Kennedy3,803	17.5%Nixon809	0.0%	D+64.9	D+28.8	D+64.7	4,614
1956	D	68.0%Stevenson3,110	31.9%Eisenhower1,459	0.1%	D+36.1	R+30.2	D+51.5	4,575
1952	D	83.1%Stevenson3,316	16.8%Eisenhower672	0.0%	D+66.3	R+27.1	D+77.0	3,989
1948	D	96.5%Truman3,551	3.2%Dewey117	0.3%	D+93.3	D+1.9	D+88.9	3,679
1944	D	95.3%Roosevelt3,353	3.9%Dewey136	0.8%	D+91.4	D+0.4	D+84.0	3,518
1940	D	95.5%Roosevelt3,232	4.5%Willkie151	0.0%	D+91.0	D+1.8	D+81.1	3,384
1936	D	94.6%Roosevelt2,901	5.3%Landon163	0.1%	D+89.2	R+7.0	D+65.0	3,068
1932	D	98.1%Roosevelt1,566	1.9%Hoover30	0.0%	D+96.2	D+47.9	D+78.5	1,596
1928	D	74.2%Smith1,245	25.8%Hoover434	0.0%	D+48.3	R+37.5	D+65.8	1,679
1924	D	92.1%Davis1,290	6.4%Coolidge89	1.5%La Follette21	D+85.8	D+1.0	D+111.0	1,400
1920	D	92.1%Cox1,081	7.3%Harding86	0.6%	D+84.8	R+3.2	D+110.9	1,174
1916	D	93.7%Wilson597	5.8%Hughes37	0.5%	D+87.9	R+11.1	D+84.8	637
1912	D	99.0%Wilson915	0.0%Taft0	1.0%	D+99.0	D+92.3	D+79.5	924
1908	D	53.4%Bryan692	46.6%Taft605	0.0%	D+6.7	—	D+16.3	1,297
1904	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	65.1%2,580	34.9%1,382	3,962
2020	D	63.2%2,815	36.8%1,642	4,457
2018	D	78.9%3,022	21.1%807	3,829

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	52.4%2,180	44.9%1,868	4,163
2020Class II	D	55.6%MJ Hegar2,458	40.4%John Cornyn1,787	4,419
2018Class I	D	67.2%Beto O'Rourke2,765	32.3%Ted Cruz1,330	4,113
2014Class II	D	74.6%David Alameel2,183	19.8%John Cornyn578	2,925
2012Class I	D	74.7%Paul Sadler3,078	22.9%Ted Cruz946	4,123
2008Class II	D	79.7%Richard J. Noriega3,386	18.2%John Cornyn773	4,247
2006Class I	D	77.1%Barbara A. Radnofsky2,363	21.9%Kay Bailey Hutchison672	3,066
2002Class II	D	86.6%Ron Kirk2,660	12.1%John Cornyn373	3,072
2000Class I	D	77.1%Gene Kelly3,800	21.8%Kay Bailey Hutchison1,076	4,926
1996Class II	D	85.5%Victor M. Morales3,896	14.0%Phil Gramm636	4,558
1994Class I	D	81.3%Richard Fisher2,745	18.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison621	3,376
1990Class II	D	77.6%Hugh Parmer2,895	21.4%Phil Gramm797	3,729
1988Class I	D	87.3%Lloyd Bentsen4,272	12.2%Beau Boulter598	4,891
1984Class II	D	78.4%Lloyd Doggett3,756	21.6%Phil Gramm1,037	4,793
1982Class I	D	88.2%Lloyd Bentsen3,395	10.8%James M. Collins417	3,851
1978Class II	D	80.2%Bob Krueger2,324	18.5%John G. Tower535	2,896
1976Class I	D	88.5%Lloyd Bentsen4,236	11.1%Alan Steelman532	4,784
1972Class II	D	85.8%Barefoot Sanders3,769	13.1%John G. Tower576	4,392
1970Class I	D	92.7%Lloyd Bentsen3,435	7.3%George H.W. Bush269	3,704
1966Class II	D	94.6%Waggoner Carr3,381	5.4%John G. Tower193	3,574
1964Class I	D	91.7%Ralph Yarborough4,394	8.3%George H.W. Bush396	4,794
1960Class II	D	83.8%Lyndon B. Johnson3,881	15.9%John G. Tower738	4,630
1958Class I	D	97.9%Ralph Yarborough3,660	2.0%Roy Whittenburg75	3,738
1954Class II	D	97.9%Lyndon B. Johnson2,662	1.9%Carlos G. Watson52	2,720
1952Class I	D	96.4%Price Daniel3,928	3.6%None148	4,076
1948Class II	D	96.3%Lyndon B. Johnson3,545	3.4%Jack Porter126	3,680
1946Class I	D	99.8%Tom Connally4,150	0.2%Murray C. Sells7	4,157
1942Class II	D	100.0%Pappy O'Daniel2,126	0.0%Dudley Lawson0	2,126
1940Class I	D	98.5%Tom Connally3,353	1.5%George I. Shannon52	3,405
1936Class II	D	95.7%Morris Sheppard2,920	4.2%Carlos G. Watson129	3,051
1934Class I	D	99.9%Tom Connally3,006	0.1%U.S. Goen3	3,009
1930Class II	D	93.7%Morris Sheppard1,741	6.3%D.J. Haesly118	1,859
1928Class I	D	74.1%Tom Connally1,251	25.9%T.M. Kennerly438	1,689
1924Class II	D	92.4%Morris Sheppard986	7.6%T.M. Kennerly81	1,067
1922Class I	D	81.7%Earle B. Mayfield437	18.3%George Peddy98	535
1918Class II	D	98.2%Morris Sheppard278	1.8%J. Webster Flanagan5	283
1916Class I	D	94.8%Charles Culberson604	4.7%Alex W. Atcheson30	637

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1993Special · Class I	D	80.8%Robert Krueger1,228	19.2%Kay Bailey Hutchison292	1,520
1961Special · Class II	D	87.8%William A. Blakley2,326	12.2%John G. Tower323	2,649
1957Special · Class I	R	0.2%Ralph Yarborough6	18.1%Thad Hutcheson462	2,557
1941Special · Class II	R	0.1%Pappy O'Daniel1	99.9%Polittle Evans1,618	1,619

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	54.9%O'Rourke2,018	43.5%Abbott1,600	3,676
2018	D	62.1%Valdez2,456	37.3%Abbott1,477	3,955
2014	D	73.0%Wendy Davis2,251	24.3%Greg Abbott750	3,084
2010	D	73.5%Bill White2,213	24.5%Rick Perry738	3,010
2006	D	64.4%Chris Bell2,087	16.2%Rick Perry526	3,242
2002	D	87.4%Tony Sanchez2,772	11.9%Rick Perry377	3,170
1998	D	77.6%Garry Mauro2,906	22.0%George W. Bush825	3,745
1994	D	82.3%Ann Richards2,809	17.4%George W. Bush595	3,413
1990	D	75.5%Ann Richards3,174	21.0%Clayton Williams881	4,203
1986	D	78.3%Mark White3,183	20.9%Bill Clements851	4,063
1982	D	85.9%Mark White3,434	13.3%Bill Clements530	3,996
1978	D	74.8%John Luke Hill2,188	23.7%Bill Clements692	2,925

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Duval County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	7,139
2018	1,971
2020	8,346
2022	8,129
2024	8,031

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−202 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,196 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $34,538 in average income, against $47,981 for residents who stayed — 28% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+14.6 on average — 4.8 points more Republican-leaning than Duval County, TX itself (R+9.8).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Jim Wells County, TX84R+15.5
Nueces County, TX25R+11.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Jim Wells County, TX80
Nueces County, TX40
Bexar County, TX28

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Duval County, TX in Duval County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+13
2012	−290
2013	−27
2014	−119
2015	−231
2016	+64
2017	−185
2018	−149
2019	−8
2021	+264
2022	−312
2023	−61
2024	+47
2025	−202

Duval County, long anchored by South Texas Hispanic voters who delivered lopsided Democratic margins for decades, swung sharply rightward across the 2020s — a shift that mirrors broader realignment patterns along the Rio Grande corridor.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 9.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 12.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.8 points.

A population of 9,742, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,038 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Starr County and Zavala County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Starr County

Texas

97.5twin score

12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectory% Catholic≠ % Evangelical

Zavala County

Texas

97.1twin score

2000–2004 trajectory12-yr trend% Catholic≠ elasticity

Brooks County

Texas

96.8twin score

2000–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Duval County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Duval County

Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Duval County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Duval County, Texas voted Republican by 9.8 points (R+9.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,461 votes cast, 2,003 went Democratic and 2,439 went Republican.

When did Duval County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Duval County, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Duval County, Texas?

Duval County, Texas has a population of 9,742 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Duval County, Texas?

Median household income in Duval County, Texas is $49,038 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Duval County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Duval County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.

Measure

Duval County

Texas

United States

Median age

33.6

35.7

39.1

Age 18–24

7.9%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

16.9%

13.5%

17.2%

Measure

Duval County

Texas

United States

Median household income

$49,038

$78,476

$84,427

Poverty rate

33.3%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

6.8%

33.6%

35.6%

Measure

Duval County

Texas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

51.1%

35.2%

22.3%

Spanish

49.0%

28.2%

13.6%

Vietnamese

1.2%

0.9%

0.5%

Measure

Duval County

Texas

United States

Catholic

60.9%

20.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

24.3%

23.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

14.1%

45.2%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+9.8MIT Election Lab

Population

9,7422024 5-year

Median household income

$49,0382024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

15.6%2024 5-year

Black

0.7%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

81.6%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+99.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+9.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Starr County, TX · twin score 97.5

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

4,277

8,473

50.5%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

4,307

8,100

53.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

5,258

8,041

65.4%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

3,936

7,347

53.6%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

4,632

7,217

64.2%

A/A

Duval County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8

385

884

1,272

30.3%

69.5%

R+39.2

Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1

543

581

1,130

48.1%

51.4%

R+3.4

Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2

397

257

657

60.4%

39.1%

D+21.3

Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9

302

294

599

50.4%

49.1%

D+1.3

Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5

117

159

277

42.2%

57.4%

R+15.2

Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3

153

251

61.0%

38.2%

D+22.7

Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7

108

20.4%

79.6%

R+59.3

Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6

58.0%

40.7%

D+17.3

Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4

37.5%

62.5%

R+25.0

Presidential margin, 1908–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1908	+6.7%
1912	+99.0%
1916	+87.9%
1920	+84.8%
1924	+85.8%
1928	+48.3%
1932	+96.2%
1936	+89.2%
1940	+91.0%
1944	+91.4%
1948	+93.3%
1952	+66.3%
1956	+36.1%
1960	+64.9%
1964	+85.2%
1968	+80.2%
1972	+71.4%
1976	+73.0%
1980	+56.6%
1984	+51.4%
1988	+64.2%
1992	+65.7%
1996	+73.3%
2000	+59.2%
2004	+42.9%
2008	+50.4%
2012	+54.1%
2016	+35.2%
2020	+2.6%
2024	−9.8%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

44.9%Harris2,003

54.7%Trump2,439

0.3%Oliver13 +1

R+9.8

R+12.4

R+8.3

4,461

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican54.7%2,439
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.9%2,003
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%13
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%6

2020

51.0%Biden2,575

48.3%Trump2,443

0.4%Jorgensen22

D+2.6

R+32.6

R+1.8

5,053

2016

66.8%Clinton2,783

31.6%Trump1,316

1.2%Johnson49

D+35.2

R+18.9

D+33.1

4,168

2012

76.7%Obama3,331

22.6%Romney980

0.6%Gray25

D+54.1

D+3.7

D+50.3

4,344

2008

74.8%Obama3,298

24.4%McCain1,076

0.8%

D+50.4

D+7.5

D+43.1

4,409

2004

71.3%Kerry2,916

28.4%Bush1,160

0.4%

D+42.9

R+16.3

D+45.4

4,091

2000

79.3%Gore3,990

20.1%Bush1,010

0.4%Nader22

D+59.2

R+14.0

D+58.7

5,030

1996

84.9%Clinton3,958

11.7%Dole543

2.9%Perot136

D+73.3

D+7.6

D+64.8

4,660

1992

79.6%Clinton4,006

13.9%Bush698

6.5%Perot326

D+65.7

D+1.5

D+60.1

5,035

1988

82.0%Dukakis4,177

17.8%Bush907

0.3%

D+64.2

D+12.8

D+71.9

5,097

1984

75.6%Mondale3,748

24.2%Reagan1,201

0.2%

D+51.4

R+5.3

D+69.6

4,959

1980

77.9%Carter3,706

21.3%Reagan1,012

0.8%

D+56.6

R+16.3

D+66.4

4,757

1976

86.4%Carter4,267

13.4%Ford661

0.3%

D+73.0

D+1.6

D+70.9

4,941

1972

85.7%McGovern3,729

14.3%Nixon623

0.0%

D+71.4

R+8.8

D+94.5

4,352

1968

88.7%Humphrey3,978

8.6%Nixon384

2.7%

D+80.2

R+5.0

D+80.9

4,483

1964

92.5%Johnson4,432

7.4%Goldwater353

0.1%

D+85.2

D+20.3

D+62.6

4,789

1960

82.4%Kennedy3,803

17.5%Nixon809

0.0%

D+64.9

D+28.8

D+64.7

4,614

1956

68.0%Stevenson3,110

31.9%Eisenhower1,459

0.1%

D+36.1

R+30.2

D+51.5

4,575

1952

83.1%Stevenson3,316

16.8%Eisenhower672

0.0%

D+66.3

R+27.1

D+77.0

3,989

1948

96.5%Truman3,551

3.2%Dewey117

0.3%

D+93.3

D+1.9

D+88.9

3,679

1944

95.3%Roosevelt3,353

3.9%Dewey136

0.8%

D+91.4

D+0.4

D+84.0

3,518

1940

95.5%Roosevelt3,232

4.5%Willkie151

0.0%

D+91.0

D+1.8

D+81.1

3,384

1936

94.6%Roosevelt2,901

5.3%Landon163

0.1%

D+89.2

R+7.0

D+65.0

3,068

1932

98.1%Roosevelt1,566

1.9%Hoover30

0.0%

D+96.2

D+47.9

D+78.5

1,596

1928

74.2%Smith1,245

25.8%Hoover434

0.0%

D+48.3

R+37.5

D+65.8

1,679

1924

92.1%Davis1,290

6.4%Coolidge89

1.5%La Follette21

D+85.8

D+1.0

D+111.0

1,400

1920

92.1%Cox1,081

7.3%Harding86

0.6%

D+84.8

R+3.2

D+110.9

1,174

1916

93.7%Wilson597

5.8%Hughes37

0.5%

D+87.9

R+11.1

D+84.8

637

1912

99.0%Wilson915

0.0%Taft0

1.0%

D+99.0

D+92.3

D+79.5

924

1908

53.4%Bryan692

46.6%Taft605

0.0%

D+6.7

—

D+16.3

1,297

1904

—

No data

—

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

65.1%2,580

34.9%1,382

3,962

2020

63.2%2,815

36.8%1,642

4,457

2018

78.9%3,022

21.1%807

3,829

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

52.4%2,180

44.9%1,868

4,163

2020Class II

55.6%MJ Hegar2,458

40.4%John Cornyn1,787

4,419

2018Class I

67.2%Beto O'Rourke2,765

32.3%Ted Cruz1,330

4,113

2014Class II

74.6%David Alameel2,183

19.8%John Cornyn578

2,925

2012Class I

74.7%Paul Sadler3,078

22.9%Ted Cruz946

4,123

2008Class II

79.7%Richard J. Noriega3,386

18.2%John Cornyn773

4,247

2006Class I

77.1%Barbara A. Radnofsky2,363

21.9%Kay Bailey Hutchison672

3,066

2002Class II

86.6%Ron Kirk2,660

12.1%John Cornyn373

3,072

2000Class I

77.1%Gene Kelly3,800

21.8%Kay Bailey Hutchison1,076

4,926

1996Class II

85.5%Victor M. Morales3,896

14.0%Phil Gramm636

4,558

1994Class I

81.3%Richard Fisher2,745

18.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison621

3,376

1990Class II

77.6%Hugh Parmer2,895

21.4%Phil Gramm797

3,729

1988Class I

87.3%Lloyd Bentsen4,272

12.2%Beau Boulter598

4,891

1984Class II

78.4%Lloyd Doggett3,756

21.6%Phil Gramm1,037

4,793

1982Class I

88.2%Lloyd Bentsen3,395

10.8%James M. Collins417

3,851

1978Class II

80.2%Bob Krueger2,324

18.5%John G. Tower535

2,896

1976Class I

88.5%Lloyd Bentsen4,236

11.1%Alan Steelman532

4,784

1972Class II

85.8%Barefoot Sanders3,769

13.1%John G. Tower576

4,392

1970Class I

92.7%Lloyd Bentsen3,435

7.3%George H.W. Bush269

3,704

1966Class II

94.6%Waggoner Carr3,381

5.4%John G. Tower193

3,574

1964Class I

91.7%Ralph Yarborough4,394

8.3%George H.W. Bush396

4,794

1960Class II

83.8%Lyndon B. Johnson3,881

15.9%John G. Tower738

4,630

1958Class I

97.9%Ralph Yarborough3,660

2.0%Roy Whittenburg75

3,738

1954Class II

97.9%Lyndon B. Johnson2,662

1.9%Carlos G. Watson52

2,720

1952Class I

96.4%Price Daniel3,928

3.6%None148

4,076

1948Class II

96.3%Lyndon B. Johnson3,545

3.4%Jack Porter126

3,680

1946Class I

99.8%Tom Connally4,150

0.2%Murray C. Sells7

4,157

1942Class II

100.0%Pappy O'Daniel2,126

0.0%Dudley Lawson0

2,126

1940Class I

98.5%Tom Connally3,353

1.5%George I. Shannon52

3,405

1936Class II

95.7%Morris Sheppard2,920

4.2%Carlos G. Watson129

3,051

1934Class I

99.9%Tom Connally3,006

0.1%U.S. Goen3

3,009

1930Class II

93.7%Morris Sheppard1,741

6.3%D.J. Haesly118

1,859

1928Class I

74.1%Tom Connally1,251

25.9%T.M. Kennerly438

1,689

1924Class II

92.4%Morris Sheppard986

7.6%T.M. Kennerly81

1,067

1922Class I

81.7%Earle B. Mayfield437

18.3%George Peddy98

535

1918Class II

98.2%Morris Sheppard278

1.8%J. Webster Flanagan5

283

1916Class I

94.8%Charles Culberson604

4.7%Alex W. Atcheson30

637

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1993Special · Class I

80.8%Robert Krueger1,228

19.2%Kay Bailey Hutchison292

1,520

1961Special · Class II

87.8%William A. Blakley2,326

12.2%John G. Tower323

2,649

1957Special · Class I

0.2%Ralph Yarborough6

18.1%Thad Hutcheson462

2,557

1941Special · Class II

0.1%Pappy O'Daniel1

99.9%Polittle Evans1,618

1,619

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

54.9%O'Rourke2,018

43.5%Abbott1,600

3,676

2018

62.1%Valdez2,456

37.3%Abbott1,477

3,955

2014

73.0%Wendy Davis2,251

24.3%Greg Abbott750

3,084

2010

73.5%Bill White2,213

24.5%Rick Perry738

3,010

2006

64.4%Chris Bell2,087

16.2%Rick Perry526

3,242

2002

87.4%Tony Sanchez2,772

11.9%Rick Perry377

3,170

1998

77.6%Garry Mauro2,906

22.0%George W. Bush825

3,745

1994

82.3%Ann Richards2,809

17.4%George W. Bush595

3,413

1990

75.5%Ann Richards3,174

21.0%Clayton Williams881

4,203

1986

78.3%Mark White3,183

20.9%Bill Clements851

4,063

1982

85.9%Mark White3,434

13.3%Bill Clements530

3,996

1978

74.8%John Luke Hill2,188

23.7%Bill Clements692

2,925

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Duval County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	7,139
2018	1,971
2020	8,346
2022	8,129
2024	8,031

How did Duval County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Duval County, Texas voted Republican by 9.8 points (R+9.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,461 votes cast, 2,003 went Democratic and 2,439 went Republican.

When did Duval County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Duval County, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Duval County, Texas?

Duval County, Texas has a population of 9,742 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Duval County, Texas?

Median household income in Duval County, Texas is $49,038 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Duval County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Duval County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.