akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 31·Wisconsin

Wisconsin 31st State Senate District delivered D+3 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A competitive corridor where suburban drift has narrowed statewide margins

18762024·38 elections
WI
Latest
D+3
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
142,258
2024 ACS

Wisconsin 31st State Senate District, Wisconsin: Tossup district. In 2024, voted D+3%. Republican peak: R+71 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+3MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
142,2582024 5-year
Median household income
$74,6472024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.6%2024 5-year
Black
1.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+71 in 1920MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 1 D · 3 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+3.4%
42,24239,44382,981
D
+4.1%
39,08035,93376,665
D
+2.2%
33,94332,37071,711
D
+11.3%
39,09231,04271,283
D
+20.2%
42,48827,98171,659
D
+8.3%
38,71032,72272,323
D
+5.4%
30,92727,59762,181
D
+15.8%
25,91317,72052,013
D
+11.7%
27,22520,09460,906
D
+9.2%
27,80023,07451,165
R
−3.0%
25,08226,66352,034
D
+0.3%
23,26523,09651,494
D
+6.7%
24,46821,32246,738
R
−5.4%
18,71320,90940,580
R
−0.2%
16,03216,11433,979
D
+28.2%
21,36311,94533,367
R
−10.7%
15,72419,50135,282
R
−17.4%
12,86818,31431,244
R
−22.3%
12,80120,14933,007
D
+11.1%
14,06511,22225,663
R
−5.8%
12,41013,94526,493
R
−2.3%
14,06914,74429,008
D
+17.3%
14,62410,15725,792
D
+7.3%
11,99310,32622,761
R
−37.1%
6,84715,03522,041
O
−38.7%
9067,69517,534
R
−71.0%
1,71211,99414,476
R
−15.2%
3,5184,8608,818
R
−6.2%
2,6443,1438,009
R
−37.2%
2,8216,4559,759
R
−52.9%
1,9256,8429,292
R
−36.9%
3,0676,86210,282
R
−29.6%
3,7086,97711,044
R
−7.0%
3,6014,2228,857
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
36.7%
Irish
10.1%
English
7.2%
Polish
5.7%
American
3.5%
French
3.0%
Italian
2.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.7%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Spanish2.3%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Mainline Protestant
18.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.7%
Other Christian
5.8%
Methodist
1.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Baptist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Wisconsin's 31st Senate District logged a D+5.3 margin in 2024, reflecting the suburban realignment reshaping legislative maps across the upper Midwest. Turnout patterns here often signal broader statewide competitiveness.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached twenty-eight points in 1964; the Republican margin reached seventy-one points in 1920. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 142,258, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,647 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 31, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/55031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 31, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 31, Wisconsin voted Democratic by 3.4 points (D+3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 82,981 votes cast, 42,242 went Democratic and 39,443 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 31, Wisconsin's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 31, Wisconsin as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 17 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 31, Wisconsin last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 31, Wisconsin voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in State Senate District 31, Wisconsin?
State Senate District 31, Wisconsin has a population of 142,258 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 31, Wisconsin?
Median household income in State Senate District 31, Wisconsin is $74,647 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of State Senate District 31, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 31, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.