Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Duluth-Superior
presidential margin
2008D+27.32012D+24.22016D+3.92020D+6.42024D+3.5
full record · 1892 → 2024
D+3.5
2024
median income$70,055U.S. $80,734 · MN $77,485
median age44.3U.S. 39.1
poverty rate12.5%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)30.3%U.S. 35.6%
non-english2.9%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German23.5%
Norwegian11.2%
Irish9.5%
Mexican1.1%
Puerto Rican0.2%
African American†0.8%
religion
other traditions
Mainline11.5%
Other Christian0.7%
Latter-day Saints0.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Duluth-Superior, Minnesota

Akashic
Duluth-SuperiorHarrisD+3.5
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Duluth-Superior, MNA map of the constituent counties of Duluth-Superior, MN, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Ashland County, WI · D+4.7Iron County, WI · R+26.2Gogebic County, MI · R+17.1Lake County, MN · D+3.9Sawyer County, WI · R+16.4Koochiching County, MN · R+25.6Cook County, MN · D+34.8Itasca County, MN · R+20.1Bayfield County, WI · D+11.1Douglas County, WI · D+5.3Carlton County, MN · R+2.5St. Louis County, MN · D+13.7
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic50.7%128,385
Donald TrumpRepublican47.2%119,538
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People2.0%5,090
D+60
R+60
12 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (12 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Duluth-Superior, MN — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Ashland County, WIDemocraticD+4.7
Bayfield County, WIDemocraticD+11.1
Carlton County, MNRepublicanR+2.5
Cook County, MNDemocraticD+34.8
Douglas County, WIDemocraticD+5.3
Gogebic County, MIRepublicanR+17.1
Iron County, WIRepublicanR+26.2
Itasca County, MNRepublicanR+20.1
Koochiching County, MNRepublicanR+25.6
Lake County, MNDemocraticD+3.9
Sawyer County, WIRepublicanR+16.4
St. Louis County, MNDemocraticD+13.7
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
50.7%Harris128,385
47.2%Trump119,538
2.0%Kennedy5,090
+3.5%
253,013
D
52.2%Biden131,157
45.8%Trump115,102
2.1%Jorgensen5,232
+6.4%
251,491
D
48.0%Clinton110,780
44.0%Trump101,739
8.0%Johnson18,486
+3.9%
231,005
D
60.9%Obama143,729
36.8%Romney86,694
2.3%Johnson5,450
+24.2%
235,873
D
62.6%Obama151,210
35.3%McCain85,265
2.1%Nader5,191
+27.3%
241,666
D
61.5%Kerry151,292
37.2%Bush91,541
1.2%Nader2,985
+24.3%
245,818
D
56.2%Gore122,488
37.0%Bush80,695
6.8%Nader14,806
+19.2%
217,989
D
57.3%Clinton115,136
28.3%Dole56,779
14.4%Perot28,878
+29.1%
200,793
D
53.1%Clinton116,819
25.4%Bush55,963
21.5%Perot47,297
+27.7%
220,079
D
64.3%Dukakis131,713
34.8%Bush71,370
0.9%McCarthy1,837
+29.4%
204,920
D
63.8%Mondale141,670
35.4%Reagan78,676
0.8%Larouche1,798
+28.4%
222,144
D
56.7%Carter129,412
33.8%Reagan77,074
9.5%Anderson21,728
+22.9%
228,214
D
63.8%Carter140,949
33.2%Ford73,269
3.0%McCarthy6,533
+30.7%
220,751
D
55.0%McGovern110,638
43.3%Nixon87,118
1.6%Schmitz3,313
+11.7%
201,069
D
66.8%Humphrey130,328
28.9%Nixon56,501
4.3%Wallace8,385
+37.8%
195,214
D
74.5%Johnson150,238
25.2%Goldwater50,722
0.3%Hass590
+49.4%
201,550
D
61.3%Kennedy129,871
38.3%Nixon81,202
0.4%Byrd880
+23.0%
211,953
D
56.9%Stevenson112,385
42.7%Eisenhower84,386
0.4%Andrews875
+14.2%
197,646
D
57.4%Stevenson114,961
41.6%Eisenhower83,408
0.9%Hallinan1,892
+15.8%
200,261
D
62.9%Truman118,417
31.5%Dewey59,349
5.5%Thurmond10,431
+31.4%
188,197
D
66.2%Roosevelt118,971
32.9%Dewey59,124
0.9%Thomas1,670
+33.3%
179,765
D
65.1%Roosevelt134,922
33.5%Willkie69,504
1.4%Thomas2,975
+31.5%
207,401
D
72.6%Roosevelt135,540
25.3%Landon47,275
2.1%Lemke3,937
+47.3%
186,752
D
50.9%Roosevelt82,433
40.2%Hoover65,154
9.0%Thomas14,515
+10.7%
162,102
R
36.0%Smith51,636
60.5%Hoover86,653
3.5%Thomas5,021
−24.4%
143,310
R
4.5%Davis5,685
51.8%Coolidge65,404
43.7%La Follette55,206
−47.3%
126,295
R
25.1%Cox24,574
61.9%Harding60,695
13.0%Debs12,745
−36.9%
98,014
D
44.4%Wilson24,527
43.1%Hughes23,844
12.5%Benson6,914
+1.2%
55,285
O
26.3%Wilson12,001
19.3%Taft8,828
54.4%Roosevelt24,821
Roosevelt +28.1
45,650
R
24.9%Bryan11,371
63.7%Taft29,041
11.4%Debs5,179
−38.8%
45,591
R
15.2%Parker5,802
76.6%Roosevelt29,239
8.2%Debs3,145
−61.4%
38,186
R
30.2%Bryan11,603
66.5%McKinley25,579
3.3%Woolley1,261
−36.4%
38,443
R
37.6%Bryan15,824
60.7%McKinley25,521
1.7%Palmer717
−23.1%
42,062
R
40.1%Cleveland12,855
50.6%Harrison16,245
9.3%Weaver2,990
−10.6%
32,090
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: +3.5% in 2024.flipped D · 1932+3.5%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−10.6%
1896−23.1%
1900−36.4%
1904−61.4%
1908−38.8%
1912+7.0%
1916+1.2%
1920−36.9%
1924−47.3%
1928−24.4%
1932+10.7%
1936+47.3%
1940+31.5%
1944+33.3%
1948+31.4%
1952+15.8%
1956+14.2%
1960+23.0%
1964+49.4%
1968+37.8%
1972+11.7%
1976+30.7%
1980+22.9%
1984+28.4%
1988+29.4%
1992+27.7%
1996+29.1%
2000+19.2%
2004+24.3%
2008+27.3%
2012+24.2%
2016+3.9%
2020+6.4%
2024+3.5%
DemocraticRepublican

The Duluth-Superior market straddles two states and blends historic union-labor Democratic strength in Minnesota's Iron Range with more volatile suburban and Wisconsin exurban precincts that have trended competitive in recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 49.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.5 points.

A population of 426,152, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,055 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of La Crosse-Eau Claire and Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City & Dubuque.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

La Crosse-Eau Claire
Wisconsin
79.6twin score
2008–2012 trajectory12-yr trend% White≠ elasticity
Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City & Dubuque
Iowa
78.5twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois
77.9twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Duluth-Superior, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/676/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Duluth-Superior

counties12
Ashland CountyBayfield CountyCarlton CountyCook CountyDouglas CountyGogebic CountyIron CountyItasca CountyKoochiching CountyLake CountySawyer CountySt. Louis County

Frequently asked questions

How did Duluth-Superior, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Duluth-Superior, Minnesota voted Democratic by 3.5 points (D+3.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 253,013 votes cast, 128,385 went Democratic and 119,538 went Republican.
When did Duluth-Superior, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Duluth-Superior, Minnesota voted Republican was 1928.
How many people live in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Duluth-Superior, Minnesota has a population of 426,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Median household income in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota is $70,055 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Duluth-Superior, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Duluth-Superior, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.