- Lead
- 11,158
- Total
- 44,357
- vs nation
- R+23.7
Minnesota 19th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,749
- Total
- 44,877
- vs nation
- R+26.2
- Lead
- 10,140
- Total
- 40,711
- vs nation
- R+27.0
- Lead
- 3,235
- Total
- 40,319
- vs nation
- R+11.9
- Lead
- 2,617
- Total
- 40,601
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Lead
- 4,687
- Total
- 39,258
- vs nation
- R+9.5
- Lead
- 2,989
- Total
- 34,114
- vs nation
- R+9.3
- Lead
- 2,749
- Total
- 31,080
- vs nation
- D+0.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,8722024 5-year
- Population density
- 100 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 846 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,9682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.8 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.3 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 16, MN · twin score 95.5
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
55.3%
9,612 votes · D+12.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 53.6%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
77.3%
10,863 votes · R+57.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 72.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
18,446votes
45.4% of the vote · R+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 18,020 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
27,284votes
61.5% of the vote · R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 26,738 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
+0.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.8 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · −3.5 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+38.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+28.4 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +34.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 40.9%18,440 | 59.1%26,614 | 45,054 |
| 2020 | R | 45.6%19,545 | 54.4%23,280 | 42,825 |
Minnesota 19th State Senate District sits in the Upper Midwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 57.3 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.2 points.
A population of 84,872, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,968 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 16 and State Senate District 12.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.