akashic
1876–2024
Carver County, Minnesota
Carver County·Minnesota

Carver County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

A Twin Cities exurb where suburban realignment is still playing out

18762024·38 elections
Carver County, Minnesota · Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
110,041
2024 ACS
Most similar
Walla Walla County
WA · similarity 0.98
37 precincts · 69,160 votes cast
Trump · R+5
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−5.4%
31,86935,58669,160
2020R
−4.9%
30,77434,00966,361
2016R
−13.6%
21,50829,05655,696
2012R
−19.7%
20,74531,15552,899
2008R
−15.1%
20,65428,15649,683
2004R
−26.5%
16,45628,51045,411
2000R
−23.8%
12,46220,79035,021
1996R
−2.9%
11,55412,38028,168
1992R
−7.0%
8,34910,20126,604
1988R
−19.4%
8,43912,56021,228
1984R
−27.8%
6,72511,96318,809
1980R
−17.8%
6,6219,90918,481
1976R
−3.8%
7,5748,19916,347
1972R
−26.6%
4,8528,54613,905
1968R
−17.5%
4,5906,64911,780
1964R
−2.9%
5,1235,42410,558
1960R
−22.0%
3,9826,23110,227
1956R
−45.3%
2,3346,2268,589
1952R
−51.0%
2,1596,6748,848
1948R
−23.6%
2,8164,5827,482
1944R
−57.3%
1,5655,8237,427
1940R
−57.5%
1,7536,5288,303
1936R
−3.9%
2,8143,0957,292
1932D
+26.4%
4,3282,5086,902
1928R
−15.9%
2,8853,9836,901
1924R
−33.7%
3582,2145,508
1920R
−77.6%
5625,0735,810
1916R
−33.3%
9601,9502,974
1912D
+9.6%
1,0087422,762
1908R
−22.0%
1,1011,7392,897
1904R
−43.2%
6721,7352,463
1900R
−21.1%
1,1461,7752,981
1896R
−18.5%
1,2681,8563,186
1892R
−9.2%
1,1911,4622,952
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
26.0%
Mainline Protestant
17.7%
Other Christian
6.3%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.1%
Methodist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carver County sits on the southwestern edge of the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro, where rapid population growth since 2000 has gradually compressed what was once a double-digit Republican presidential margin to single digits by 2024.

The Republican margin in Carver County reached its widest at seventy-eight points in 1920. The margin in 2024 was five points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Carver County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $125,946, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 110,041 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Walla Walla County and Houston County.