Minnesota — Elections 1892–2024

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−8.3%
1896	−15.7%
1900	−24.5%
1904	−55.1%
1908	−26.2%
1912	+12.6%
1916	−0.1%
1920	−51.2%
1924	−44.4%
1928	−16.9%
1932	+23.6%
1936	+30.8%
1940	+3.8%
1944	+5.5%
1948	+17.3%
1952	−11.2%
1956	−7.6%
1960	+1.4%
1964	+27.8%
1968	+12.5%
1972	−5.5%
1976	+12.9%
1980	+3.9%
1984	+0.2%
1988	+7.0%
1992	+11.6%
1996	+16.1%
2000	+2.4%
2004	+3.5%
2008	+10.2%
2012	+7.7%
2016	+1.5%
2020	+7.1%
2024	+4.2%

DemocraticRepublican

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	D	50.9%Harris1,656,971	46.7%Trump1,519,020	0.7%Kennedy24,001	+4.2%	3,253,886
2020	D	52.4%Biden1,717,077	45.3%Trump1,484,065	1.1%Jorgensen34,976	+7.1%	3,277,171
2016	D	46.4%Clinton1,367,825	44.9%Trump1,323,232	3.8%Johnson112,972	+1.5%	2,945,233
2012	D	52.7%Obama1,546,167	45.0%Romney1,320,225	1.2%Johnson35,098	+7.7%	2,936,561
2008	D	54.1%Obama1,573,354	43.8%McCain1,275,409	1.0%Nader30,152	+10.2%	2,910,370
2004	D	51.1%Kerry1,445,014	47.6%Bush1,346,695	0.7%Nader18,683	+3.5%	2,828,387
2000	D	47.9%Gore1,168,266	45.5%Bush1,109,659	5.2%Nader126,696	+2.4%	2,438,685
1996	D	51.1%Clinton1,120,438	35.0%Dole766,476	11.8%Perot257,698	+16.1%	2,192,640
1992	D	43.5%Clinton1,020,997	31.9%Bush747,841	24.0%Perot562,506	+11.6%	2,347,948
1988	D	53.0%Dukakis1,109,471	46.0%Bush962,337	0.3%McCarthy5,403	+7.0%	2,093,176
1984	D	49.7%Mondale1,036,364	49.6%Reagan1,032,603	0.2%Larouche3,865	+0.2%	2,083,726
1980	D	46.5%Carter954,174	42.6%Reagan873,241	8.5%Anderson174,997	+3.9%	2,051,672
1976	D	54.9%Carter1,070,440	42.0%Ford819,395	1.8%McCarthy35,490	+12.9%	1,949,589
1972	R	46.1%McGovern802,346	51.6%Nixon898,269	2.4%Schmitz41,037	−5.5%	1,741,652
1968	D	54.0%Humphrey857,738	41.5%Nixon658,643	4.5%Wallace72,125	+12.5%	1,588,506
1964	D	63.8%Johnson991,117	36.0%Goldwater559,624	0.2%Hass3,721	+27.8%	1,554,462
1960	D	50.6%Kennedy779,933	49.2%Nixon757,915	0.3%Byrd4,039	+1.4%	1,541,887
1956	R	46.1%Stevenson617,525	53.7%Eisenhower719,302	0.2%Andrews3,178	−7.6%	1,340,005
1952	R	44.1%Stevenson608,458	55.3%Eisenhower763,211	0.6%Hallinan7,814	−11.2%	1,379,483
1948	D	57.2%Truman692,966	39.9%Dewey483,617	2.9%Thurmond35,643	+17.3%	1,212,226
1944	D	52.4%Roosevelt589,864	46.9%Dewey527,416	0.7%Thomas8,224	+5.5%	1,125,504
1940	D	51.5%Roosevelt644,196	47.7%Willkie596,274	0.9%Thomas10,718	+3.8%	1,251,188
1936	D	61.8%Roosevelt698,811	31.0%Landon350,461	7.1%Lemke80,703	+30.8%	1,129,975
1932	D	59.9%Roosevelt600,806	36.3%Hoover363,959	3.8%Thomas38,078	+23.6%	1,002,843
1928	R	40.8%Smith396,451	57.8%Hoover560,977	1.4%Thomas13,548	−16.9%	970,976
1924	R	6.8%Davis55,913	51.2%Coolidge420,759	42.0%La Follette345,474	−44.4%	822,146
1920	R	19.4%Cox142,994	70.6%Harding519,421	10.0%Debs73,423	−51.2%	735,838
1916	R	46.3%Wilson179,185	46.3%Hughes179,544	7.4%Benson28,668	−0.1%	387,397
1912	O	31.8%Wilson106,426	19.2%Taft64,334	48.9%Roosevelt163,459	Roosevelt +17.1	334,219
1908	R	33.1%Bryan109,401	59.3%Taft195,842	7.6%Debs25,010	−26.2%	330,253
1904	R	18.8%Parker55,187	74.0%Roosevelt216,651	7.2%Debs21,022	−55.1%	292,860
1900	R	35.7%Bryan112,901	60.2%McKinley190,461	4.1%Woolley12,949	−24.5%	316,311
1896	R	40.9%Bryan139,735	56.6%McKinley193,503	2.5%Palmer8,524	−15.7%	341,762
1892	R	37.5%Cleveland100,589	45.9%Harrison122,944	16.6%Weaver44,516	−8.3%	268,049

2026 election

On the ballot

Governoropen seatno nominee yet

Amy Klobucharpresumptive nomineeKendall QuallsLisa DemuthMike Lindell

OPEN seat: Gov. Tim Walz (DFL) announced Jan 2026 he would not seek a third term (voluntary retirement; MN has no gubernatorial term limit). DFL = Democratic ('D'). U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar is running and won the DFL endorsement on the first ballot (~68%) at the May 30 2026 convention; presumptive D nominee but the Aug 11 primary is not yet held. GOP side is a genuinely contested three-way: Kendall Qualls won the convention endorsement, but the party waived the endorsement pledge amid voting irregularities, so House Speaker Lisa Demuth and MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell remain in the primary. Scott Jensen (R) withdrew to run for state auditor (excluded).

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. Senateopen seatno nominee yet

Angie CraigPeggy FlanaganMichele TafoyaAdam Schwarze

Open seat: incumbent Tina Smith (D) is not seeking re-election. DFL = the Democratic Party, so DFL candidates are classified party 'D'. Aug 11 primary not yet held. DFL primary contested: Peggy Flanagan won the DFL endorsement by acclamation (May 30) but Angie Craig skipped the endorsement process and goes straight to the primary with a financial advantage — no single presumptive nominee. Melisa Lopez Franzen withdrew. GOP primary also contested: Adam Schwarze won the party endorsement, but Michele Tafoya (poll leader, NRSC-backed) and Royce White (2024 nominee) are continuing to the primary.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.

Congressional elections · 200 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
Seats won	D %	R %	Total
D 4 · R 4	50.2%	49.3%	3,146,762
D 4 · R 4	50.1%	48.1%	2,495,832
D 4 · R 4	48.7%	46.2%	3,193,809
D 5 · R 3	55.1%	43.7%	2,576,996

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	56.2%1,792,441	40.5%1,291,712	3,189,323
2020	D	48.8%1,566,522	43.5%1,398,145	3,211,995
2018	D	60.3%1,566,174	36.2%940,437	2,595,948
2014	D	53.2%1,053,205	42.9%850,227	1,980,647
2012	D	65.3%1,854,595	30.6%867,974	2,840,625
2008	D	42.0%1,212,629	42.0%1,212,317	2,885,281
2006	D	58.1%1,278,849	38.0%835,653	2,201,818
2002	R	47.9%1,078,627	49.6%1,116,697	2,252,836
2000	D	48.8%1,181,553	43.3%1,047,474	2,419,516
1996	D	50.3%1,098,430	41.3%901,194	2,181,775
1994	R	44.2%781,860	49.1%869,653	1,770,315
1990	D	50.5%911,999	47.9%864,375	1,806,194
1988	R	40.9%856,694	56.2%1,176,210	2,093,538
1984	R	41.3%852,844	58.1%1,199,926	2,066,143
1982	R	46.6%840,401	52.6%949,207	1,804,675
1978	R	40.4%638,375	56.6%894,092	1,580,550
1976	D	67.5%1,290,736	25.0%478,602	1,912,020

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Minnesota
Year	Total registered
2016	3,473,972
2018	3,422,515
2020	3,731,016
2022	3,624,200
2024	3,853,668

Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

St. Louis County, around Duluth, voted Democratic by 29.6 points in 2012 and by 13.7 in 2024 — the margin cut in half in a dozen years.

The longest streak: Democratic for president every election since 1976; the last Republican win was 1972 · MIT Election Lab
The one state Reagan missed, 1984: Mondale by 3,761 votes — D+0.2, the closest result in the country that year · MIT Election Lab
The 2024 margin: D+7.1 (2020) → D+4.2 (2024), a 2.9-pt slip toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
The Twin Cities hold it: Ramsey (St. Paul) D+43.1 and Hennepin (Minneapolis) D+42.4 — the bluest counties in the state · MIT Election Lab 2024
The Iron Range moved: St. Louis County (Duluth) D+29.6 (2012) → D+13.7 (2024); Itasca D+9.8 (2012) → R+20.1 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
Educated and low-poverty: 39.4% hold a bachelor’s degree (10th of 50); 9.3% poverty rate (3rd-lowest) · ACS 2024 5-year

Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Wisconsin

67.1twin score

% WhiteGerman ancestryScottish ancestry≠ Polish ancestry

Massachusetts

42.1twin score

elasticityScottish ancestry% Black≠ 2000 margin

Washington

40.2twin score

elasticity2000–2004 trajectorycollege share≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

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Largest cities in Minnesota

Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Minnesota

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Frequently asked questions

How did Minnesota vote in 2024?

In 2024, Minnesota voted Democratic by 4.2 points (D+4.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,253,886 votes cast, 1,656,971 went Democratic and 1,519,020 went Republican.

When did Minnesota last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota voted Republican was 1972.

How many people live in Minnesota?

Minnesota has a population of 5,739,445 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Minnesota?

Median household income in Minnesota is $89,062 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.

What is the political history of Minnesota?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.

Minnesota, Minnesota

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Minnesota

Frequently asked questions