- Lead
- 3,095
- Total
- 10,978
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- 80.5%
Washburn County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.5% of 13,731 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,467
- Total
- 10,378
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- 82.1%
- Lead
- 2,154
- Total
- 9,193
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- 73.2%
- Lead
- 252
- Total
- 9,287
- vs nation
- R+6.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 390
- Total
- 9,112
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 57
- Total
- 9,567
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 217
- Total
- 8,045
- vs nation
- R+3.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 528
- Total
- 6,996
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 16,8542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,4412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.6 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Burnett County, WI · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.5%11,053 participants ÷ 13,731 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.8%–65.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,246 | 12,626 | 73.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,989 | 12,610 | 63.4% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 10,409 | 12,678 | 82.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 8,428 | 13,507 | 62.4% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,053 | 13,731 | 80.5% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 10,978 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF SPOONER WARDS 1-4CITY OF SPOONER WARDS 1-4 | 502 | 715 | 21 | 1,238 | 40.5% | 57.8% | R+17.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF SHELL LAKE WARDS 1-2CITY OF SHELL LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 350 | 439 | 9 | 798 | 43.9% | 55.0% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF EVERGREEN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF EVERGREEN WARDS 1-2 | 274 | 496 | 13 | 783 | 35.0% | 63.3% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MINONG WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MINONG WARDS 1-2 | 291 | 458 | 5 | 754 | 38.6% | 60.7% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BASHAW WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BASHAW WARDS 1-2 | 203 | 512 | 16 | 731 | 27.8% | 70.0% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TREGO WARDS 1-2TOWN OF TREGO WARDS 1-2 | 254 | 448 | 10 | 712 | 35.7% | 62.9% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SPOONER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SPOONER WARDS 1-2 | 185 | 353 | 10 | 548 | 33.8% | 64.4% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BEAVER BROOK WARD 1TOWN OF BEAVER BROOK WARD 1 | 174 | 336 | 10 | 520 | 33.5% | 64.6% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LONG LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF LONG LAKE WARD 1 | 187 | 294 | 6 | 487 | 38.4% | 60.4% | R+22.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BIRCHWOOD WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BIRCHWOOD WARDS 1-2 | 137 | 313 | 8 | 458 | 29.9% | 68.3% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BASS LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF BASS LAKE WARD 1 | 114 | 279 | 3 | 396 | 28.8% | 70.5% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MADGE WARD 1TOWN OF MADGE WARD 1 | 159 | 233 | 3 | 395 | 40.3% | 59.0% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CASEY WARD 1TOWN OF CASEY WARD 1 | 145 | 205 | 2 | 352 | 41.2% | 58.2% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STONE LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF STONE LAKE WARD 1 | 102 | 235 | 5 | 342 | 29.8% | 68.7% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SPRINGBROOK WARD 1TOWN OF SPRINGBROOK WARD 1 | 90 | 212 | 5 | 307 | 29.3% | 69.1% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MINONG WARD 1VILLAGE OF MINONG WARD 1 | 104 | 178 | 7 | 289 | 36.0% | 61.6% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SARONA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SARONA WARDS 1-2 | 81 | 199 | 2 | 282 | 28.7% | 70.6% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BARRONETT WARD 1TOWN OF BARRONETT WARD 1 | 95 | 180 | 5 | 280 | 33.9% | 64.3% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BROOKLYN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BROOKLYN WARDS 1-2 | 94 | 157 | 1 | 252 | 37.3% | 62.3% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BIRCHWOOD WARD 1VILLAGE OF BIRCHWOOD WARD 1 | 78 | 167 | 3 | 248 | 31.5% | 67.3% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHICOG WARD 1TOWN OF CHICOG WARD 1 | 92 | 147 | 1 | 240 | 38.3% | 61.3% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CRYSTAL WARD 1TOWN OF CRYSTAL WARD 1 | 50 | 149 | 0 | 199 | 25.1% | 74.9% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STINNETT WARD 1TOWN OF STINNETT WARD 1 | 41 | 105 | 1 | 147 | 27.9% | 71.4% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GULL LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF GULL LAKE WARD 1 | 44 | 82 | 3 | 129 | 34.1% | 63.6% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FROG CREEK WARD 1TOWN OF FROG CREEK WARD 1 | 21 | 70 | 0 | 91 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −21.7% |
| 1896 | −49.5% |
| 1900 | −50.8% |
| 1904 | −61.1% |
| 1908 | −44.5% |
| 1912 | −0.7% |
| 1916 | −17.4% |
| 1920 | −64.6% |
| 1924 | −34.6% |
| 1928 | −41.2% |
| 1932 | +25.8% |
| 1936 | +30.1% |
| 1940 | +1.7% |
| 1944 | −8.4% |
| 1948 | +13.2% |
| 1952 | −21.9% |
| 1956 | −18.2% |
| 1960 | −8.6% |
| 1964 | +26.0% |
| 1968 | −3.0% |
| 1972 | −15.6% |
| 1976 | +11.1% |
| 1980 | −0.3% |
| 1984 | −9.3% |
| 1988 | +4.9% |
| 1992 | +6.4% |
| 1996 | +7.5% |
| 2000 | −2.7% |
| 2004 | −0.6% |
| 2008 | +4.3% |
| 2012 | −2.7% |
| 2016 | −23.4% |
| 2020 | −23.8% |
| 2024 | −28.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+155 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,400 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,503 in average income, against $72,601 for residents who stayed — 5% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.8 on average — 3.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Washburn County, WI itself (R+28.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Barron County, WI69R+29.0
- Sawyer County, WI51R+16.4
- Burnett County, WI23R+30.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Barron County, WI84
- Sawyer County, WI34
- Burnett County, WI28
- Douglas County, WI20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −35 |
| 2012 | +73 |
| 2013 | −110 |
| 2014 | +33 |
| 2015 | −96 |
| 2016 | +160 |
| 2017 | +196 |
| 2018 | +158 |
| 2019 | −26 |
| 2021 | +301 |
| 2022 | +276 |
| 2023 | +201 |
| 2024 | +114 |
| 2025 | +155 |
Washburn County's roughly 16,000 residents are spread across lake-dotted timberland in northwestern Wisconsin, a region that has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering a 28-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.2 points.
A population of 16,854, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,441 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Burnett County and Cass County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Washburn County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55129/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.