- Lead
- 2,190
- Total
- 5,410
- vs nation
- R+39.0
- Turnout
- 76.4%
Yellow Medicine County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 76.4% of 7,122 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,046
- Total
- 5,528
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- 74.8%
- Lead
- 1,858
- Total
- 5,276
- vs nation
- R+37.3
- Turnout
- 69.8%
- Lead
- 341
- Total
- 5,414
- vs nation
- R+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 237
- Total
- 5,569
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 79
- Total
- 5,758
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 70
- Total
- 5,515
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 735
- Total
- 5,624
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,4512024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Faribault County, MN · twin score 94.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 76.4%5,439 participants ÷ 7,122 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 62.4%–63.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,331 | 7,637 | 69.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,320 | 7,511 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,528 | 7,391 | 74.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,388 | 7,212 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,439 | 7,122 | 76.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 5,410 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -GRANITE FALLS W-1GRANITE FALLS W-1 | 392 | 556 | 25 | 973 | 40.3% | 57.1% | R+16.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CANBYCANBY | 278 | 568 | 25 | 871 | 31.9% | 65.2% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -CLARKFIELDCLARKFIELD | 102 | 275 | 9 | 386 | 26.4% | 71.2% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -STONY RUN TWPSTONY RUN TWP | 84 | 184 | 6 | 274 | 30.7% | 67.2% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -MINNESOTA FALLS TWPMINNESOTA FALLS TWP | 87 | 120 | 8 | 215 | 40.5% | 55.8% | R+15.3 |
| Precinct -WOOD LAKEWOOD LAKE | 56 | 140 | 6 | 202 | 27.7% | 69.3% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -NORMAN TWPNORMAN TWP | 22 | 134 | 2 | 158 | 13.9% | 84.8% | R+70.9 |
| Precinct -SANDNES TWPSANDNES TWP | 34 | 110 | 1 | 145 | 23.4% | 75.9% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -SIOUX AGENCY TWPSIOUX AGENCY TWP | 32 | 109 | 4 | 145 | 22.1% | 75.2% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -WOOD LAKE TWPWOOD LAKE TWP | 27 | 115 | 1 | 143 | 18.9% | 80.4% | R+61.5 |
| Precinct -POSEN TWPPOSEN TWP | 15 | 126 | 1 | 142 | 10.6% | 88.7% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -OSHKOSH TWPOSHKOSH TWP | 30 | 106 | 3 | 139 | 21.6% | 76.3% | R+54.7 |
| Precinct -ECHOECHO | 36 | 89 | 1 | 126 | 28.6% | 70.6% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -HAZEL RUN TWPHAZEL RUN TWP | 20 | 101 | 4 | 125 | 16.0% | 80.8% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -FRIENDSHIP TWPFRIENDSHIP TWP | 31 | 90 | 2 | 123 | 25.2% | 73.2% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -HAMMER TWPHAMMER TWP | 30 | 82 | 6 | 118 | 25.4% | 69.5% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -LISBON TWPLISBON TWP | 39 | 74 | 3 | 116 | 33.6% | 63.8% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -NORMANIA TWPNORMANIA TWP | 23 | 87 | 1 | 111 | 20.7% | 78.4% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -WERGELAND TWPWERGELAND TWP | 26 | 71 | 1 | 98 | 26.5% | 72.4% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -HANLEY FALLSHANLEY FALLS | 25 | 69 | 2 | 96 | 26.0% | 71.9% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -TYRO TWPTYRO TWP | 24 | 71 | 1 | 96 | 25.0% | 74.0% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -PORTERPORTER | 25 | 62 | 4 | 91 | 27.5% | 68.1% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -BURTON TWPBURTON TWP | 11 | 78 | 1 | 90 | 12.2% | 86.7% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -ECHO TWPECHO TWP | 15 | 70 | 4 | 89 | 16.9% | 78.7% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -SWEDE PRAIRIE TWPSWEDE PRAIRIE TWP | 26 | 57 | 0 | 83 | 31.3% | 68.7% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -OMRO TWPOMRO TWP | 16 | 55 | 1 | 72 | 22.2% | 76.4% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -FLORIDA TWPFLORIDA TWP | 20 | 51 | 0 | 71 | 28.2% | 71.8% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -FORTIER TWPFORTIER TWP | 8 | 46 | 0 | 54 | 14.8% | 85.2% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -ST LEOST LEO | 6 | 32 | 1 | 39 | 15.4% | 82.1% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -HAZEL RUNHAZEL RUN | 8 | 10 | 1 | 19 | 42.1% | 52.6% | R+10.5 |
| Burton Twp. Voting District27_271730005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canby W-127_271730010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canby W-227_271730015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clarkfield Voting District27_271730020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Echo Twp. Voting District27_271730030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Echo Voting District27_271730025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Florida Twp. Voting District27_271730035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fortier Twp. Voting District27_271730040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Friendship Twp. Voting District27_271730045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Granite Falls W-127_271730050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hammer Twp. Voting District27_271730065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hanley Falls Voting District27_271730070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazel Run Twp. Voting District27_271730080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazel Run Voting District27_271730075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lisbon Twp. Voting District27_271730085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Minnesota Falls Twp. Voting District27_271730090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norman Twp. Voting District27_271730095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Normania Twp. Voting District27_271730100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Omro Twp. Voting District27_271730105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Oshkosh Twp. Voting District27_271730110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Porter Voting District27_271730115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Posen Twp. Voting District27_271730120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sandnes Twp. Voting District27_271730130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sioux Agency Twp. Voting District27_271730135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Leo Voting District27_271730125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Stony Run Twp. Voting District27_271730140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Swede Prairie Twp. Voting District27_271730145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tyro Twp. Voting District27_271730150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wergeland Twp. Voting District27_271730155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wood Lake Twp. Voting District27_271730165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wood Lake Voting District27_271730160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −29.5% |
| 1896 | −21.0% |
| 1900 | −37.1% |
| 1904 | −72.4% |
| 1908 | −35.8% |
| 1912 | +15.6% |
| 1916 | −8.8% |
| 1920 | −58.5% |
| 1924 | −36.1% |
| 1928 | −7.1% |
| 1932 | +44.1% |
| 1936 | +28.3% |
| 1940 | −2.3% |
| 1944 | −1.9% |
| 1948 | +21.0% |
| 1952 | −15.7% |
| 1956 | −2.5% |
| 1960 | −2.0% |
| 1964 | +26.2% |
| 1968 | +7.5% |
| 1972 | −3.0% |
| 1976 | +18.6% |
| 1980 | −15.8% |
| 1984 | −11.6% |
| 1988 | +5.7% |
| 1992 | +11.0% |
| 1996 | +13.1% |
| 2000 | −1.3% |
| 2004 | −1.4% |
| 2008 | +4.3% |
| 2012 | −6.3% |
| 2016 | −35.2% |
| 2020 | −37.0% |
| 2024 | −40.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,283 |
| 2018 | 6,046 |
| 2020 | 6,261 |
| 2022 | 5,962 |
| 2024 | 6,253 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−47 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −938 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,019 in average income, against $102,304 for residents who stayed — 57% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.0 on average — 7.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Yellow Medicine County, MN itself (R+40.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Chippewa County, MN34R+34.0
- Lyon County, MN27R+31.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lyon County, MN41
- Chippewa County, MN36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −117 |
| 2012 | −129 |
| 2013 | −71 |
| 2014 | −98 |
| 2015 | −145 |
| 2016 | +36 |
| 2017 | −42 |
| 2018 | −58 |
| 2019 | −104 |
| 2021 | −62 |
| 2022 | +37 |
| 2023 | −32 |
| 2024 | −106 |
| 2025 | −47 |
Yellow Medicine County in southwest Minnesota has moved decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, posting a 40-point margin in 2024 — a striking turn for a rural agricultural county that once leaned competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.5 points.
A population of 9,451, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,000 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Faribault County and Chippewa County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Yellow Medicine County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27173/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.