| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31,869 | 35,586 | 69,160 | |
| 2020 | R | 30,774 | 34,009 | 66,361 | |
| 2016 | R | 21,508 | 29,056 | 55,696 | |
| 2012 | R | 20,745 | 31,155 | 52,899 | |
| 2008 | R | 20,654 | 28,156 | 49,683 | |
| 2004 | R | 16,456 | 28,510 | 45,411 | |
| 2000 | R | 12,462 | 20,790 | 35,021 | |
| 1996 | R | 11,554 | 12,380 | 28,168 | |
| 1992 | R | 8,349 | 10,201 | 26,604 | |
| 1988 | R | 8,439 | 12,560 | 21,228 | |
| 1984 | R | 6,725 | 11,963 | 18,809 | |
| 1980 | R | 6,621 | 9,909 | 18,481 | |
| 1976 | R | 7,574 | 8,199 | 16,347 | |
| 1972 | R | 4,852 | 8,546 | 13,905 | |
| 1968 | R | 4,590 | 6,649 | 11,780 | |
| 1964 | R | 5,123 | 5,424 | 10,558 | |
| 1960 | R | 3,982 | 6,231 | 10,227 | |
| 1956 | R | 2,334 | 6,226 | 8,589 | |
| 1952 | R | 2,159 | 6,674 | 8,848 | |
| 1948 | R | 2,816 | 4,582 | 7,482 | |
| 1944 | R | 1,565 | 5,823 | 7,427 | |
| 1940 | R | 1,753 | 6,528 | 8,303 | |
| 1936 | R | 2,814 | 3,095 | 7,292 | |
| 1932 | D | 4,328 | 2,508 | 6,902 | |
| 1928 | R | 2,885 | 3,983 | 6,901 | |
| 1924 | R | 358 | 2,214 | 5,508 | |
| 1920 | R | 562 | 5,073 | 5,810 | |
| 1916 | R | 960 | 1,950 | 2,974 | |
| 1912 | D | 1,008 | 742 | 2,762 | |
| 1908 | R | 1,101 | 1,739 | 2,897 | |
| 1904 | R | 672 | 1,735 | 2,463 | |
| 1900 | R | 1,146 | 1,775 | 2,981 | |
| 1896 | R | 1,268 | 1,856 | 3,186 | |
| 1892 | R | 1,191 | 1,462 | 2,952 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Carver County sits on the southwestern edge of the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro, where rapid population growth since 2000 has gradually compressed what was once a double-digit Republican presidential margin to single digits by 2024.
The Republican margin in Carver County reached its widest at seventy-eight points in 1920. The margin in 2024 was five points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.
Carver County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $125,946, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 110,041 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walla Walla County and Houston County.
