- Lead
- 1,359
- Total
- 27,797
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- 69.5%
Winona County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.5% of 40,262 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 106
- Total
- 27,173
- vs nation
- R+4.1
- Turnout
- 67.2%
- Lead
- 756
- Total
- 26,074
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- 64.6%
- Lead
- 3,500
- Total
- 27,232
- vs nation
- D+9.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,333
- Total
- 27,935
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,545
- Total
- 27,422
- vs nation
- D+8.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 296
- Total
- 23,918
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,317
- Total
- 21,616
- vs nation
- D+2.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 49,7792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,7442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Portage County, WI · twin score 93.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.5%27,969 participants ÷ 40,262 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.5%–55.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 26,354 | 40,783 | 64.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 21,616 | 40,598 | 53.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 27,308 | 40,644 | 67.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,565 | 40,115 | 51.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 27,969 | 40,262 | 69.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
98 precincts · 27,797 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ST CHARLESST CHARLES | 825 | 1,337 | 36 | 2,198 | 37.5% | 60.8% | R+23.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -WINONA W-4 P-4WINONA W-4 P-4 | 649 | 561 | 26 | 1,236 | 52.5% | 45.4% | D+7.1 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-1 P-2WINONA W-1 P-2 | 578 | 516 | 24 | 1,118 | 51.7% | 46.2% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct -GOODVIEW P-1GOODVIEW P-1 | 486 | 560 | 23 | 1,069 | 45.5% | 52.4% | R+6.9 |
| Precinct -GOODVIEW P-2AGOODVIEW P-2A | 484 | 553 | 21 | 1,058 | 45.7% | 52.3% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-4 P-3WINONA W-4 P-3 | 607 | 396 | 9 | 1,012 | 60.0% | 39.1% | D+20.8 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-1 P-4WINONA W-1 P-4 | 535 | 431 | 29 | 995 | 53.8% | 43.3% | D+10.5 |
| Precinct -HOMER TWPHOMER TWP | 368 | 545 | 16 | 929 | 39.6% | 58.7% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-3 P-1WINONA W-3 P-1 | 546 | 329 | 26 | 901 | 60.6% | 36.5% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-3 P-3WINONA W-3 P-3 | 549 | 301 | 25 | 875 | 62.7% | 34.4% | D+28.3 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-2 P-2WINONA W-2 P-2 | 501 | 334 | 19 | 854 | 58.7% | 39.1% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-4 P-2WINONA W-4 P-2 | 434 | 396 | 19 | 849 | 51.1% | 46.6% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -LEWISTONLEWISTON | 283 | 530 | 11 | 824 | 34.3% | 64.3% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-3 P-4WINONA W-3 P-4 | 510 | 300 | 14 | 824 | 61.9% | 36.4% | D+25.5 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-4 P-1WINONA W-4 P-1 | 436 | 357 | 22 | 815 | 53.5% | 43.8% | D+9.7 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-2 P-3WINONA W-2 P-3 | 506 | 288 | 20 | 814 | 62.2% | 35.4% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -WILSON TWPWILSON TWP | 295 | 447 | 10 | 752 | 39.2% | 59.4% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-3 P-2WINONA W-3 P-2 | 466 | 266 | 19 | 751 | 62.1% | 35.4% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-1 P-1WINONA W-1 P-1 | 348 | 354 | 20 | 722 | 48.2% | 49.0% | R+0.8 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-1 P-3WINONA W-1 P-3 | 390 | 302 | 20 | 712 | 54.8% | 42.4% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-2 P-1WINONA W-2 P-1 | 409 | 256 | 13 | 678 | 60.3% | 37.8% | D+22.6 |
| Precinct -WINONA W-2 P-4WINONA W-2 P-4 | 366 | 237 | 13 | 616 | 59.4% | 38.5% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -NEW HARTFORD TWPNEW HARTFORD TWP | 215 | 345 | 15 | 575 | 37.4% | 60.0% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -RICHMOND TWPRICHMOND TWP | 166 | 297 | 9 | 472 | 35.2% | 62.9% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -ROLLINGSTONE TWPROLLINGSTONE TWP | 174 | 288 | 7 | 469 | 37.1% | 61.4% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -STOCKTONSTOCKTON | 165 | 293 | 7 | 465 | 35.5% | 63.0% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -ROLLINGSTONEROLLINGSTONE | 158 | 261 | 11 | 430 | 36.7% | 60.7% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -UTICA TWPUTICA TWP | 67 | 285 | 11 | 363 | 18.5% | 78.5% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -WARREN TWPWARREN TWP | 101 | 246 | 5 | 352 | 28.7% | 69.9% | R+41.2 |
| Precinct -HILLSDALE TWPHILLSDALE TWP | 115 | 217 | 5 | 337 | 34.1% | 64.4% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -NORTON TWPNORTON TWP | 89 | 238 | 3 | 330 | 27.0% | 72.1% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT HILL TWPPLEASANT HILL TWP | 85 | 230 | 4 | 319 | 26.6% | 72.1% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -ST CHARLES TWPST CHARLES TWP | 105 | 198 | 4 | 307 | 34.2% | 64.5% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -DRESBACH TWPDRESBACH TWP | 122 | 143 | 8 | 273 | 44.7% | 52.4% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -ALTURAALTURA | 58 | 193 | 3 | 254 | 22.8% | 76.0% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -SARATOGA TWPSARATOGA TWP | 77 | 171 | 5 | 253 | 30.4% | 67.6% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -WISCOY TWPWISCOY TWP | 106 | 114 | 4 | 224 | 47.3% | 50.9% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -ELBA TWPELBA TWP | 67 | 143 | 10 | 220 | 30.5% | 65.0% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -FREMONT TWPFREMONT TWP | 48 | 160 | 5 | 213 | 22.5% | 75.1% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -HART TWPHART TWP | 47 | 149 | 5 | 201 | 23.4% | 74.1% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -DAKOTADAKOTA | 75 | 121 | 3 | 199 | 37.7% | 60.8% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -GOODVIEW P-2BGOODVIEW P-2B | 67 | 102 | 4 | 173 | 38.7% | 59.0% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -MOUNT VERNON TWPMOUNT VERNON TWP | 51 | 116 | 2 | 169 | 30.2% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -UTICAUTICA | 32 | 118 | 1 | 151 | 21.2% | 78.1% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -WHITEWATER TWPWHITEWATER TWP | 40 | 85 | 3 | 128 | 31.3% | 66.4% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -MINNESOTA CITYMINNESOTA CITY | 35 | 71 | 3 | 109 | 32.1% | 65.1% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -ELBAELBA | 28 | 58 | 4 | 90 | 31.1% | 64.4% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -LA CRESCENTLA CRESCENT | 50 | 33 | 3 | 86 | 58.1% | 38.4% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -MINNEISKAMINNEISKA | 15 | 17 | 1 | 33 | 45.5% | 51.5% | R+6.1 |
| Altura Voting District27_271690005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dakota Voting District27_271690010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dresbach Twp. Voting District27_271690015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elba Twp. Voting District27_271690025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elba Voting District27_271690020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fremont Twp. Voting District27_271690030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodview P-127_271690035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodview P-227_271690040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Goodview P-327_271690042 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hart Twp. Voting District27_271690045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hillsdale Twp. Voting District27_271690050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Homer Twp. Voting District27_271690055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| La Crescent Voting District27_271690058 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lewiston Voting District27_271690060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minneiska Voting District27_271690065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minnesota City Voting District27_271690070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mount Vernon Twp. Voting District27_271690075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New Hartford Twp. Voting District27_271690080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norton Twp. Voting District27_271690085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pleasant Hill Twp. Voting District27_271690090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Richmond Twp. Voting District27_271690095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rollingstone Twp. Voting District27_271690105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rollingstone Voting District27_271690100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saratoga Twp. Voting District27_271690120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Charles Twp. Voting District27_271690115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Charles Voting District27_271690110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stockton Voting District27_271690125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Utica Twp. Voting District27_271690135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Utica Voting District27_271690130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Warren Twp. Voting District27_271690140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitewater Twp. Voting District27_271690145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wilson Twp. Voting District27_271690150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-1 P-127_271690155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-1 P-227_271690160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-1 P-327_271690165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-1 P-427_271690170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-2 P-127_271690175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-2 P-227_271690180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-2 P-327_271690185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-2 P-427_271690190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-3 P-127_271690195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-3 P-227_271690200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-3 P-327_271690205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-3 P-427_271690210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-4 P-127_271690215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-4 P-227_271690220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-4 P-327_271690225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winona W-4 P-427_271690230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wiscoy Twp. Voting District27_271690240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +14.1% |
| 1896 | −5.3% |
| 1900 | +1.9% |
| 1904 | −27.4% |
| 1908 | +0.9% |
| 1912 | +31.1% |
| 1916 | −0.1% |
| 1920 | −44.2% |
| 1924 | −35.0% |
| 1928 | −6.9% |
| 1932 | +26.7% |
| 1936 | +25.2% |
| 1940 | −14.3% |
| 1944 | −15.0% |
| 1948 | +9.1% |
| 1952 | −29.4% |
| 1956 | −23.2% |
| 1960 | −4.4% |
| 1964 | +28.4% |
| 1968 | +3.6% |
| 1972 | −14.6% |
| 1976 | +2.3% |
| 1980 | −2.3% |
| 1984 | −11.0% |
| 1988 | −3.2% |
| 1992 | +4.6% |
| 1996 | +10.7% |
| 2000 | +1.2% |
| 2004 | +5.6% |
| 2008 | +19.1% |
| 2012 | +12.9% |
| 2016 | −2.9% |
| 2020 | +0.4% |
| 2024 | −4.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 46.0%12,284 | 54.0%14,417 | 26,701 |
| 2020 | D | 53.8%13,478 | 46.2%11,581 | 25,059 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 31,524 |
| 2018 | 29,402 |
| 2020 | 31,241 |
| 2022 | 30,122 |
| 2024 | 32,327 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+146 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,408 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,783 in average income, against $77,525 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.6 on average — 6.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Winona County, MN itself (R+4.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Olmsted County, MN157D+10.6
- La Crosse County, WI84D+9.4
- Hennepin County, MN50D+42.4
- Buffalo County, WI46R+30.2
- Fillmore County, MN45R+25.4
- Houston County, MN39R+16.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Olmsted County, MN171
- La Crosse County, WI101
- Hennepin County, MN87
- Houston County, MN46
- Fillmore County, MN42
- Ramsey County, MN39
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −170 |
| 2012 | −159 |
| 2013 | −189 |
| 2014 | −452 |
| 2015 | −332 |
| 2016 | −85 |
| 2017 | −211 |
| 2018 | −36 |
| 2019 | −292 |
| 2021 | +38 |
| 2022 | −71 |
| 2023 | +21 |
| 2024 | +384 |
| 2025 | +146 |
Winona County sits along the Mississippi in southeastern Minnesota, anchored by a mid-sized college town that once reliably backed Democratic presidential candidates but has shifted toward Republican margins over the past four election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 44.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 49,779, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,744 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Portage County and Blue Earth County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Winona County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27169/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.