- Lead
- 3,330
- Total
- 8,058
- vs nation
- R+39.9
- Turnout
- 74.4%
Renville County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.4% of 10,917 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,971
- Total
- 8,128
- vs nation
- R+41.0
- Turnout
- 74.6%
- Lead
- 2,773
- Total
- 7,606
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Turnout
- 67.6%
- Lead
- 755
- Total
- 7,710
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 52
- Total
- 8,135
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 643
- Total
- 8,349
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 503
- Total
- 8,122
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,069
- Total
- 8,238
- vs nation
- D+4.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,5582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,6252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Murray County, MN · twin score 94.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.4%8,117 participants ÷ 10,917 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.9%–60.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,701 | 11,385 | 67.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,342 | 11,104 | 57.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,173 | 10,956 | 74.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,331 | 11,077 | 57.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,117 | 10,917 | 74.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
75 precincts · 8,058 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -OLIVIAOLIVIA | 435 | 785 | 24 | 1,244 | 35.0% | 63.1% | R+28.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BIRD ISLANDBIRD ISLAND | 205 | 393 | 17 | 615 | 33.3% | 63.9% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -FAIRFAXFAIRFAX | 179 | 404 | 9 | 592 | 30.2% | 68.2% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -HECTORHECTOR | 136 | 375 | 9 | 520 | 26.2% | 72.1% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -RENVILLERENVILLE | 174 | 328 | 11 | 513 | 33.9% | 63.9% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -BUFFALO LAKEBUFFALO LAKE | 104 | 205 | 7 | 316 | 32.9% | 64.9% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -BOON LAKE TWPBOON LAKE TWP | 54 | 195 | 4 | 253 | 21.3% | 77.1% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -DANUBEDANUBE | 79 | 167 | 7 | 253 | 31.2% | 66.0% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -SACRED HEARTSACRED HEART | 66 | 166 | 6 | 238 | 27.7% | 69.7% | R+42.0 |
| Precinct -FRANKLINFRANKLIN | 66 | 162 | 3 | 231 | 28.6% | 70.1% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -MORTONMORTON | 63 | 114 | 5 | 182 | 34.6% | 62.6% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -WANG TWPWANG TWP | 53 | 118 | 4 | 175 | 30.3% | 67.4% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -TROY TWPTROY TWP | 41 | 116 | 1 | 158 | 25.9% | 73.4% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -PRESTON LAKE TWPPRESTON LAKE TWP | 26 | 128 | 2 | 156 | 16.7% | 82.1% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -SACRED HEART TWPSACRED HEART TWP | 51 | 99 | 3 | 153 | 33.3% | 64.7% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -HAWK CREEK TWPHAWK CREEK TWP | 48 | 92 | 6 | 146 | 32.9% | 63.0% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -BIRD ISLAND TWPBIRD ISLAND TWP | 30 | 102 | 5 | 137 | 21.9% | 74.5% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -ERICSON TWPERICSON TWP | 24 | 108 | 3 | 135 | 17.8% | 80.0% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -BIRCH COOLEY TWPBIRCH COOLEY TWP | 35 | 98 | 0 | 133 | 26.3% | 73.7% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -WINFIELD TWPWINFIELD TWP | 22 | 96 | 7 | 125 | 17.6% | 76.8% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -HECTOR TWPHECTOR TWP | 23 | 97 | 1 | 121 | 19.0% | 80.2% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -HENRYVILLE TWPHENRYVILLE TWP | 20 | 96 | 3 | 119 | 16.8% | 80.7% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -PALMYRA TWPPALMYRA TWP | 31 | 85 | 3 | 119 | 26.1% | 71.4% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -BEAVER FALLS TWPBEAVER FALLS TWP | 25 | 88 | 3 | 116 | 21.6% | 75.9% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -KINGMAN TWPKINGMAN TWP | 27 | 89 | 0 | 116 | 23.3% | 76.7% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -CROOKS TWPCROOKS TWP | 15 | 100 | 0 | 115 | 13.0% | 87.0% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -FLORA TWPFLORA TWP | 31 | 78 | 4 | 113 | 27.4% | 69.0% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -EMMET TWPEMMET TWP | 35 | 75 | 2 | 112 | 31.3% | 67.0% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -CAIRO TWPCAIRO TWP | 16 | 88 | 5 | 109 | 14.7% | 80.7% | R+66.1 |
| Precinct -MELVILLE TWPMELVILLE TWP | 32 | 71 | 5 | 108 | 29.6% | 65.7% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -WELLINGTON TWPWELLINGTON TWP | 18 | 80 | 1 | 99 | 18.2% | 80.8% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -MARTINSBURG TWPMARTINSBURG TWP | 26 | 66 | 2 | 94 | 27.7% | 70.2% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -NORFOLK TWPNORFOLK TWP | 19 | 74 | 1 | 94 | 20.2% | 78.7% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -BROOKFIELD TWPBROOKFIELD TWP | 6 | 84 | 1 | 91 | 6.6% | 92.3% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -OSCEOLA TWPOSCEOLA TWP | 18 | 69 | 3 | 90 | 20.0% | 76.7% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -CAMP TWPCAMP TWP | 18 | 70 | 0 | 88 | 20.5% | 79.5% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -BANDON TWPBANDON TWP | 29 | 49 | 1 | 79 | 36.7% | 62.0% | R+25.3 |
| Bandon Twp. Voting District27_271290005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Falls Twp. Voting District27_271290010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Birch Cooley Twp. Voting District27_271290015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bird Island Twp. Voting District27_271290025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bird Island Voting District27_271290020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Boon Lake Twp. Voting District27_271290030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Brookfield Twp. Voting District27_271290035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buffalo Lake Voting District27_271290040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cairo Twp. Voting District27_271290045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Camp Twp. Voting District27_271290050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Crooks Twp. Voting District27_271290055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Danube Voting District27_271290060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Emmet Twp. Voting District27_271290065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ericson Twp. Voting District27_271290070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairfax Voting District27_271290075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Flora Twp. Voting District27_271290080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Franklin Voting District27_271290085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hawk Creek Twp. Voting District27_271290090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hector Twp. Voting District27_271290100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hector Voting District27_271290095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Henryville Twp. Voting District27_271290105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kingman Twp. Voting District27_271290110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Martinsburg Twp. Voting District27_271290115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Melville Twp. Voting District27_271290120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morton Voting District27_271290125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norfolk Twp. Voting District27_271290130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Olivia Voting District27_271290135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Osceola Twp. Voting District27_271290140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmyra Twp. Voting District27_271290145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Preston Lake Twp. Voting District27_271290150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Redwood Falls Voting District27_271290152 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Renville Voting District27_271290155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sacred Heart Twp. Voting District27_271290165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sacred Heart Voting District27_271290160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Troy Twp. Voting District27_271290170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wang Twp. Voting District27_271290175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wellington Twp. Voting District27_271290180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Winfield Twp. Voting District27_271290185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −11.3% |
| 1896 | −12.4% |
| 1900 | −34.2% |
| 1904 | −60.9% |
| 1908 | −24.1% |
| 1912 | +15.6% |
| 1916 | −17.5% |
| 1920 | −57.9% |
| 1924 | −34.6% |
| 1928 | −15.4% |
| 1932 | +38.1% |
| 1936 | +24.3% |
| 1940 | −14.8% |
| 1944 | −15.7% |
| 1948 | +9.6% |
| 1952 | −27.4% |
| 1956 | −15.2% |
| 1960 | −8.5% |
| 1964 | +16.6% |
| 1968 | −2.9% |
| 1972 | −8.3% |
| 1976 | +12.1% |
| 1980 | −14.2% |
| 1984 | −16.6% |
| 1988 | +1.1% |
| 1992 | +6.3% |
| 1996 | +13.0% |
| 2000 | −6.2% |
| 2004 | −7.7% |
| 2008 | −0.6% |
| 2012 | −9.8% |
| 2016 | −36.5% |
| 2020 | −36.6% |
| 2024 | −41.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,981 |
| 2018 | 8,770 |
| 2020 | 9,258 |
| 2022 | 9,050 |
| 2024 | 9,512 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−60 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,486 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,331 in average income, against $84,813 for residents who stayed — 41% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.2 on average — 4.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Renville County, MN itself (R+41.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- McLeod County, MN41R+37.8
- Kandiyohi County, MN38R+30.9
- Redwood County, MN35R+43.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Redwood County, MN53
- McLeod County, MN43
- Kandiyohi County, MN42
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −247 |
| 2012 | −152 |
| 2013 | −222 |
| 2014 | −140 |
| 2015 | −131 |
| 2016 | −187 |
| 2017 | +61 |
| 2018 | −86 |
| 2019 | −90 |
| 2021 | −37 |
| 2022 | −57 |
| 2023 | −67 |
| 2024 | −71 |
| 2025 | −60 |
Renville County's flat glacial-lake plains support one of the state's most intensive corn and soybean operations, and its electorate has shifted steadily rightward over two decades — the 2024 presidential margin of R+41 reflects a rural realignment well above the statewide average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.3 points.
A population of 14,558, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,625 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Murray County and Yellow Medicine County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Renville County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27129/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.