akashic
1876–2024
State House District 31·Texas

Texas 31st State House District changed direction in the last decade — R+37 in 2024.

One of Texas's most lopsided legislative districts by presidential margin

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+37
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
188,342
2024 ACS

Texas 31st State House District, Texas: Recent convert district. In 2024, voted R+37%. Democratic peak: D+86 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+37MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
188,3422024 5-year
Median household income
$58,5352024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
46.4%2024 5-year
Black
1.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
71.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+86 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+37 in 2024MIT Election Lab
11 counties · 2 D · 9 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−36.9%
21,97347,87370,232
R
−25.0%
25,76043,10069,421
R
−3.3%
25,64827,44554,396
D
+7.2%
27,48023,76551,651
D
+7.4%
26,05222,45548,768
R
−2.8%
23,33724,69348,224
D
+10.3%
23,68619,22043,383
D
+34.6%
25,44511,78139,500
D
+32.3%
26,73812,32444,640
D
+31.6%
27,71014,36642,253
D
+13.1%
22,34017,15239,589
D
+21.8%
22,05914,06336,623
D
+47.9%
24,8058,70333,627
D
+3.7%
15,52514,42529,999
D
+41.4%
18,4216,93527,751
D
+65.8%
22,6114,65327,306
D
+48.3%
18,9826,60225,612
D
+20.6%
13,5218,88622,502
D
+23.0%
15,2459,53824,805
D
+64.2%
14,3732,89117,877
D
+60.8%
12,3462,67515,917
D
+63.3%
13,4223,00716,442
D
+76.6%
13,1261,71114,905
D
+85.9%
10,78080611,610
D
+34.0%
6,4963,1979,695
D
+56.1%
8,4172,11211,237
D
+28.7%
3,6991,8846,328
D
+52.7%
4,0361,2125,362
D
+64.9%
4,1756815,380
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
7.3%
English
3.9%
Irish
3.2%
American
2.9%
Polish
2.3%
Italian
0.7%
Scottish
0.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
43.7%
speak English only
Spanish55.5%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
54.1%
Baptist
6.4%
Other Christian
4.1%
Methodist
1.3%
Mainline Protestant
0.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 32.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+52.5, this West Texas or rural district ranks among the state's most one-sided in presidential voting, leaving general-election outcomes largely predetermined and primary contests as the decisive political events.

The 2016 election was the turning point, when the Republican candidate carried the district by three points. The 2024 margin was thirty-seven points, in line with the district's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 188,342, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,535 situate the district in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 31, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 31, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 31, Texas voted Republican by 36.9 points (R+37), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 70,232 votes cast, 21,973 went Democratic and 47,873 went Republican.
What is State House District 31, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 31, Texas as a "Recent convert" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 4 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District 31, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 31, Texas voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State House District 31, Texas?
State House District 31, Texas has a population of 188,342 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 31, Texas?
Median household income in State House District 31, Texas is $58,535 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of State House District 31, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 31, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 4 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.