HarrisDemocratic50.7%128,385TrumpRepublican47.2%119,538KennedyNonpartisan0.8%1,984
D+3.5- Lead
- 8,847
- Total
- 253,013
- vs nation
- D+5.0
Akashicmedia market
Duluth-Superior
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
12 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic52.2%131,157TrumpRepublican45.8%115,102OtherAll other candidates2.1%5,232
D+6.4- Lead
- 16,055
- Total
- 251,491
- vs nation
- D+1.9
ClintonDemocratic48.0%110,780TrumpRepublican44.0%101,739OtherAll other candidates8.0%18,486
D+3.9- Lead
- 9,041
- Total
- 231,005
- vs nation
- D+1.8
ObamaDemocratic60.9%143,729RomneyRepublican36.8%86,694OtherAll other candidates2.3%5,450
D+24.2- Lead
- 57,035
- Total
- 235,873
- vs nation
- D+20.3
ObamaDemocratic62.6%151,210McCainRepublican35.3%85,265OtherAll other candidates2.1%5,191
D+27.3- Lead
- 65,945
- Total
- 241,666
- vs nation
- D+20.0
KerryDemocratic61.5%151,292BushRepublican37.2%91,541OtherAll other candidates1.2%2,985
D+24.3- Lead
- 59,751
- Total
- 245,818
- vs nation
- D+26.8
GoreDemocratic56.2%122,488BushRepublican37.0%80,695OtherAll other candidates6.8%14,806
D+19.2- Lead
- 41,793
- Total
- 217,989
- vs nation
- D+18.7
ClintonDemocratic57.3%115,136DoleRepublican28.3%56,779OtherAll other candidates14.4%28,878
D+29.1- Lead
- 58,357
- Total
- 200,793
- vs nation
- D+20.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 426,1522024 5-year
- Population density
- 18 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 23,388 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,0552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+49.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- La Crosse-Eau Claire, WI · twin score 79.6
presidential history
Party record book
Duluth-Superior · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
74.5%
150,238 votes · D+49.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 72.6%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
76.6%
29,239 votes · R+61.4
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · 66.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
151,292votes
61.5% of the vote · D+24.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 151,210 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
119,538votes
47.2% of the vote · D+3.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 115,102 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+46.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+28.4 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +38.5 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+41.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.4 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1908 · +29.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,360 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,390 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −79 |
| 2012 | −847 |
| 2013 | +384 |
| 2014 | −237 |
| 2015 | −1,167 |
| 2016 | −676 |
| 2017 | +44 |
| 2018 | +394 |
| 2019 | −1,144 |
| 2021 | +1,105 |
| 2022 | +3,933 |
| 2023 | +1,392 |
| 2024 | +928 |
| 2025 | +1,360 |
The Duluth-Superior market straddles two states and blends historic union-labor Democratic strength in Minnesota's Iron Range with more volatile suburban and Wisconsin exurban precincts that have trended competitive in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.5 points.
A population of 426,152, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,055 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of La Crosse-Eau Claire and Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City & Dubuque.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
La Crosse-Eau Claire
Wisconsin
79.6twin score
2008–2012 trajectory12-yr trend% White≠ elasticity
Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City & Dubuque
Iowa
78.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois
77.9twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth-Superior, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/676/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Duluth-Superior, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth-Superior, Minnesota voted Democratic by 3.5 points (D+3.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 253,013 votes cast, 128,385 went Democratic and 119,538 went Republican.
When did Duluth-Superior, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth-Superior, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Duluth-Superior, Minnesota has a population of 426,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota is $70,055 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.