- Lead
- 2,651
- Total
- 28,966
- vs nation
- R+7.7
Minnesota State House District 48A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,409
- Total
- 26,639
- vs nation
- R+13.5
- Lead
- 3,930
- Total
- 21,454
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Lead
- 5,046
- Total
- 20,430
- vs nation
- R+28.6
- Lead
- 3,871
- Total
- 19,134
- vs nation
- R+27.5
- Lead
- 5,526
- Total
- 17,600
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Lead
- 3,893
- Total
- 13,536
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Lead
- 818
- Total
- 10,772
- vs nation
- R+16.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,7242024 5-year
- Population density
- 408 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 105 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $143,6602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 57A, MN · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 48A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
60.6%
1,577 votes · D+22.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 56.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
88.5%
2,052 votes · R+79.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · 80.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
12,800votes
44.2% of the vote · R+9.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 11,792 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,451votes
53.3% of the vote · R+9.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,201 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+4.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+22.1 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +1.7 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+70.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.5 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +68.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.7%11,118 | 57.3%14,909 | 26,027 |
Minnesota House District 48A sits in the outer Twin Cities exurban fringe, where population growth and a predominantly white, working-class base have shifted presidential margins steadily rightward over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.9 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 9.2 points.
A population of 42,724, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $143,660 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 57A and State House District 54B.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 48A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2748A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.