- Lead
- 1,722
- Total
- 5,054
- vs nation
- R+32.6
- Turnout
- 69.2%
Swift County, MN
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.2% of 7,336 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,532
- Total
- 5,193
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Turnout
- 75.7%
- Lead
- 1,277
- Total
- 4,994
- vs nation
- R+27.7
- Turnout
- 69.4%
- Lead
- 503
- Total
- 5,119
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 723
- Total
- 5,244
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 684
- Total
- 5,735
- vs nation
- D+14.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 322
- Total
- 5,437
- vs nation
- D+5.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,513
- Total
- 5,330
- vs nation
- D+19.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 9,7482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,4122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chippewa County, MN · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.2%5,077 participants ÷ 7,336 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +4.0 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -15.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.3%–65.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,063 | 7,297 | 69.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,099 | 7,125 | 57.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,291 | 6,991 | 75.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,243 | 7,313 | 71.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,077 | 7,336 | 69.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
61 precincts · 5,054 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -BENSON P-1BENSON P-1 | 304 | 521 | 10 | 835 | 36.4% | 62.4% | R+26.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BENSON P-2BENSON P-2 | 274 | 491 | 14 | 779 | 35.2% | 63.0% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -APPLETONAPPLETON | 229 | 412 | 17 | 658 | 34.8% | 62.6% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -KERKHOVENKERKHOVEN | 107 | 266 | 7 | 380 | 28.2% | 70.0% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -TORNING TWPTORNING TWP | 46 | 187 | 2 | 235 | 19.6% | 79.6% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -BENSON TWPBENSON TWP | 64 | 116 | 5 | 185 | 34.6% | 62.7% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -PILLSBURY TWPPILLSBURY TWP | 33 | 119 | 0 | 152 | 21.7% | 78.3% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -KERKHOVEN TWPKERKHOVEN TWP | 48 | 89 | 5 | 142 | 33.8% | 62.7% | R+28.9 |
| Precinct -MURDOCKMURDOCK | 43 | 88 | 2 | 133 | 32.3% | 66.2% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -HAYES TWPHAYES TWP | 37 | 91 | 0 | 128 | 28.9% | 71.1% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -APPLETON TWPAPPLETON TWP | 37 | 83 | 4 | 124 | 29.8% | 66.9% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -CAMP LAKE TWPCAMP LAKE TWP | 50 | 62 | 1 | 113 | 44.2% | 54.9% | R+10.6 |
| Precinct -DUBLIN TWPDUBLIN TWP | 27 | 60 | 5 | 92 | 29.3% | 65.2% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -SIX MILE GROVE TWPSIX MILE GROVE TWP | 24 | 64 | 4 | 92 | 26.1% | 69.6% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -WEST BANK TWPWEST BANK TWP | 42 | 37 | 1 | 80 | 52.5% | 46.3% | D+6.3 |
| Precinct -CASHEL TWPCASHEL TWP | 17 | 55 | 3 | 75 | 22.7% | 73.3% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -EDISON TWPEDISON TWP | 18 | 55 | 1 | 74 | 24.3% | 74.3% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -KILDARE TWPKILDARE TWP | 23 | 49 | 2 | 74 | 31.1% | 66.2% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -DEGRAFFDEGRAFF | 14 | 58 | 1 | 73 | 19.2% | 79.5% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -FAIRFIELD TWPFAIRFIELD TWP | 14 | 53 | 2 | 69 | 20.3% | 76.8% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -SWENODA TWPSWENODA TWP | 15 | 52 | 1 | 68 | 22.1% | 76.5% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -CLONTARFCLONTARF | 23 | 40 | 2 | 65 | 35.4% | 61.5% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -SHIBLE TWPSHIBLE TWP | 11 | 53 | 1 | 65 | 16.9% | 81.5% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -MOYER TWPMOYER TWP | 20 | 40 | 1 | 61 | 32.8% | 65.6% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -CLONTARF TWPCLONTARF TWP | 25 | 29 | 0 | 54 | 46.3% | 53.7% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -DANVERSDANVERS | 13 | 41 | 0 | 54 | 24.1% | 75.9% | R+51.9 |
| Precinct -TARA TWPTARA TWP | 16 | 34 | 1 | 51 | 31.4% | 66.7% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -MARYSLAND TWPMARYSLAND TWP | 14 | 35 | 0 | 49 | 28.6% | 71.4% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -HOLLOWAYHOLLOWAY | 16 | 30 | 2 | 48 | 33.3% | 62.5% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -HEGBERT TWPHEGBERT TWP | 14 | 30 | 2 | 46 | 30.4% | 65.2% | R+34.8 |
| Appleton P-127_271510005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Appleton P-227_271510007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Appleton Twp. Voting District27_271510010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benson Twp. Voting District27_271510025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benson W-127_271510015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Benson W-227_271510020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Camp Lake Twp. Voting District27_271510030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cashel Twp. Voting District27_271510035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clontarf Twp. Voting District27_271510045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clontarf Voting District27_271510040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Danvers Voting District27_271510050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| De Graff Voting District27_271510055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dublin Twp. Voting District27_271510060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Edison Twp. Voting District27_271510065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairfield Twp. Voting District27_271510070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayes Twp. Voting District27_271510075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hegbert Twp. Voting District27_271510080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holloway Voting District27_271510085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kerkhoven Twp. Voting District27_271510095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kerkhoven Voting District27_271510090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kildare Twp. Voting District27_271510100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Marysland Twp. Voting District27_271510105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Moyer Twp. Voting District27_271510110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Murdock Voting District27_271510115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pillsbury Twp. Voting District27_271510120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shible Twp. Voting District27_271510125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Six Mile Grove Twp. Voting District27_271510130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Swenoda Twp. Voting District27_271510135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tara Twp. Voting District27_271510140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Torning Twp. Voting District27_271510145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Bank Twp. Voting District27_271510150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −2.5% |
| 1896 | −2.0% |
| 1900 | −14.0% |
| 1904 | −56.6% |
| 1908 | −17.6% |
| 1912 | +18.9% |
| 1916 | −5.8% |
| 1920 | −50.8% |
| 1924 | −26.8% |
| 1928 | −1.0% |
| 1932 | +52.4% |
| 1936 | +35.6% |
| 1940 | +16.0% |
| 1944 | +13.5% |
| 1948 | +30.5% |
| 1952 | −3.5% |
| 1956 | +17.0% |
| 1960 | +17.5% |
| 1964 | +34.5% |
| 1968 | +19.2% |
| 1972 | +17.4% |
| 1976 | +33.1% |
| 1980 | +4.4% |
| 1984 | +9.8% |
| 1988 | +24.5% |
| 1992 | +23.0% |
| 1996 | +28.4% |
| 2000 | +5.9% |
| 2004 | +11.9% |
| 2008 | +13.8% |
| 2012 | +9.8% |
| 2016 | −25.6% |
| 2020 | −29.5% |
| 2024 | −34.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,807 |
| 2018 | 5,742 |
| 2020 | 5,916 |
| 2022 | 5,618 |
| 2024 | 5,864 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−4 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −802 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,995 in average income, against $77,764 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.2 on average — 1.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Swift County, MN itself (R+34.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kandiyohi County, MN34R+30.9
- Chippewa County, MN24R+34.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Kandiyohi County, MN38
- Stevens County, MN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −78 |
| 2012 | −59 |
| 2013 | −91 |
| 2014 | −94 |
| 2015 | −111 |
| 2016 | +62 |
| 2017 | −64 |
| 2018 | −72 |
| 2019 | −74 |
| 2021 | −18 |
| 2022 | −48 |
| 2023 | −106 |
| 2024 | −45 |
| 2025 | −4 |
Swift County sits in west-central Minnesota's glaciated plains, where a shrinking and aging agricultural population has driven presidential margins from competitive to Republican-dominant over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.1 points.
A population of 9,748, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,412 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chippewa County and Yellow Medicine County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Swift County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27151/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.