El Paso, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +11.7% |
| 2008 | +30.4% |
| 2012 | +30.3% |
| 2016 | +41.1% |
| 2020 | +36.0% |
| 2024 | +17.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 58.1%Harris120,145 | 40.4%Trump83,480 | 1.5% | D+17.7 | R+18.2 | D+19.2 | 206,784 | |
| D | 67.5%Biden150,432 | 31.5%Trump70,265 | 1.0% | D+36.0 | R+5.2 | D+31.5 | 222,991 | |
| D | 67.6%Clinton124,989 | 26.5%Trump48,960 | 5.9% | D+41.1 | D+10.9 | D+39.1 | 184,788 | |
| D | 64.4%Obama97,264 | 34.1%Romney51,540 | 1.5% | D+30.3 | R+0.1 | D+26.4 | 151,079 | |
| D | 64.9%Obama106,095 | 34.5%McCain56,449 | 0.6% | D+30.4 | D+18.7 | D+23.1 | 163,456 | |
| D | 55.6%Kerry84,441 | 43.9%Bush66,729 | 0.5% | D+11.7 | — | D+14.1 | 151,973 |
El Paso sits at the U.S.-Mexico border and is roughly 80% Hispanic, producing some of the most lopsided Democratic margins of any large Texas city — yet voter turnout consistently trails comparable metros nationwide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 18.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.7 points.
A population of 680,130, a 12% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,745 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ontario and San Bernardino.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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El Paso, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4824000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.