Minnesota 16th State Senate District, Minnesota: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 85,9032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,6462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for State Senate District 16, MNOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 14,532 | 30,922 | 46,350 | ||
| R | 15,614 | 30,096 | 46,692 | ||
| R | 13,384 | 26,583 | 43,394 | ||
| R | 19,432 | 22,746 | 43,127 | ||
| R | 20,720 | 22,460 | 44,347 | ||
| R | 19,902 | 23,574 | 44,129 | ||
| R | 17,494 | 20,541 | 40,526 | ||
| D | 19,013 | 14,298 | 39,003 | ||
| D | 16,702 | 13,996 | 41,874 | ||
| D | 19,532 | 19,348 | 39,454 | ||
| R | 18,053 | 22,564 | 40,974 | ||
| R | 17,944 | 21,460 | 43,025 | ||
| D | 23,751 | 16,993 | 41,898 | ||
| R | 17,645 | 18,968 | 37,724 | ||
| D | 18,540 | 15,662 | 35,961 | ||
| D | 23,064 | 13,117 | 36,257 | ||
| R | 17,663 | 19,660 | 37,412 | ||
| R | 16,596 | 17,796 | 34,445 | ||
| R | 15,051 | 21,163 | 36,435 | ||
| D | 19,059 | 12,825 | 33,021 | ||
| D | 15,488 | 14,637 | 30,357 | ||
| D | 18,026 | 16,951 | 35,217 | ||
| D | 18,647 | 9,340 | 30,307 | ||
| D | 18,657 | 8,683 | 28,170 | ||
| R | 9,992 | 17,075 | 27,536 | ||
| O | 1,235 | 10,512 | 24,900 | ||
| R | 4,079 | 17,258 | 24,466 | ||
| R | 5,696 | 6,482 | 13,196 | ||
| O | 3,731 | 1,954 | 11,929 | ||
| R | 3,814 | 7,217 | 11,795 | ||
| R | 1,668 | 8,804 | 11,218 | ||
| R | 4,062 | 7,871 | 12,419 | ||
| R | 5,627 | 7,371 | 13,260 | ||
| D | 4,249 | 2,610 | 9,622 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
36.1%
Irish
6.8%
English
5.0%
American
3.4%
Polish
2.0%
French
1.3%
Italian
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$74,646
State Senate District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 16$74,646
Minnesota$89,062
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.8%
Working age (18–64)9.1%
Seniors (65+)11.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.5%
speak English only
Spanish7.2%
Other languages1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 33.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+34.8, this rural district ranks among the state's most one-sided, reflecting the broader realignment of greater Minnesota's small-town and agricultural communities toward Republican candidates over the past decade.
The Democratic margin in Minnesota 16th State Senate District peaked at thirty-five points in 1932. By 2000 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $74,646 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did State Senate District 16, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Minnesota voted Republican by 35.4 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 46,350 votes cast, 14,532 went Democratic and 30,922 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Minnesota as a "Populist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 20 times, and other 2 times.
When did State Senate District 16, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Minnesota?
State Senate District 16, Minnesota has a population of 85,903 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Minnesota?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Minnesota is $74,646 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.