- Lead
- 26,327
- Total
- 90,038
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- 85.5%
Wright County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 85.5% of 105,645 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 23,543
- Total
- 82,426
- vs nation
- R+33.0
- Turnout
- 85.2%
- Lead
- 22,940
- Total
- 69,618
- vs nation
- R+35.0
- Turnout
- 77.2%
- Lead
- 14,725
- Total
- 67,816
- vs nation
- R+25.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,436
- Total
- 65,578
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 13,558
- Total
- 59,534
- vs nation
- R+20.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,099
- Total
- 43,366
- vs nation
- R+16.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,318
- Total
- 34,874
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 148,2692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $107,2092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sherburne County, MN · twin score 91.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 85.5%90,332 participants ÷ 105,645 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 65.6%–68.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 70,213 | 90,975 | 77.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 59,836 | 93,539 | 64.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 82,714 | 97,136 | 85.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 66,510 | 101,939 | 65.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 90,332 | 105,645 | 85.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
93 precincts · 90,041 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -DELANODELANO | 1,746 | 2,608 | 116 | 4,470 | 39.1% | 58.3% | R+19.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ST MICHAEL CITY P2ST MICHAEL CITY P2 | 1,601 | 2,703 | 84 | 4,388 | 36.5% | 61.6% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO CITY P2AOTSEGO CITY P2A | 1,456 | 2,069 | 72 | 3,597 | 40.5% | 57.5% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO CITY P3BOTSEGO CITY P3B | 1,376 | 1,981 | 73 | 3,430 | 40.1% | 57.8% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -ST MICHAEL CITY P1ST MICHAEL CITY P1 | 1,290 | 1,849 | 86 | 3,225 | 40.0% | 57.3% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO P-4BUFFALO P-4 | 1,055 | 1,678 | 63 | 2,796 | 37.7% | 60.0% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -ALBERTVILLE P-1ALBERTVILLE P-1 | 1,018 | 1,713 | 54 | 2,785 | 36.6% | 61.5% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO CITY P1AOTSEGO CITY P1A | 884 | 1,841 | 55 | 2,780 | 31.8% | 66.2% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO P-3BUFFALO P-3 | 1,053 | 1,544 | 72 | 2,669 | 39.5% | 57.8% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -MONTICELLO P3MONTICELLO P3 | 900 | 1,708 | 57 | 2,665 | 33.8% | 64.1% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -ST MICHAEL CITY P3ST MICHAEL CITY P3 | 895 | 1,693 | 52 | 2,640 | 33.9% | 64.1% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO P-2BUFFALO P-2 | 1,023 | 1,445 | 47 | 2,515 | 40.7% | 57.5% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -ROCKFORDROCKFORD | 981 | 1,441 | 52 | 2,474 | 39.7% | 58.2% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -ST MICHAEL CITY P4ST MICHAEL CITY P4 | 1,012 | 1,373 | 48 | 2,433 | 41.6% | 56.4% | R+14.8 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO CITY P5BOTSEGO CITY P5B | 760 | 1,550 | 64 | 2,374 | 32.0% | 65.3% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -MONTICELLO P1MONTICELLO P1 | 889 | 1,364 | 64 | 2,317 | 38.4% | 58.9% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -ROCKFORD TWP P1ROCKFORD TWP P1 | 677 | 1,479 | 41 | 2,197 | 30.8% | 67.3% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -MONTICELLO TWPMONTICELLO TWP | 572 | 1,483 | 31 | 2,086 | 27.4% | 71.1% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -HANOVER P-2HANOVER P-2 | 745 | 1,287 | 53 | 2,085 | 35.7% | 61.7% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -ANNANDALEANNANDALE | 763 | 1,245 | 45 | 2,053 | 37.2% | 60.6% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -MONTROSEMONTROSE | 619 | 1,350 | 37 | 2,006 | 30.9% | 67.3% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -FRANKLIN TWPFRANKLIN TWP | 572 | 1,375 | 40 | 1,987 | 28.8% | 69.2% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -CORINNA TWPCORINNA TWP | 547 | 1,313 | 38 | 1,898 | 28.8% | 69.2% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -ALBERTVILLE P-2ALBERTVILLE P-2 | 700 | 1,099 | 39 | 1,838 | 38.1% | 59.8% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -SILVER CREEK TWPSILVER CREEK TWP | 501 | 1,214 | 31 | 1,746 | 28.7% | 69.5% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -MONTICELLO P2MONTICELLO P2 | 655 | 1,030 | 41 | 1,726 | 37.9% | 59.7% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO P-1BUFFALO P-1 | 664 | 972 | 35 | 1,671 | 39.7% | 58.2% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -OTSEGO CITY P4BOTSEGO CITY P4B | 558 | 911 | 32 | 1,501 | 37.2% | 60.7% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -MAPLE LAKE TWPMAPLE LAKE TWP | 377 | 1,028 | 34 | 1,439 | 26.2% | 71.4% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -COKATOCOKATO | 368 | 1,016 | 33 | 1,417 | 26.0% | 71.7% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -HOWARD LAKEHOWARD LAKE | 393 | 871 | 23 | 1,287 | 30.5% | 67.7% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO TWPBUFFALO TWP | 347 | 892 | 35 | 1,274 | 27.2% | 70.0% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -MARYSVILLE TWPMARYSVILLE TWP | 311 | 910 | 39 | 1,260 | 24.7% | 72.2% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -MAPLE LAKEMAPLE LAKE | 338 | 855 | 30 | 1,223 | 27.6% | 69.9% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -WAVERLYWAVERLY | 371 | 812 | 23 | 1,206 | 30.8% | 67.3% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -CLEARWATER CITY P1CLEARWATER CITY P1 | 355 | 769 | 21 | 1,145 | 31.0% | 67.2% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -MONTICELLO P4MONTICELLO P4 | 434 | 672 | 26 | 1,132 | 38.3% | 59.4% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -SOUTHSIDE TWPSOUTHSIDE TWP | 341 | 729 | 25 | 1,095 | 31.1% | 66.6% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -CLEARWATER TWPCLEARWATER TWP | 242 | 718 | 10 | 970 | 24.9% | 74.0% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -ALBION TWPALBION TWP | 208 | 638 | 13 | 859 | 24.2% | 74.3% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -CHATHAM TWP P1CHATHAM TWP P1 | 248 | 574 | 15 | 837 | 29.6% | 68.6% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -FRENCH LAKE TWPFRENCH LAKE TWP | 229 | 571 | 16 | 816 | 28.1% | 70.0% | R+41.9 |
| Precinct -COKATO TWPCOKATO TWP | 158 | 622 | 24 | 804 | 19.7% | 77.4% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -WOODLAND TWPWOODLAND TWP | 198 | 543 | 16 | 757 | 26.2% | 71.7% | R+45.6 |
| Precinct -VICTOR TWPVICTOR TWP | 166 | 546 | 13 | 725 | 22.9% | 75.3% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -MIDDLEVILLE TWPMIDDLEVILLE TWP | 130 | 551 | 14 | 695 | 18.7% | 79.3% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -STOCKHOLM TWPSTOCKHOLM TWP | 110 | 438 | 12 | 560 | 19.6% | 78.2% | R+58.6 |
| Precinct -SOUTH HAVENSOUTH HAVEN | 17 | 71 | 3 | 91 | 18.7% | 78.0% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -CHATHAM TWP P2CHATHAM TWP P2 | 15 | 31 | 0 | 46 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -DAYTONDAYTON | 11 | 16 | 0 | 27 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -ROCKFORD TWP P2ROCKFORD TWP P2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 24 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
| Albertville Voting District27_271710005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Albion Twp. Voting District27_271710010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Annandale Voting District27_271710015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buffalo P-127_271710020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buffalo P-227_271710025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buffalo P-327_271710030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buffalo P-427_271710031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buffalo Twp. Voting District27_271710035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chatham Twp. Voting District27_271710040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clearwater Twp. Voting District27_271710050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clearwater Voting District27_271710045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cokato Twp. Voting District27_271710060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cokato Voting District27_271710055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Corinna Twp. Voting District27_271710065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dayton Voting District27_271710070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Delano Voting District27_271710075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Franklin Twp. Voting District27_271710085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| French Lake Twp. Voting District27_271710090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hanover P-227_271710096 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hanover Voting District27_271710095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Howard Lake P-227_271710101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Howard Lake Voting District27_271710100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maple Lake Twp. Voting District27_271710110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Maple Lake Voting District27_271710105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marysville Twp. Voting District27_271710115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Middleville Twp. Voting District27_271710120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monticello Twp. Voting District27_271710130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Monticello Voting District27_271710125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montrose P-227_271710137 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Montrose Voting District27_271710135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Otsego Voting District27_271710140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rockford Twp. Voting District27_271710150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rockford Voting District27_271710145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Silver Creek Twp. Voting District27_271710160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Haven Voting District27_271710165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Southside Twp. Voting District27_271710170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Michael P-1A27_271710155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Michael P-1B27_271710156 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stockholm Twp. Voting District27_271710175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Victor Twp. Voting District27_271710180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waverly Voting District27_271710185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodland Twp. Voting District27_271710190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −9.5% |
| 1896 | −20.4% |
| 1900 | −24.4% |
| 1904 | −54.8% |
| 1908 | −32.1% |
| 1912 | +11.5% |
| 1916 | −8.2% |
| 1920 | −64.8% |
| 1924 | −41.3% |
| 1928 | −14.4% |
| 1932 | +35.1% |
| 1936 | +11.2% |
| 1940 | −34.8% |
| 1944 | −30.7% |
| 1948 | −0.6% |
| 1952 | −29.7% |
| 1956 | −18.9% |
| 1960 | −5.3% |
| 1964 | +22.6% |
| 1968 | +15.7% |
| 1972 | −6.7% |
| 1976 | +17.3% |
| 1980 | +0.3% |
| 1984 | −10.4% |
| 1988 | −2.7% |
| 1992 | +2.3% |
| 1996 | +6.6% |
| 2000 | −16.4% |
| 2004 | −22.8% |
| 2008 | −17.4% |
| 2012 | −21.7% |
| 2016 | −33.0% |
| 2020 | −28.6% |
| 2024 | −29.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 82,079 |
| 2018 | 81,398 |
| 2020 | 91,949 |
| 2022 | 95,971 |
| 2024 | 103,948 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,853 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +13,988 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $80,195 in average income, against $102,034 for residents who stayed — 21% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+10.9 on average — 40 points more Democratic-leaning than Wright County, MN itself (R+29.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hennepin County, MN1,618D+42.4
- Sherburne County, MN468R+34.8
- Anoka County, MN395R+4.4
- Stearns County, MN253R+26.7
- Ramsey County, MN157D+43.1
- Carver County, MN145R+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN1,027
- Sherburne County, MN459
- Anoka County, MN249
- Stearns County, MN223
- Ramsey County, MN146
- Carver County, MN94
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −93 |
| 2012 | −221 |
| 2013 | −229 |
| 2014 | +512 |
| 2015 | +97 |
| 2016 | +318 |
| 2017 | +904 |
| 2018 | +1,155 |
| 2019 | +1,132 |
| 2021 | +2,603 |
| 2022 | +2,015 |
| 2023 | +2,025 |
| 2024 | +1,917 |
| 2025 | +1,853 |
Once a swing-county on Minneapolis's outer fringe, Wright has trended decisively Republican as population growth drew working-class and middle-income households outward from the metro core, producing a 2024 margin of R+29.2.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.2 points.
A population of 148,269, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $107,209 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sherburne County and St. Croix County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wright County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27171/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.