HarrisDemocratic51.5%1,446,825TrumpRepublican46.1%1,293,482KennedyIndependent0.7%20,087
D+5.5- Lead
- 153,343
- Total
- 2,808,701
- vs nation
- D+6.9
Akashicmedia market
Minneapolis-St. Paul
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
57 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic53.1%1,496,733TrumpRepublican44.6%1,257,681OtherAll other candidates2.3%65,164
D+8.5- Lead
- 239,052
- Total
- 2,819,578
- vs nation
- D+4.0
ClintonDemocratic47.2%1,188,079TrumpRepublican44.3%1,115,231OtherAll other candidates8.5%213,566
D+2.9- Lead
- 72,848
- Total
- 2,516,876
- vs nation
- D+0.8
ObamaDemocratic52.4%1,310,803RomneyRepublican45.3%1,135,323OtherAll other candidates2.3%57,688
D+7.0- Lead
- 175,480
- Total
- 2,503,814
- vs nation
- D+3.2
ObamaDemocratic53.8%1,326,697McCainRepublican44.2%1,091,200OtherAll other candidates2.0%50,234
D+9.5- Lead
- 235,497
- Total
- 2,468,131
- vs nation
- D+2.3
KerryDemocratic50.9%1,216,541BushRepublican47.8%1,142,431OtherAll other candidates1.2%29,770
D+3.1- Lead
- 74,110
- Total
- 2,388,742
- vs nation
- D+5.6
GoreDemocratic47.9%976,985BushRepublican45.4%926,258OtherAll other candidates6.6%134,844
D+2.5- Lead
- 50,727
- Total
- 2,038,087
- vs nation
- D+2.0
ClintonDemocratic51.3%925,219DoleRepublican34.7%625,371OtherAll other candidates14.0%253,275
D+16.6- Lead
- 299,848
- Total
- 1,803,865
- vs nation
- D+8.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,908,2642024 5-year
- Population density
- 117 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 41,945 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $93,9292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Milwaukee, WI · twin score 80.2
presidential history
Party record book
Minneapolis-St. Paul · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.1%
739,954 votes · D+26.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 60.9%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
74.4%
164,087 votes · R+55.6
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,496,733votes
53.1% of the vote · D+8.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,446,825 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,293,482votes
46.1% of the vote · D+5.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,257,681 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+17.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.4 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · +17.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+35.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.6 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +25.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+8,585 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −31,066 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4,407 |
| 2012 | −7,577 |
| 2013 | −203 |
| 2014 | −4,002 |
| 2015 | −9,399 |
| 2016 | −1,266 |
| 2017 | +9,828 |
| 2018 | +8,864 |
| 2019 | +3,784 |
| 2021 | −13,479 |
| 2022 | −14,465 |
| 2023 | −8,063 |
| 2024 | +734 |
| 2025 | +8,585 |
The Minneapolis–St. Paul designated market area spans the metro's mix of high-density urban precincts and fast-growing exurban counties, producing notable ticket-splitting patterns in statewide races that routinely tip on single-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.5 points.
A population of 4,908,264, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,929 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Milwaukee and Madison.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Milwaukee
Wisconsin
80.2twin score
2008–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ median income
Madison
Wisconsin
79.7twin score
college share2020–2024 trajectoryNorwegian ancestry≠ 2008 margin
Seattle-Tacoma
Washington
77.0twin score
population scalecollege share2004 margin≠ 2024 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/613/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Minneapolis-St. Paul
counties57
Aitkin CountyAnoka CountyBarron CountyBeltrami CountyBenton CountyBig Stone CountyBurnett CountyCarver CountyCass CountyChippewa CountyChisago CountyCottonwood CountyCrow Wing CountyDakota CountyDouglas CountyDunn CountyFaribault CountyGoodhue CountyGrant CountyHennepin CountyHubbard CountyIsanti CountyJackson CountyKanabec County+33 more
Frequently asked questions
How did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Democratic by 5.5 points (D+5.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,808,701 votes cast, 1,446,825 went Democratic and 1,293,482 went Republican.
When did Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?
Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota has a population of 4,908,264 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?
Median household income in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota is $93,929 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.