- Lead
- 1,274
- Total
- 3,660
- vs nation
- D+36.3
- Turnout
- 78.5%
Cook County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.5% of 4,695 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,293
- Total
- 3,806
- vs nation
- D+29.5
- Turnout
- 87.4%
- Lead
- 756
- Total
- 3,395
- vs nation
- D+20.2
- Turnout
- 81.7%
- Lead
- 772
- Total
- 3,322
- vs nation
- D+19.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 779
- Total
- 3,348
- vs nation
- D+16.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 244
- Total
- 3,303
- vs nation
- D+9.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 124
- Total
- 2,820
- vs nation
- R+4.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 159
- Total
- 2,529
- vs nation
- R+2.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+34.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,6352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,6382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- San Juan County, WA · twin score 90.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.5%3,687 participants ÷ 4,695 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.1%–66.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,449 | 4,224 | 81.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,215 | 4,293 | 74.9% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,816 | 4,365 | 87.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,253 | 4,647 | 70.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,687 | 4,695 | 78.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
27 precincts · 3,660 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -GRAND MARAIS EAST PCT 5GRAND MARAIS EAST PCT 5 | 326 | 120 | 16 | 462 | 70.6% | 26.0% | D+44.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CASCADE PCT 7CASCADE PCT 7 | 298 | 120 | 15 | 433 | 68.8% | 27.7% | D+41.1 |
| Precinct -GRAND MARAIS WEST PCT 6GRAND MARAIS WEST PCT 6 | 272 | 81 | 11 | 364 | 74.7% | 22.3% | D+52.5 |
| Precinct -LUTSEN PCT 10LUTSEN PCT 10 | 249 | 103 | 11 | 363 | 68.6% | 28.4% | D+40.2 |
| Precinct -COLVILL PCT 8BCOLVILL PCT 8B | 224 | 97 | 13 | 334 | 67.1% | 29.0% | D+38.0 |
| Precinct -MAPLE HILL PREC 8AMAPLE HILL PREC 8A | 179 | 121 | 7 | 307 | 58.3% | 39.4% | D+18.9 |
| Precinct -GUNFLINT PCT 8GUNFLINT PCT 8 | 165 | 94 | 6 | 265 | 62.3% | 35.5% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -CROFTVILLE PCT 4CROFTVILLE PCT 4 | 152 | 105 | 4 | 261 | 58.2% | 40.2% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -HOVLAND PCT 2HOVLAND PCT 2 | 136 | 80 | 10 | 226 | 60.2% | 35.4% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct -GRAND PORTAGE PCT 1GRAND PORTAGE PCT 1 | 114 | 51 | 2 | 167 | 68.3% | 30.5% | D+37.7 |
| Precinct -TOFTE TWP PCT 11TOFTE TWP PCT 11 | 107 | 52 | 1 | 160 | 66.9% | 32.5% | D+34.4 |
| Precinct -MAGNEY PCT 3MAGNEY PCT 3 | 60 | 50 | 3 | 113 | 53.1% | 44.2% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -SCHROEDER TWP PCT 12SCHROEDER TWP PCT 12 | 68 | 34 | 2 | 104 | 65.4% | 32.7% | D+32.7 |
| Precinct -PIKE LAKE PCT 9PIKE LAKE PCT 9 | 66 | 34 | 1 | 101 | 65.3% | 33.7% | D+31.7 |
| Cascade Prec. 727_270310030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colvill Prec. 327_270310005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Croftville Prec. 427_270310055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grand Marais East Prec. 527_270310010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grand Marais West Prec. 627_270310015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grand Portage Prec. 127_270310020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hovland Prec. 227_270310025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lutsen Prec. 1027_270310035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maple Hill Prec. 827_270310040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pike Lake Prec. 927_270310060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Schroeder Twp. Prec. 1227_270310045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tofte Twp. Prec. 1127_270310050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting Districts not defined27_27031ZZZZZZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −37.1% |
| 1896 | +13.5% |
| 1900 | −10.4% |
| 1904 | −70.4% |
| 1908 | −65.1% |
| 1912 | +10.1% |
| 1916 | +10.2% |
| 1920 | −57.6% |
| 1924 | −63.8% |
| 1928 | −46.5% |
| 1932 | +7.7% |
| 1936 | +33.7% |
| 1940 | +1.0% |
| 1944 | +3.0% |
| 1948 | +1.0% |
| 1952 | −30.5% |
| 1956 | −23.5% |
| 1960 | −20.5% |
| 1964 | +12.2% |
| 1968 | −4.4% |
| 1972 | −16.8% |
| 1976 | −0.8% |
| 1980 | −12.2% |
| 1984 | −3.8% |
| 1988 | +0.1% |
| 1992 | +4.9% |
| 1996 | +6.3% |
| 2000 | −4.4% |
| 2004 | +7.4% |
| 2008 | +23.3% |
| 2012 | +23.2% |
| 2016 | +22.3% |
| 2020 | +34.0% |
| 2024 | +34.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 66.8%2,399 | 33.2%1,194 | 3,593 |
| 2020 | D | 63.7%2,277 | 36.3%1,299 | 3,576 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,764 |
| 2018 | 3,819 |
| 2020 | 4,131 |
| 2022 | 4,017 |
| 2024 | 4,155 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−5 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +85 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,014 in average income, against $74,824 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+27.4 on average — 7.4 points more Republican-leaning than Cook County, MN itself (D+34.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Louis County, MN22D+13.7
- Hennepin County, MN20D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Louis County, MN34
- Hennepin County, MN30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +39 |
| 2012 | −47 |
| 2013 | +7 |
| 2014 | +45 |
| 2015 | −41 |
| 2016 | +54 |
| 2017 | +57 |
| 2018 | −6 |
| 2019 | +10 |
| 2021 | +52 |
| 2022 | +86 |
| 2023 | −91 |
| 2024 | −75 |
| 2025 | −5 |
Cook County's vast wilderness and small, dispersed population have long produced lopsided Democratic margins — its 2024 result of D+34.8 makes it one of Minnesota's most reliably left-leaning rural counties, an unusual pattern in nonurban America.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 70.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.8 points.
A population of 5,635, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,638 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Juan County and Jefferson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cook County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.