HarrisDemocratic33.9%9,567TrumpRepublican64.8%18,296KennedyNonpartisan0.5%136
R+30.9- Lead
- 8,729
- Total
- 28,222
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Turnout
- 78.1%
Akashiccounty
Polk County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.1% of 36,301 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.5%9,370TrumpRepublican63.0%16,611JorgensenLibertarian1.1%289
R+27.5- Lead
- 7,241
- Total
- 26,371
- vs nation
- R+31.9
- Turnout
- 77.4%
ClintonDemocratic33.3%7,565TrumpRepublican60.7%13,810JohnsonLibertarian3.9%885
R+27.5- Lead
- 6,245
- Total
- 22,745
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Turnout
- 68.4%
ObamaDemocratic44.6%10,073RomneyRepublican53.6%12,094GrayIndependent1.0%226
R+9.0- Lead
- 2,021
- Total
- 22,573
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.0%10,876McCainRepublican49.8%11,282OtherAll other candidates2.1%485
R+1.8- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 22,643
- vs nation
- R+9.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.5%11,173BushRepublican51.5%12,095OtherAll other candidates1.0%235
R+3.9- Lead
- 922
- Total
- 23,503
- vs nation
- R+1.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.3%8,961BushRepublican48.4%9,557NaderGreen5.5%1,084
R+3.0- Lead
- 596
- Total
- 19,762
- vs nation
- R+3.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic50.8%8,334DoleRepublican32.8%5,387PerotReform14.4%2,369
D+18.0- Lead
- 2,947
- Total
- 16,413
- vs nation
- D+9.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 45,5552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,2192024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cass County, MN · twin score 92.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.1%28,362 participants ÷ 36,301 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.3%–61.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,998 | 33,644 | 68.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,684 | 33,862 | 55.2% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,520 | 34,247 | 77.4% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,603 | 35,766 | 57.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 28,362 | 36,301 | 78.1% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.1%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.1%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.1%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.1%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 0.1%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 28,222 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALDEN WARDS 1-4TOWN OF ALDEN WARDS 1-4 | 700 | 1,344 | 37 | 2,081 | 33.6% | 64.6% | R+30.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF OSCEOLA WARDS 1-5TOWN OF OSCEOLA WARDS 1-5 | 678 | 1,335 | 27 | 2,040 | 33.2% | 65.4% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF AMERY WARDS 1-5CITY OF AMERY WARDS 1-5 | 664 | 953 | 16 | 1,633 | 40.7% | 58.4% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF OSCEOLA WARDS 1-3VILLAGE OF OSCEOLA WARDS 1-3 | 694 | 922 | 17 | 1,633 | 42.5% | 56.5% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LINCOLN WARDS 1-4TOWN OF LINCOLN WARDS 1-4 | 487 | 970 | 9 | 1,466 | 33.2% | 66.2% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -CITY OF ST. CROIX FALLS WARDS 1-4CITY OF ST. CROIX FALLS WARDS 1-4 | 655 | 725 | 11 | 1,391 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FARMINGTON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF FARMINGTON WARDS 1-3 | 400 | 904 | 17 | 1,321 | 30.3% | 68.4% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF EUREKA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF EUREKA WARDS 1-2 | 328 | 791 | 14 | 1,133 | 28.9% | 69.8% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GARFIELD WARDS 1-2TOWN OF GARFIELD WARDS 1-2 | 338 | 745 | 11 | 1,094 | 30.9% | 68.1% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BALSAM LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BALSAM LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 293 | 650 | 7 | 950 | 30.8% | 68.4% | R+37.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BLACK BROOK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BLACK BROOK WARDS 1-2 | 269 | 633 | 20 | 922 | 29.2% | 68.7% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MILLTOWN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MILLTOWN WARDS 1-2 | 272 | 504 | 17 | 793 | 34.3% | 63.6% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ST. CROIX FALLS WARDS 1-3TOWN OF ST. CROIX FALLS WARDS 1-3 | 254 | 481 | 14 | 749 | 33.9% | 64.2% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF APPLE RIVER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF APPLE RIVER WARDS 1-2 | 218 | 502 | 11 | 731 | 29.8% | 68.7% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GEORGETOWN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF GEORGETOWN WARDS 1-2 | 259 | 434 | 7 | 700 | 37.0% | 62.0% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAKETOWN WARD 1TOWN OF LAKETOWN WARD 1 | 235 | 444 | 8 | 687 | 34.2% | 64.6% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CLEAR LAKE WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF CLEAR LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 186 | 448 | 4 | 638 | 29.2% | 70.2% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF LUCK WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF LUCK WARDS 1-2 | 236 | 371 | 14 | 621 | 38.0% | 59.7% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLAYTON WARD 1TOWN OF CLAYTON WARD 1 | 179 | 425 | 9 | 613 | 29.2% | 69.3% | R+40.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LUCK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LUCK WARDS 1-2 | 182 | 422 | 5 | 609 | 29.9% | 69.3% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF FREDERIC WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF FREDERIC WARDS 1-2 | 239 | 353 | 10 | 602 | 39.7% | 58.6% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BEAVER WARD 1TOWN OF BEAVER WARD 1 | 171 | 374 | 5 | 550 | 31.1% | 68.0% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLEAR LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF CLEAR LAKE WARD 1 | 117 | 418 | 5 | 540 | 21.7% | 77.4% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF BALSAM LAKE WARD 1VILLAGE OF BALSAM LAKE WARD 1 | 182 | 326 | 3 | 511 | 35.6% | 63.8% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF DRESSER WARD 1VILLAGE OF DRESSER WARD 1 | 144 | 343 | 8 | 495 | 29.1% | 69.3% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF MILLTOWN WARD 1VILLAGE OF MILLTOWN WARD 1 | 163 | 318 | 6 | 487 | 33.5% | 65.3% | R+31.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WEST SWEDEN WARD 1TOWN OF WEST SWEDEN WARD 1 | 159 | 311 | 9 | 479 | 33.2% | 64.9% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BONE LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF BONE LAKE WARD 1 | 174 | 291 | 7 | 472 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STERLING WARD 1TOWN OF STERLING WARD 1 | 139 | 324 | 4 | 467 | 29.8% | 69.4% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CENTURIA WARD 1VILLAGE OF CENTURIA WARD 1 | 112 | 284 | 4 | 400 | 28.0% | 71.0% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLAM FALLS WARD 1TOWN OF CLAM FALLS WARD 1 | 116 | 220 | 2 | 338 | 34.3% | 65.1% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF JOHNSTOWN WARD 1TOWN OF JOHNSTOWN WARD 1 | 125 | 192 | 4 | 321 | 38.9% | 59.8% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CLAYTON WARD 1VILLAGE OF CLAYTON WARD 1 | 61 | 199 | 3 | 263 | 23.2% | 75.7% | R+52.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MCKINLEY WARD 1TOWN OF MCKINLEY WARD 1 | 78 | 172 | 4 | 254 | 30.7% | 67.7% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LORAIN WARD 1TOWN OF LORAIN WARD 1 | 54 | 142 | 5 | 201 | 26.9% | 70.6% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF TURTLE LAKE WARD 2VILLAGE OF TURTLE LAKE WARD 2 | 6 | 26 | 5 | 37 | 16.2% | 70.3% | R+54.1 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −36.4% |
| 1896 | −51.3% |
| 1900 | −57.8% |
| 1904 | −77.1% |
| 1908 | −50.9% |
| 1912 | −0.6% |
| 1916 | −9.0% |
| 1920 | −67.9% |
| 1924 | −33.3% |
| 1928 | −51.4% |
| 1932 | +21.6% |
| 1936 | +19.3% |
| 1940 | −9.4% |
| 1944 | −8.4% |
| 1948 | +14.2% |
| 1952 | −23.9% |
| 1956 | −8.3% |
| 1960 | −10.7% |
| 1964 | +31.5% |
| 1968 | −3.5% |
| 1972 | −6.6% |
| 1976 | +15.6% |
| 1980 | +2.5% |
| 1984 | −0.4% |
| 1988 | +13.2% |
| 1992 | +12.7% |
| 1996 | +18.0% |
| 2000 | −3.0% |
| 2004 | −3.9% |
| 2008 | −1.8% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −27.5% |
| 2020 | −27.5% |
| 2024 | −30.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+169 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,193 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,920 in average income, against $77,614 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+6.5 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Polk County, WI itself (R+30.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- St. Croix County, WI202R+19.2
- Barron County, WI99R+29.0
- Washington County, MN87D+8.9
- Chisago County, MN69R+31.3
- Ramsey County, MN66D+43.1
- Hennepin County, MN64D+42.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- St. Croix County, WI198
- Barron County, WI121
- Washington County, MN69
- Burnett County, WI65
- Ramsey County, MN64
- Hennepin County, MN53
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −241 |
| 2012 | −507 |
| 2013 | −199 |
| 2014 | +46 |
| 2015 | −96 |
| 2016 | +53 |
| 2017 | +152 |
| 2018 | +247 |
| 2019 | +255 |
| 2021 | +568 |
| 2022 | +272 |
| 2023 | +359 |
| 2024 | +115 |
| 2025 | +169 |
Polk County's largely rural, non-college electorate has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, producing a 30-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 despite sitting on the Minnesota border in a competitive swing state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 77.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 45,555, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,219 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cass County and Crow Wing County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cass County
Minnesota
92.2twin score
Swedish ancestryNorwegian ancestry12-yr trend
Crow Wing County
Minnesota
91.4twin score
Swedish ancestry% WhiteNorwegian ancestry
Washburn County
Wisconsin
91.3twin score
Swedish ancestry2000–2004 trajectory% White≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Polk County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Polk County
Wisconsin at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Polk County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Polk County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,222 votes cast, 9,567 went Democratic and 18,296 went Republican.
When did Polk County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Polk County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Polk County, Wisconsin?
Polk County, Wisconsin has a population of 45,555 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Polk County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Polk County, Wisconsin is $77,219 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Polk County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Polk County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.