Minnesota, Minnesota: Tossup state. In 2024, voted D+4%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 5,739,4452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,0622024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Browse all of Minnesota
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,656,971 | 1,519,020 | 3,253,886 | ||
| D | 1,717,077 | 1,484,065 | 3,277,171 | ||
| D | 1,367,825 | 1,323,232 | 2,945,233 | ||
| D | 1,546,167 | 1,320,225 | 2,936,561 | ||
| D | 1,573,354 | 1,275,409 | 2,910,370 | ||
| D | 1,445,014 | 1,346,695 | 2,828,387 | ||
| D | 1,168,266 | 1,109,659 | 2,438,685 | ||
| D | 1,120,438 | 766,476 | 2,192,640 | ||
| D | 1,020,997 | 747,841 | 2,347,948 | ||
| D | 1,109,471 | 962,337 | 2,093,176 | ||
| D | 1,036,364 | 1,032,603 | 2,083,726 | ||
| D | 954,174 | 873,241 | 2,051,672 | ||
| D | 1,070,440 | 819,395 | 1,949,589 | ||
| R | 802,346 | 898,269 | 1,741,652 | ||
| D | 857,738 | 658,643 | 1,588,506 | ||
| D | 991,117 | 559,624 | 1,554,462 | ||
| D | 779,933 | 757,915 | 1,541,887 | ||
| R | 617,525 | 719,302 | 1,340,005 | ||
| R | 608,458 | 763,211 | 1,379,483 | ||
| D | 692,966 | 483,617 | 1,212,226 | ||
| D | 589,864 | 527,416 | 1,125,504 | ||
| D | 644,196 | 596,274 | 1,251,188 | ||
| D | 698,811 | 350,461 | 1,129,975 | ||
| D | 600,806 | 363,959 | 1,002,843 | ||
| R | 396,451 | 560,977 | 970,976 | ||
| R | 55,913 | 420,759 | 822,146 | ||
| R | 142,994 | 519,421 | 735,838 | ||
| R | 179,185 | 179,544 | 387,397 | ||
| O | 106,426 | 64,334 | 334,219 | ||
| R | 109,401 | 195,842 | 330,253 | ||
| R | 55,187 | 216,651 | 292,860 | ||
| R | 112,901 | 190,461 | 316,311 | ||
| R | 139,735 | 193,503 | 341,762 | ||
| D | 122,736 | 100,589 | 267,841 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 56.2% | 40.5% | 3,189,323 |
| 2020 | D | 48.7% | 43.5% | 3,214,256 |
| 2018 | D | 60.3% | 36.2% | 2,596,879 |
| 2014 | D | 53.2% | 42.9% | 1,981,528 |
| 2012 | D | 65.2% | 30.5% | 2,843,207 |
| 2008 | D | 42.0% | 42.0% | 2,887,646 |
| 2006 | D | 58.1% | 37.9% | 2,202,772 |
| 2002 | R | 47.8% | 49.5% | 2,254,636 |
| 2000 | D | 48.8% | 43.3% | 2,419,520 |
| 1996 | D | 50.3% | 41.3% | 2,182,905 |
| 1994 | R | 44.1% | 49.1% | 1,772,929 |
| 1990 | D | 50.4% | 47.8% | 1,808,045 |
| 1988 | R | 40.9% | 56.2% | 2,093,953 |
| 1984 | R | 41.3% | 58.1% | 2,066,143 |
| 1982 | R | 46.6% | 52.6% | 1,804,675 |
| 1978 | R | 40.4% | 56.6% | 1,580,622 |
| 1976 | D | 67.5% | 25.0% | 1,912,020 |
Demographics
Minnesota in the Upper Midwest delivered a near-tie in 2024, with the Democratic candidate carrying the state by four points — well within the historical noise of how the state votes.
The state's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached thirty-one points in 1936; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1904. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 5,739,445, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $89,062 — situate the state close to national averages on several dimensions.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MN/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.