HarrisDemocratic34.1%2,765TrumpRepublican64.4%5,213KennedyNonpartisan0.7%57
R+30.2- Lead
- 2,448
- Total
- 8,100
- vs nation
- R+28.8
- Turnout
- 76.5%
Akashiccounty
Buffalo County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 76.5% of 10,600 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic36.6%2,860TrumpRepublican61.8%4,834JorgensenLibertarian1.0%80
R+25.3- Lead
- 1,974
- Total
- 7,816
- vs nation
- R+29.7
- Turnout
- 76.0%
ClintonDemocratic36.2%2,525TrumpRepublican58.0%4,048JohnsonLibertarian3.1%218
R+21.8- Lead
- 1,523
- Total
- 6,981
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Turnout
- 68.2%
ObamaDemocratic50.7%3,570RomneyRepublican47.8%3,364GrayIndependent0.6%41
D+2.9- Lead
- 206
- Total
- 7,039
- vs nation
- R+0.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic56.4%3,949McCainRepublican41.8%2,923OtherAll other candidates1.8%128
D+14.7- Lead
- 1,026
- Total
- 7,000
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.7%3,998BushRepublican46.1%3,502OtherAll other candidates1.2%91
D+6.5- Lead
- 496
- Total
- 7,591
- vs nation
- D+9.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic48.7%3,237BushRepublican45.7%3,038NaderGreen4.8%316
D+3.0- Lead
- 199
- Total
- 6,641
- vs nation
- D+2.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic48.2%2,681DoleRepublican32.4%1,800PerotReform17.5%972
D+15.9- Lead
- 881
- Total
- 5,557
- vs nation
- D+7.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,3932024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,4792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Day County, SD · twin score 93.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 76.5%8,114 participants ÷ 10,600 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.1%–62.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 7,047 | 10,334 | 68.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,014 | 10,316 | 58.3% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,850 | 10,323 | 76.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,184 | 10,548 | 58.6% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,114 | 10,600 | 76.5% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
23 precincts · 8,100 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF MONDOVI WARDS 1-3CITY OF MONDOVI WARDS 1-3 | 476 | 950 | 16 | 1,442 | 33.0% | 65.9% | R+32.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CITY OF BUFFALO CITY WARDS 1-2CITY OF BUFFALO CITY WARDS 1-2 | 259 | 386 | 7 | 652 | 39.7% | 59.2% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BUFFALO WARD 1TOWN OF BUFFALO WARD 1 | 183 | 295 | 8 | 486 | 37.7% | 60.7% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF ALMA WARDS 1-2CITY OF ALMA WARDS 1-2 | 207 | 243 | 9 | 459 | 45.1% | 52.9% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NAPLES WARD 1TOWN OF NAPLES WARD 1 | 126 | 318 | 5 | 449 | 28.1% | 70.8% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF FOUNTAIN CITY WARD 1CITY OF FOUNTAIN CITY WARD 1 | 202 | 237 | 8 | 447 | 45.2% | 53.0% | R+7.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MILTON WARD 1TOWN OF MILTON WARD 1 | 129 | 246 | 4 | 379 | 34.0% | 64.9% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NELSON WARD 1TOWN OF NELSON WARD 1 | 101 | 244 | 6 | 351 | 28.8% | 69.5% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WAUMANDEE WARD 1TOWN OF WAUMANDEE WARD 1 | 102 | 223 | 3 | 328 | 31.1% | 68.0% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BELVIDERE WARD 1TOWN OF BELVIDERE WARD 1 | 97 | 207 | 6 | 310 | 31.3% | 66.8% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONDOVI WARD 1TOWN OF MONDOVI WARD 1 | 78 | 214 | 2 | 294 | 26.5% | 72.8% | R+46.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GILMANTON WARD 1TOWN OF GILMANTON WARD 1 | 79 | 181 | 8 | 268 | 29.5% | 67.5% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DOVER WARD 1TOWN OF DOVER WARD 1 | 95 | 160 | 6 | 261 | 36.4% | 61.3% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CROSS WARD 1TOWN OF CROSS WARD 1 | 77 | 176 | 5 | 258 | 29.8% | 68.2% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GLENCOE WARD 1TOWN OF GLENCOE WARD 1 | 71 | 179 | 1 | 251 | 28.3% | 71.3% | R+43.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF COCHRANE WARD 1VILLAGE OF COCHRANE WARD 1 | 95 | 143 | 7 | 245 | 38.8% | 58.4% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAXVILLE WARD 1TOWN OF MAXVILLE WARD 1 | 50 | 160 | 3 | 213 | 23.5% | 75.1% | R+51.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF NELSON WARD 1VILLAGE OF NELSON WARD 1 | 66 | 117 | 7 | 190 | 34.7% | 61.6% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALMA WARD 1TOWN OF ALMA WARD 1 | 76 | 102 | 3 | 181 | 42.0% | 56.4% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MODENA WARD 1TOWN OF MODENA WARD 1 | 62 | 115 | 1 | 178 | 34.8% | 64.6% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CANTON WARD 1TOWN OF CANTON WARD 1 | 52 | 120 | 3 | 175 | 29.7% | 68.6% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONTANA WARD 1TOWN OF MONTANA WARD 1 | 38 | 108 | 3 | 149 | 25.5% | 72.5% | R+47.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LINCOLN WARD 1TOWN OF LINCOLN WARD 1 | 44 | 89 | 1 | 134 | 32.8% | 66.4% | R+33.6 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −4.2% |
| 1896 | −26.9% |
| 1900 | −26.4% |
| 1904 | −39.4% |
| 1908 | −29.9% |
| 1912 | −15.4% |
| 1916 | −17.0% |
| 1920 | −77.1% |
| 1924 | −28.7% |
| 1928 | −24.3% |
| 1932 | +30.6% |
| 1936 | +15.4% |
| 1940 | −23.1% |
| 1944 | −27.2% |
| 1948 | +4.3% |
| 1952 | −36.0% |
| 1956 | −19.8% |
| 1960 | −10.8% |
| 1964 | +27.3% |
| 1968 | −15.9% |
| 1972 | −10.9% |
| 1976 | +9.4% |
| 1980 | −3.9% |
| 1984 | −6.4% |
| 1988 | +11.1% |
| 1992 | +13.9% |
| 1996 | +15.9% |
| 2000 | +3.0% |
| 2004 | +6.5% |
| 2008 | +14.7% |
| 2012 | +2.9% |
| 2016 | −21.8% |
| 2020 | −25.3% |
| 2024 | −30.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−29 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −543 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,808 in average income, against $69,282 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.8 on average — 26 points more Democratic-leaning than Buffalo County, WI itself (R+30.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Trempealeau County, WI51R+21.4
- Eau Claire County, WI47D+10.6
- Winona County, MN32R+4.9
- La Crosse County, WI20D+9.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Eau Claire County, WI59
- Winona County, MN46
- Pepin County, WI30
- Trempealeau County, WI30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −91 |
| 2012 | −133 |
| 2013 | −17 |
| 2014 | −124 |
| 2015 | −37 |
| 2016 | −146 |
| 2017 | −26 |
| 2018 | +16 |
| 2019 | −95 |
| 2021 | −2 |
| 2022 | +85 |
| 2023 | +58 |
| 2024 | −2 |
| 2025 | −29 |
Buffalo County sits along the Mississippi River bluffs in western Wisconsin, and its small farming communities have shifted steadily rightward over the past decade — the 2024 presidential margin of R+30.2 reflects a pattern common to rural dairying counties statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 77.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.2 points.
A population of 13,393, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,479 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Day County and Trempealeau County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Day County
South Dakota
93.8twin score
12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ % unaffiliated
Trempealeau County
Wisconsin
92.4twin score
12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ median age
Rusk County
Wisconsin
87.8twin score
12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectory% White≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Buffalo County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Buffalo County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Buffalo County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Buffalo County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 30.2 points (R+30.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,100 votes cast, 2,765 went Democratic and 5,213 went Republican.
When did Buffalo County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Buffalo County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Buffalo County, Wisconsin?
Buffalo County, Wisconsin has a population of 13,393 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Buffalo County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Buffalo County, Wisconsin is $70,479 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Buffalo County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Buffalo County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.