akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 19·Minnesota

Minnesota 19th State Senate District delivered R+14 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A mid-Minnesota district where presidential margins have tightened over a decade

18762024·38 elections
MN
Latest
R+14
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
75,290
2024 ACS

Minnesota 19th State Senate District, Minnesota: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+14%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+14MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
75,2902024 5-year
Median household income
$82,6872024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.8%2024 5-year
Black
4.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+55 in 1920MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−13.6%
17,47223,10841,491
R
−11.6%
17,69422,46641,179
R
−14.6%
14,41819,88737,466
D
+1.0%
18,40618,03037,403
D
+2.8%
18,79917,74937,475
R
−1.7%
17,58318,18936,326
R
−0.0%
14,55114,56631,262
D
+16.6%
14,4629,70728,634
D
+6.4%
11,7619,85929,934
R
−1.6%
12,88113,31726,485
R
−11.3%
12,03515,12027,348
R
−5.0%
11,28012,64727,211
D
+1.5%
12,75712,36525,875
R
−19.8%
9,07213,63023,032
R
−5.6%
9,57510,75621,007
D
+15.7%
11,7518,55720,350
R
−18.9%
8,47812,42620,938
R
−32.0%
6,21212,07118,324
R
−38.3%
5,85813,16619,071
R
−2.4%
8,3698,78317,350
R
−21.0%
6,3629,76016,169
R
−23.3%
7,02711,30418,392
D
+12.7%
8,8916,74516,920
D
+16.7%
8,9996,38815,657
R
−21.9%
6,0969,53715,713
R
−45.0%
1,4067,43813,409
R
−55.3%
2,5659,35112,267
R
−11.5%
2,8593,6376,752
O
+14.7%
2,3471,3736,613
R
−27.0%
2,3054,1116,694
R
−46.3%
1,5834,5436,393
R
−29.2%
2,3294,3596,961
R
−30.0%
2,6375,0207,942
D
+10.9%
3,1812,4906,355
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
31.7%
Irish
9.6%
English
6.5%
American
3.3%
Polish
2.5%
French
2.2%
Italian
1.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
90.3%
speak English only
Spanish5.7%
Other languages2.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
28.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
22.3%
Other Christian
3.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.3%
Methodist
2.0%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Baptist
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 40.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With roughly 85,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of R+5.4, this district sits in the competitive middle band of Minnesota's legislative map, where shifts in rural and small-city turnout have reshaped outcomes in recent cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached seventeen points in 1932; the Republican margin reached fifty-five points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 75,290, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $82,687 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 19, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 19, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 19, Minnesota voted Republican by 13.6 points (R+14), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 41,491 votes cast, 17,472 went Democratic and 23,108 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 19, Minnesota's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 19, Minnesota as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 19, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 19, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State Senate District 19, Minnesota?
State Senate District 19, Minnesota has a population of 75,290 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 19, Minnesota?
Median household income in State Senate District 19, Minnesota is $82,687 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of State Senate District 19, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 19, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.