- Lead
- 3,442
- Total
- 16,079
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- 75.1%
Trempealeau County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 75.1% of 21,422 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,548
- Total
- 15,380
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- 72.0%
- Lead
- 1,730
- Total
- 13,687
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- 63.4%
- Lead
- 1,898
- Total
- 13,481
- vs nation
- D+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,513
- Total
- 13,314
- vs nation
- D+19.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,197
- Total
- 14,062
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,676
- Total
- 12,168
- vs nation
- D+13.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,813
- Total
- 10,794
- vs nation
- D+17.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,8392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,3132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Buffalo County, WI · twin score 92.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.1%16,079 participants ÷ 21,422 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.1%–64.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,697 | 21,595 | 63.4% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,336 | 21,425 | 57.6% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,415 | 21,421 | 72.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,356 | 22,078 | 56.0% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,079 | 21,422 | 75.1% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 16,079 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF TREMPEALEAU WARDS 1-3TOWN OF TREMPEALEAU WARDS 1-3 | 506 | 747 | 16 | 1,269 | 39.9% | 58.9% | R+19.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF TREMPEALEAU WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF TREMPEALEAU WARDS 1-2 | 491 | 650 | 19 | 1,160 | 42.3% | 56.0% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF GALE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF GALE WARDS 1-2 | 402 | 693 | 15 | 1,110 | 36.2% | 62.4% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSSEO WARDS 1-3CITY OF OSSEO WARDS 1-3 | 439 | 568 | 19 | 1,026 | 42.8% | 55.4% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ARCADIA WARDS 1-4TOWN OF ARCADIA WARDS 1-4 | 314 | 704 | 4 | 1,022 | 30.7% | 68.9% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF GALESVILLE WARDS 1-3CITY OF GALESVILLE WARDS 1-3 | 422 | 539 | 15 | 976 | 43.2% | 55.2% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF ARCADIA WARDS 1-3CITY OF ARCADIA WARDS 1-3 | 338 | 474 | 8 | 820 | 41.2% | 57.8% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ETTRICK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF ETTRICK WARDS 1-2 | 311 | 495 | 12 | 818 | 38.0% | 60.5% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF WHITEHALL WARDS 1-3CITY OF WHITEHALL WARDS 1-3 | 342 | 416 | 7 | 765 | 44.7% | 54.4% | R+9.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HALE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HALE WARDS 1-2 | 225 | 410 | 10 | 645 | 34.9% | 63.6% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF BLAIR WARDS 1-3CITY OF BLAIR WARDS 1-3 | 249 | 357 | 5 | 611 | 40.8% | 58.4% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF STRUM WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF STRUM WARDS 1-2 | 265 | 308 | 8 | 581 | 45.6% | 53.0% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CALEDONIA WARD 1TOWN OF CALEDONIA WARD 1 | 221 | 352 | 6 | 579 | 38.2% | 60.8% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SUMNER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SUMNER WARDS 1-2 | 198 | 363 | 6 | 567 | 34.9% | 64.0% | R+29.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF INDEPENDENCE WARDS 1-3CITY OF INDEPENDENCE WARDS 1-3 | 197 | 319 | 3 | 519 | 38.0% | 61.5% | R+23.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PRESTON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF PRESTON WARDS 1-3 | 164 | 321 | 18 | 503 | 32.6% | 63.8% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PIGEON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF PIGEON WARDS 1-2 | 160 | 262 | 6 | 428 | 37.4% | 61.2% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALBION WARDS 1-2TOWN OF ALBION WARDS 1-2 | 122 | 273 | 0 | 395 | 30.9% | 69.1% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ELEVA WARD 1VILLAGE OF ELEVA WARD 1 | 140 | 237 | 3 | 380 | 36.8% | 62.4% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LINCOLN WARDS 1-4TOWN OF LINCOLN WARDS 1-4 | 130 | 232 | 5 | 367 | 35.4% | 63.2% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF UNITY WARDS 1-2TOWN OF UNITY WARDS 1-2 | 109 | 233 | 1 | 343 | 31.8% | 67.9% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ETTRICK WARD 1VILLAGE OF ETTRICK WARD 1 | 123 | 170 | 4 | 297 | 41.4% | 57.2% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DODGE WARD 1TOWN OF DODGE WARD 1 | 95 | 163 | 4 | 262 | 36.3% | 62.2% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BURNSIDE WARD 1TOWN OF BURNSIDE WARD 1 | 101 | 154 | 3 | 258 | 39.1% | 59.7% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF PIGEON FALLS WARD 1VILLAGE OF PIGEON FALLS WARD 1 | 99 | 117 | 0 | 216 | 45.8% | 54.2% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHIMNEY ROCK WARD 1TOWN OF CHIMNEY ROCK WARD 1 | 56 | 104 | 2 | 162 | 34.6% | 64.2% | R+29.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −15.1% |
| 1896 | −39.1% |
| 1900 | −46.0% |
| 1904 | −54.7% |
| 1908 | −53.4% |
| 1912 | −13.4% |
| 1916 | −14.7% |
| 1920 | −71.5% |
| 1924 | −25.7% |
| 1928 | −30.6% |
| 1932 | +33.2% |
| 1936 | +26.3% |
| 1940 | −1.4% |
| 1944 | −2.4% |
| 1948 | +12.5% |
| 1952 | −23.5% |
| 1956 | −8.7% |
| 1960 | −2.9% |
| 1964 | +31.9% |
| 1968 | −9.3% |
| 1972 | −14.8% |
| 1976 | +7.5% |
| 1980 | −5.0% |
| 1984 | −5.2% |
| 1988 | +11.7% |
| 1992 | +20.3% |
| 1996 | +26.1% |
| 2000 | +13.8% |
| 2004 | +15.6% |
| 2008 | +26.4% |
| 2012 | +14.1% |
| 2016 | −12.6% |
| 2020 | −16.6% |
| 2024 | −21.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+102 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,160 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,226 in average income, against $71,054 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.03 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Trempealeau County, WI itself (R+21.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- La Crosse County, WI147D+9.4
- Eau Claire County, WI100D+10.6
- Jackson County, WI44R+19.5
- Winona County, MN31R+4.9
- Buffalo County, WI30R+30.2
- Chippewa County, WI23R+22.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- La Crosse County, WI134
- Eau Claire County, WI120
- Jackson County, WI68
- Buffalo County, WI51
- Winona County, MN37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +7 |
| 2012 | +153 |
| 2013 | +49 |
| 2014 | −212 |
| 2015 | −146 |
| 2016 | −34 |
| 2017 | −346 |
| 2018 | −80 |
| 2019 | −71 |
| 2021 | −180 |
| 2022 | +70 |
| 2023 | −146 |
| 2024 | −326 |
| 2025 | +102 |
Trempealeau County sits along the Wisconsin–Minnesota border where the Mississippi River defines both its geography and its economy. Once reliably competitive, it has shifted toward Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points as its largely rural, non-college workforce realigned through the 2010s and 2020s.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 71.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.4 points.
A population of 30,839, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,313 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Buffalo County and Day County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Trempealeau County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55121/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.