- Lead
- 832
- Total
- 2,824
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Turnout
- 72.2%
Big Stone County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.2% of 3,952 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 810
- Total
- 2,974
- vs nation
- R+31.7
- Turnout
- 77.2%
- Lead
- 687
- Total
- 2,755
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Turnout
- 69.4%
- Lead
- 40
- Total
- 2,789
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 190
- Total
- 2,990
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 53
- Total
- 3,067
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 60
- Total
- 2,980
- vs nation
- D+1.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 629
- Total
- 3,001
- vs nation
- D+12.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,1272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,4002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lac qui Parle County, MN · twin score 92.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.2%2,852 participants ÷ 3,952 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.3%–62.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,796 | 4,027 | 69.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,626 | 3,932 | 66.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,988 | 3,869 | 77.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,468 | 4,021 | 61.4% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,852 | 3,952 | 72.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
47 precincts · 2,824 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ORTONVILLE P-1ORTONVILLE P-1 | 168 | 295 | 11 | 474 | 35.4% | 62.2% | R+26.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ORTONVILLE P-3ORTONVILLE P-3 | 138 | 188 | 4 | 330 | 41.8% | 57.0% | R+15.2 |
| Precinct -GRACEVILLEGRACEVILLE | 101 | 218 | 4 | 323 | 31.3% | 67.5% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -ORTONVILLE P-2ORTONVILLE P-2 | 60 | 145 | 5 | 210 | 28.6% | 69.0% | R+40.5 |
| Precinct -CLINTONCLINTON | 67 | 122 | 9 | 198 | 33.8% | 61.6% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -BIG STONE TWPBIG STONE TWP | 51 | 135 | 3 | 189 | 27.0% | 71.4% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -PRIOR TWPPRIOR TWP | 51 | 71 | 0 | 122 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -AKRON TWPAKRON TWP | 48 | 57 | 5 | 110 | 43.6% | 51.8% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -BEARDSLEYBEARDSLEY | 38 | 66 | 4 | 108 | 35.2% | 61.1% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -FOSTER TWPFOSTER TWP | 35 | 58 | 0 | 93 | 37.6% | 62.4% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -ODESSA TWPODESSA TWP | 15 | 68 | 2 | 85 | 17.6% | 80.0% | R+62.4 |
| Precinct -BROWNS VALLEY TWPBROWNS VALLEY TWP | 35 | 47 | 1 | 83 | 42.2% | 56.6% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct -ODESSAODESSA | 21 | 41 | 1 | 63 | 33.3% | 65.1% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -GRACEVILLE TWPGRACEVILLE TWP | 14 | 44 | 2 | 60 | 23.3% | 73.3% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -ALMOND TWPALMOND TWP | 23 | 32 | 4 | 59 | 39.0% | 54.2% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -MALTA TWPMALTA TWP | 15 | 40 | 2 | 57 | 26.3% | 70.2% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -ARTICHOKE TWPARTICHOKE TWP | 29 | 23 | 1 | 53 | 54.7% | 43.4% | D+11.3 |
| Precinct -MOONSHINE TWPMOONSHINE TWP | 10 | 40 | 3 | 53 | 18.9% | 75.5% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -OTREY TWPOTREY TWP | 14 | 35 | 0 | 49 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -ORTONVILLE TWPORTONVILLE TWP | 17 | 27 | 0 | 44 | 38.6% | 61.4% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -TOQUA TWPTOQUA TWP | 2 | 21 | 2 | 25 | 8.0% | 84.0% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -CORRELLCORRELL | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15 | 33.3% | 60.0% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -JOHNSONJOHNSON | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -BARRYBARRY | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 70.0% | 30.0% | D+40.0 |
| Akron Twp. Voting District27_270110005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Almond Twp. Voting District27_270110010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Artichoke Twp. Voting District27_270110015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barry Voting District27_270110020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beardsley Voting District27_270110031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Big Stone Twp. Voting District27_270110025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Browns Valley Twp. Voting District27_270110030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clinton Voting District27_270110035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Correll Voting District27_270110040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Foster Twp. Voting District27_270110045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Graceville Twp. Voting District27_270110055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Graceville Voting District27_270110050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Johnson Voting District27_270110056 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Malta Twp. Voting District27_270110060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moonshine Twp. Voting District27_270110065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Odessa Twp. Voting District27_270110075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Odessa Voting District27_270110070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ortonville P-127_270110080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ortonville P-227_270110085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ortonville Twp. Voting District27_270110086 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Otrey Twp. Voting District27_270110090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prior Twp. Voting District27_270110095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Toqua Twp. Voting District27_270110100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −5.6% |
| 1896 | −16.3% |
| 1900 | −24.0% |
| 1904 | −54.3% |
| 1908 | −24.0% |
| 1912 | +25.8% |
| 1916 | +3.3% |
| 1920 | −63.6% |
| 1924 | −38.3% |
| 1928 | +13.0% |
| 1932 | +56.4% |
| 1936 | +38.3% |
| 1940 | +13.2% |
| 1944 | +13.6% |
| 1948 | +29.5% |
| 1952 | −3.5% |
| 1956 | +11.3% |
| 1960 | +14.1% |
| 1964 | +36.0% |
| 1968 | +12.0% |
| 1972 | +10.9% |
| 1976 | +31.2% |
| 1980 | −3.3% |
| 1984 | +4.5% |
| 1988 | +15.8% |
| 1992 | +16.3% |
| 1996 | +21.0% |
| 2000 | +2.0% |
| 2004 | +1.7% |
| 2008 | +6.4% |
| 2012 | −1.4% |
| 2016 | −24.9% |
| 2020 | −27.2% |
| 2024 | −29.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,265 |
| 2018 | 3,205 |
| 2020 | 3,315 |
| 2022 | 3,224 |
| 2024 | 3,313 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−2 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −140 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,843 in average income, against $74,844 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −37 |
| 2012 | −44 |
| 2013 | −50 |
| 2014 | +33 |
| 2015 | −74 |
| 2016 | +25 |
| 2017 | +21 |
| 2018 | −11 |
| 2019 | +1 |
| 2021 | +21 |
| 2022 | +3 |
| 2023 | −23 |
| 2024 | −3 |
| 2025 | −2 |
Big Stone sits along the South Dakota border with fewer than 6,000 residents spread across glacial lake plains. Republican presidential margins here have grown steadily over the past decade, reaching nearly 30 points in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.5 points.
A population of 5,127, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,400 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lac qui Parle County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Big Stone County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.