HarrisDemocratic33.7%3,524TrumpRepublican64.5%6,741KennedyIndependent0.8%82
R+30.8- Lead
- 3,217
- Total
- 10,446
- vs nation
- R+29.3
- Turnout
- 77.7%
Akashiccounty
Aitkin County, MN
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.7% of 13,502 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic36.0%3,607TrumpRepublican62.4%6,258JorgensenLibertarian0.5%55
R+26.4- Lead
- 2,651
- Total
- 10,025
- vs nation
- R+30.9
- Turnout
- 76.4%
ClintonDemocratic34.0%3,134TrumpRepublican59.8%5,516JohnsonLibertarian2.8%263
R+25.8- Lead
- 2,382
- Total
- 9,231
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- 72.1%
ObamaDemocratic48.3%4,412RomneyRepublican49.6%4,533GRAYLibertarian0.9%80
R+1.3- Lead
- 121
- Total
- 9,142
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.8%4,595McCainRepublican48.8%4,589OtherAll other candidates2.4%226
D+0.1- Lead
- 6
- Total
- 9,410
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic48.0%4,539BushRepublican50.4%4,768OtherAll other candidates1.5%145
R+2.4- Lead
- 229
- Total
- 9,452
- vs nation
- Even
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.4%3,830BushRepublican45.5%3,755NaderGreen4.9%403
D+0.9- Lead
- 75
- Total
- 8,260
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.5%3,810DoleRepublican31.4%2,327PerotReform15.6%1,155
D+20.0- Lead
- 1,483
- Total
- 7,404
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,0562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,8332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Koochiching County, MN · twin score 92.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.7%10,488 participants ÷ 13,502 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 65.5%–67.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,342 | 12,958 | 72.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 8,292 | 13,121 | 63.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,073 | 13,179 | 76.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,506 | 13,228 | 64.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 10,488 | 13,502 | 77.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
105 precincts · 10,446 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -AITKIN CITYAITKIN CITY | 437 | 657 | 26 | 1,120 | 39.0% | 58.7% | R+19.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -SHAMROCK TWPSHAMROCK TWP | 344 | 561 | 11 | 916 | 37.6% | 61.2% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -FARM ISLAND TWPFARM ISLAND TWP | 306 | 548 | 7 | 861 | 35.5% | 63.6% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -NORDLAND TWPNORDLAND TWP | 272 | 496 | 9 | 777 | 35.0% | 63.8% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -HAZELTON TWPHAZELTON TWP | 196 | 390 | 10 | 596 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -AITKIN TWPAITKIN TWP | 182 | 390 | 9 | 581 | 31.3% | 67.1% | R+35.8 |
| Precinct -LAKESIDE TWPLAKESIDE TWP | 127 | 282 | 6 | 415 | 30.6% | 68.0% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -SPENCER TWPSPENCER TWP | 110 | 247 | 10 | 367 | 30.0% | 67.3% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -GLEN TWPGLEN TWP | 130 | 200 | 6 | 336 | 38.7% | 59.5% | R+20.8 |
| Precinct -HILL CITYHILL CITY | 105 | 212 | 4 | 321 | 32.7% | 66.0% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -HILL LAKE TWPHILL LAKE TWP | 83 | 180 | 1 | 264 | 31.4% | 68.2% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct -MALMO TWPMALMO TWP | 74 | 159 | 4 | 237 | 31.2% | 67.1% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -WAUKENABO TWPWAUKENABO TWP | 65 | 152 | 11 | 228 | 28.5% | 66.7% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -FLEMING TWPFLEMING TWP | 71 | 152 | 4 | 227 | 31.3% | 67.0% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -JEVNE TWPJEVNE TWP | 52 | 164 | 5 | 221 | 23.5% | 74.2% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -NW AITKIN UNORGNW AITKIN UNORG | 70 | 147 | 3 | 220 | 31.8% | 66.8% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -WEALTHWOOD TWPWEALTHWOOD TWP | 77 | 127 | 5 | 209 | 36.8% | 60.8% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct -WAGNER TWPWAGNER TWP | 63 | 139 | 6 | 208 | 30.3% | 66.8% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -BALL BLUFF TWPBALL BLUFF TWP | 66 | 103 | 6 | 175 | 37.7% | 58.9% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct -WORKMAN TWPWORKMAN TWP | 41 | 124 | 3 | 168 | 24.4% | 73.8% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -MCGREGOR CITYMCGREGOR CITY | 47 | 104 | 4 | 155 | 30.3% | 67.1% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -LOGAN TWPLOGAN TWP | 44 | 96 | 1 | 141 | 31.2% | 68.1% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -IDUN TWPIDUN TWP | 35 | 100 | 5 | 140 | 25.0% | 71.4% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -KIMBERLY TWPKIMBERLY TWP | 39 | 87 | 4 | 130 | 30.0% | 66.9% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -HAUGEN TWPHAUGEN TWP | 49 | 78 | 2 | 129 | 38.0% | 60.5% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -SPALDING TWPSPALDING TWP | 56 | 52 | 1 | 109 | 51.4% | 47.7% | D+3.7 |
| Precinct -TURNER TWPTURNER TWP | 50 | 53 | 0 | 103 | 48.5% | 51.5% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -MACVILLE TWPMACVILLE TWP | 33 | 62 | 3 | 98 | 33.7% | 63.3% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -MORRISON TWPMORRISON TWP | 18 | 75 | 1 | 94 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -WILLIAMS TWPWILLIAMS TWP | 20 | 69 | 2 | 91 | 22.0% | 75.8% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -CLARK TWPCLARK TWP | 32 | 56 | 0 | 88 | 36.4% | 63.6% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -RICE RIVER TWPRICE RIVER TWP | 29 | 56 | 2 | 87 | 33.3% | 64.4% | R+31.0 |
| Precinct -PALISADE CITYPALISADE CITY | 32 | 48 | 1 | 81 | 39.5% | 59.3% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -PLINY TWPPLINY TWP | 12 | 51 | 2 | 65 | 18.5% | 78.5% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -MCGREGOR TWPMCGREGOR TWP | 15 | 41 | 0 | 56 | 26.8% | 73.2% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -CORNISH TWPCORNISH TWP | 19 | 24 | 0 | 43 | 44.2% | 55.8% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -BEAVER TWPBEAVER TWP | 19 | 21 | 1 | 41 | 46.3% | 51.2% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -SEAVEY TWPSEAVEY TWP | 4 | 36 | 0 | 40 | 10.0% | 90.0% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -SALO TWPSALO TWP | 18 | 20 | 0 | 38 | 47.4% | 52.6% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -MILLWARD TWPMILLWARD TWP | 14 | 18 | 0 | 32 | 43.8% | 56.3% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -VERDON TWPVERDON TWP | 10 | 20 | 0 | 30 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -UNORG 47-24 (DAVIDSON UNORG)UNORG 47-24 (DAVIDSON UNORG) | 11 | 14 | 3 | 28 | 39.3% | 50.0% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct -LEE TWPLEE TWP | 2 | 25 | 0 | 27 | 7.4% | 92.6% | R+85.2 |
| Precinct -MCGRATH CITYMCGRATH CITY | 4 | 23 | 0 | 27 | 14.8% | 85.2% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -WHITE PINE TWPWHITE PINE TWP | 7 | 18 | 2 | 27 | 25.9% | 66.7% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -TAMARACK CITYTAMARACK CITY | 4 | 20 | 1 | 25 | 16.0% | 80.0% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -BALSAM TWPBALSAM TWP | 9 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 47.4% | 52.6% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -LIBBY TWP ELIBBY TWP E | 7 | 11 | 0 | 18 | 38.9% | 61.1% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -UNORG 45-24 (JEWETT UNORG)UNORG 45-24 (JEWETT UNORG) | 5 | 13 | 0 | 18 | 27.8% | 72.2% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -LIBBY TWP WLIBBY TWP W | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -NE AITKIN UNORGNE AITKIN UNORG | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Aitkin Twp. Voting District27_270010010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Aitkin Voting District27_270010005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ball Bluff Twp. Voting District27_270010015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Balsam Twp. Voting District27_270010020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Twp. Voting District27_270010025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clark Twp. Voting District27_270010030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cornish Twp. Voting District27_270010035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Farm Island Twp. Voting District27_270010040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fleming Twp. Voting District27_270010045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Glen Twp. Voting District27_270010050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Haugen Twp. Voting District27_270010055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hazelton Twp. Voting District27_270010060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hill City Voting District27_270010065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hill Lake Twp. Voting District27_270010070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Idun Twp. Voting District27_270010075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jevne Twp. Voting District27_270010080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kimberly Twp. Voting District27_270010085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lakeside Twp. Voting District27_270010090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lee Twp. Voting District27_270010095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Libby Twp. E Voting District27_270010100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Libby Twp. W Voting District27_270010105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Logan Twp. Voting District27_270010110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Macville Twp. Voting District27_270010130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Malmo Twp. Voting District27_270010135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McGrath Voting District27_270010115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McGregor Twp. Voting District27_270010125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| McGregor Voting District27_270010120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Millward Twp. Voting District27_270010132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morrison Twp. Voting District27_270010140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NE Aitkin Unorg. Voting District27_270010240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Nordland Twp. Voting District27_270010145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NW Aitkin Unorg. P-1 Voting District27_270010260 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NW Aitkin Unorg. P-2 Voting District27_270010290 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palisade Voting District27_270010150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pliny Twp. Voting District27_270010155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rice River Twp. Voting District27_270010160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Salo Twp. Voting District27_270010165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seavey Twp. Voting District27_270010170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shamrock Twp. Voting District27_270010175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spalding Twp. Voting District27_270010180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spencer Twp. Voting District27_270010185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tamarack Voting District27_270010190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Turner Twp. Voting District27_270010195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. 45-24 (Jewett Unorg.) Voting District27_270010082 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. 47-24 (Davidson Unorg.) Voting District27_270010038 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. 48-27 (Blind Lake Unorg.) Voting District27_270010255 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Unorg. 51-27 (Lemay Unorg.) Voting District27_270010285 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Verdon Twp. Voting District27_270010200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wagner Twp. Voting District27_270010205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Waukenabo Twp. Voting District27_270010210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wealthwood Twp. Voting District27_270010215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| White Pine Twp. Voting District27_270010220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Williams Twp. Voting District27_270010225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Workman Twp. Voting District27_270010230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −32.1% |
| 1896 | −41.5% |
| 1900 | −56.8% |
| 1904 | −69.3% |
| 1908 | −45.4% |
| 1912 | +2.4% |
| 1916 | −10.1% |
| 1920 | −55.5% |
| 1924 | −49.5% |
| 1928 | −44.8% |
| 1932 | +10.5% |
| 1936 | +20.3% |
| 1940 | −1.8% |
| 1944 | +0.4% |
| 1948 | +13.5% |
| 1952 | −13.3% |
| 1956 | −0.5% |
| 1960 | −1.9% |
| 1964 | +31.8% |
| 1968 | +14.8% |
| 1972 | −9.2% |
| 1976 | +26.4% |
| 1980 | +3.7% |
| 1984 | +7.0% |
| 1988 | +12.3% |
| 1992 | +16.5% |
| 1996 | +20.0% |
| 2000 | +0.9% |
| 2004 | −2.4% |
| 2008 | +0.1% |
| 2012 | −1.3% |
| 2016 | −25.8% |
| 2020 | −26.4% |
| 2024 | −30.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 10,626 |
| 2018 | 10,441 |
| 2020 | 11,145 |
| 2022 | 11,565 |
| 2024 | 12,179 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+111 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,766 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $81,195 in average income, against $72,135 for residents who stayed — 13% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.5 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Aitkin County, MN itself (R+30.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Crow Wing County, MN69R+31.3
- Hennepin County, MN56D+42.4
- Anoka County, MN45R+4.4
- Itasca County, MN28R+20.1
- St. Louis County, MN23D+13.7
- Wright County, MN21R+29.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Crow Wing County, MN85
- Itasca County, MN42
- Hennepin County, MN34
- St. Louis County, MN30
- Anoka County, MN29
- Mille Lacs County, MN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +54 |
| 2012 | −77 |
| 2013 | −60 |
| 2014 | +89 |
| 2015 | +106 |
| 2016 | +21 |
| 2017 | +156 |
| 2018 | +184 |
| 2019 | +84 |
| 2021 | +424 |
| 2022 | +298 |
| 2023 | +86 |
| 2024 | +290 |
| 2025 | +111 |
Aitkin's economy revolves around tourism, timber, and seasonal residents, and its predominantly white, non-college electorate has shifted the presidential margin from competitive to R+30 territory since the early 2000s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 69.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.8 points.
A population of 16,056, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,833 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Koochiching County and Burnett County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Koochiching County
Minnesota
92.3twin score
12-yr trendSwedish ancestrymedian age≠ Polish ancestry
Burnett County
Wisconsin
91.4twin score
median ageSwedish ancestry2004 margin≠ % unaffiliated
Washburn County
Wisconsin
89.4twin score
median age2004 marginSwedish ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
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Aitkin County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Aitkin County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Aitkin County, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.8 points (R+30.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,446 votes cast, 3,524 went Democratic and 6,741 went Republican.
When did Aitkin County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Aitkin County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Aitkin County, Minnesota?
Aitkin County, Minnesota has a population of 16,056 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Aitkin County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Aitkin County, Minnesota is $60,833 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Aitkin County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Aitkin County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.