- Lead
- 18,469
- Total
- 49,458
- vs nation
- R+35.9
Minnesota 12th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 16,548
- Total
- 48,483
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Lead
- 15,194
- Total
- 45,095
- vs nation
- R+35.8
- Lead
- 6,034
- Total
- 44,228
- vs nation
- R+17.5
- Lead
- 3,783
- Total
- 44,612
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Lead
- 5,875
- Total
- 45,124
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Lead
- 5,482
- Total
- 40,051
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Lead
- 2,123
- Total
- 36,353
- vs nation
- R+2.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+37.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 85,3632024 5-year
- Population density
- 25 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,361 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,8872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 22, MN · twin score 98.1
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
69.9%
18,876 votes · D+41.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 60.5%
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
79.5%
2,633 votes · R+59.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 78.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
21,127votes
56.4% of the vote · D+15.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 19,978 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
33,501votes
67.7% of the vote · R+37.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 32,049 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+23.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.7 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +22.3 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+41.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+61.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +38.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.2%14,990 | 68.8%33,120 | 48,110 |
| 2020 | R | 41.3%12,961 | 58.7%18,395 | 31,356 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+37.3, this rural district ranks among the state's most reliably conservative, reflecting the broader political realignment of greater Minnesota away from its historically competitive patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 61.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 37.3 points.
A population of 85,363, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,887 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 22 and State Senate District 15.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.