HarrisDemocratic50.9%1,656,979TrumpRepublican46.7%1,519,032KennedyWe The People0.7%24,001
D+4.2- Lead
- 137,947
- Total
- 3,253,920
- vs nation
- D+5.7
- Turnout
- 77.0%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,739,4452024 5-year
- Population density
- 72 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 79,632 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,0622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wisconsin, WI · twin score 67.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.0%3,271,069 participants ÷ 4,247,053 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.1%–62.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,973,744 | 3,980,474 | 74.7% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,618,245 | 4,037,295 | 64.9% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,290,013 | 4,113,452 | 80.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,526,646 | 4,206,890 | 60.1% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,271,069 | 4,247,053 | 77.0% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.8%
991,117 votes · D+27.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 61.8%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
74.0%
216,651 votes · R+55.1
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 70.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,717,077votes
52.4% of the vote · D+7.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,656,979 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,519,032votes
46.7% of the vote · D+4.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,484,065 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Walter Mondale1984
+18.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+0.2 · U.S. R+18.2
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +17.6 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+35.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.1 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +25.0 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seat
Amy KlobucharnomineeLisa DemuthnomineeSteve YoungnomineeKendall Qualls
Open seat: Walz ended his campaign in January 2026. Sen. Amy Klobuchar won the Aug 11 DFL primary with 89.7%; House Speaker Lisa Demuth won the GOP primary with 43.4% over Mike Lindell (32.5%) and Kendall Qualls (21.4%).
U.S. Senateopen seat
Peggy FlanagannomineeMichele TafoyanomineeRebecca WhitingnomineeAngie Craig
Open seat: Tina Smith retiring. Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan beat Rep. Angie Craig 59.0%-39.4% in the Aug 11 DFL primary; Michele Tafoya won the GOP primary with 52.1%. Libertarian Rebecca Whiting petitioned onto the ballot.
U.S. House elections · 200 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 4 · R 4 | 50.2% | 49.3% | 3,146,762 | |
| D 4 · R 4 | 50.1% | 48.1% | 2,495,832 | |
| D 4 · R 4 | 48.7% | 46.2% | 3,193,809 | |
| D 5 · R 3 | 55.1% | 43.7% | 2,576,996 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,473,972 |
| 2018 | 3,422,515 |
| 2020 | 3,731,016 |
| 2022 | 3,624,200 |
| 2024 | 3,853,668 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+8,300 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −57,975 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4,853 |
| 2012 | −9,113 |
| 2013 | −1,373 |
| 2014 | −6,701 |
| 2015 | −11,865 |
| 2016 | −2,475 |
| 2017 | +7,531 |
| 2018 | +6,566 |
| 2019 | +65 |
| 2021 | −14,970 |
| 2022 | −17,106 |
| 2023 | −11,777 |
| 2024 | −204 |
| 2025 | +8,300 |
St. Louis County, around Duluth, voted Democratic by 29.6 points in 2012 and by 13.7 in 2024 — the margin cut in half in a dozen years.
- The longest streak
- Democratic for president every election since 1976; the last Republican win was 1972 · MIT Election Lab
- The one state Reagan missed, 1984
- Mondale by 3,761 votes — D+0.2, the closest result in the country that year · MIT Election Lab
- The 2024 margin
- D+7.1 (2020) → D+4.2 (2024), a 2.9-pt slip toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The Twin Cities hold it
- Ramsey (St. Paul) D+43.1 and Hennepin (Minneapolis) D+42.4 — the bluest counties in the state · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The Iron Range moved
- St. Louis County (Duluth) D+29.6 (2012) → D+13.7 (2024); Itasca D+9.8 (2012) → R+20.1 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Educated and low-poverty
- 39.4% hold a bachelor’s degree (10th of 50); 9.3% poverty rate (3rd-lowest) · ACS 2024 5-year
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
67.1twin score
% WhiteGerman ancestryScottish ancestry≠ Polish ancestry
Massachusetts
Massachusetts
42.1twin score
elasticityScottish ancestry% Black≠ 2000 margin
Washington
Washington
40.2twin score
elasticity2000–2004 trajectorycollege share≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MN/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota voted Democratic by 4.2 points (D+4.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,253,920 votes cast, 1,656,979 went Democratic and 1,519,032 went Republican.
When did Minnesota last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Minnesota?
Minnesota has a population of 5,739,445 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota?
Median household income in Minnesota is $89,062 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.