- Lead
- 2,906
- Total
- 43,986
- vs nation
- R+5.1
Minnesota 4th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,531
- Total
- 43,311
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Lead
- 3,461
- Total
- 39,177
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Lead
- 1,419
- Total
- 38,210
- vs nation
- R+0.1
- Lead
- 4,474
- Total
- 38,951
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Lead
- 2,600
- Total
- 37,365
- vs nation
- R+4.5
- Lead
- 2,855
- Total
- 31,555
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Lead
- 2,335
- Total
- 29,095
- vs nation
- R+0.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,8022024 5-year
- Population density
- 66 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,291 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,1362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.0 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 13, ND · twin score 86.5
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota 4th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
68.8%
9,415 votes · D+40.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 67.4%
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
77.6%
672 votes · R+55.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 77.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
21,311votes
54.7% of the vote · D+11.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 20,359 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
22,948votes
52.2% of the vote · R+6.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 21,890 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+23.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+40.8 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +19.5 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+43.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.0 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +29.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.5%18,231 | 56.5%23,704 | 41,935 |
| 2020 | D | 59.7%16,737 | 40.3%11,304 | 28,041 |
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+6.6, against D+11.5 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. About 69,100 residents lived here, with White alone at 85% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.0 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.6 points.
A population of 84,802, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,136 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 13 and State Senate District 45.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota 4th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/27004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.