Wisconsin, Wisconsin
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +1.7% |
| 1896 | −22.9% |
| 1900 | −24.1% |
| 1904 | −35.2% |
| 1908 | −17.8% |
| 1912 | +8.4% |
| 1916 | −6.6% |
| 1920 | −54.9% |
| 1924 | −29.0% |
| 1928 | −9.2% |
| 1932 | +32.3% |
| 1936 | +33.5% |
| 1940 | +1.8% |
| 1944 | −1.8% |
| 1948 | +4.4% |
| 1952 | −22.2% |
| 1956 | −23.7% |
| 1960 | −3.7% |
| 1964 | +24.3% |
| 1968 | −3.6% |
| 1972 | −9.7% |
| 1976 | +1.7% |
| 1980 | −4.7% |
| 1984 | −9.2% |
| 1988 | +3.6% |
| 1992 | +4.4% |
| 1996 | +10.3% |
| 2000 | +0.2% |
| 2004 | +0.4% |
| 2008 | +13.9% |
| 2012 | +6.9% |
| 2016 | −0.8% |
| 2020 | +0.6% |
| 2024 | −0.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 48.7%Harris1,668,229 | 49.6%Trump1,697,626 | 0.5%Kennedy17,740 | 3,422,918 | ||
| D | 49.4%Biden1,630,866 | 48.8%Trump1,610,184 | 1.2%Jorgensen38,491 | 3,298,041 | ||
| R | 46.5%Clinton1,382,536 | 47.2%Trump1,405,284 | 3.6%Johnson106,674 | 2,976,150 | ||
| D | 52.8%Obama1,620,985 | 45.9%Romney1,407,966 | 0.2%Scattering5,170 | 3,068,434 | ||
| D | 56.2%Obama1,676,761 | 42.3%McCain1,262,393 | 0.6%Nader17,605 | 2,982,967 | ||
| D | 49.7%Kerry1,489,504 | 49.3%Bush1,478,120 | 0.6%Nader17,272 | 2,997,007 | ||
| D | 47.8%Gore1,242,987 | 47.6%Bush1,237,279 | 3.6%Nader94,070 | 2,598,607 | ||
| D | 48.8%Clinton1,071,971 | 38.5%Dole845,029 | 10.4%Perot227,339 | 2,196,169 | ||
| D | 41.1%Clinton1,041,066 | 36.8%Bush930,855 | 21.5%Perot544,479 | 2,531,114 | ||
| D | 51.5%Dukakis1,126,794 | 47.8%Bush1,047,499 | 0.1%Scattering2,273 | 2,189,335 | ||
| R | 45.0%Mondale995,843 | 54.2%Reagan1,199,585 | 0.2%Bergland4,883 | 2,212,091 | ||
| R | 43.2%Carter981,584 | 47.9%Reagan1,088,845 | 7.1%Anderson160,657 | 2,271,884 | ||
| D | 49.5%Carter1,040,232 | 47.8%Ford1,004,987 | 1.7%McCarthy34,943 | 2,101,336 | ||
| R | 43.7%McGovern810,174 | 53.4%Nixon989,430 | 2.8%Schmitz52,393 | 1,851,997 | ||
| R | 44.3%Humphrey748,804 | 48.0%Nixon809,997 | 7.7%Wallace130,395 | 1,689,196 | ||
| D | 62.1%Johnson1,050,424 | 37.7%Goldwater638,495 | 0.2%Hass2,896 | 1,691,815 | ||
| R | 48.0%Kennedy830,805 | 51.8%Nixon895,175 | 0.2%Byrd3,102 | 1,729,082 | ||
| R | 37.8%Stevenson586,768 | 61.6%Eisenhower954,844 | 0.6%Andrews8,946 | 1,550,558 | ||
| R | 38.7%Stevenson622,175 | 61.0%Eisenhower979,744 | 0.3%Hallinan5,451 | 1,607,370 | ||
| D | 50.7%Truman647,310 | 46.3%Dewey590,959 | 3.0%Thurmond38,531 | 1,276,800 | ||
| R | 48.6%Roosevelt650,413 | 50.4%Dewey674,532 | 1.1%Thomas14,207 | 1,339,152 | ||
| D | 50.1%Roosevelt704,821 | 48.3%Willkie679,206 | 1.5%Thomas21,495 | 1,405,522 | ||
| D | 63.8%Roosevelt802,984 | 30.3%Landon380,828 | 5.9%Lemke74,748 | 1,258,560 | ||
| D | 63.5%Roosevelt707,410 | 31.2%Hoover347,741 | 5.4%Thomas59,650 | 1,114,801 | ||
| R | 44.3%Smith450,259 | 53.5%Hoover544,205 | 2.2%Thomas22,367 | 1,016,831 | ||
| O | 8.1%Davis68,115 | 37.1%Coolidge311,614 | 54.8%La Follette461,098 | 840,827 | ||
| R | 16.2%Cox113,418 | 71.1%Harding498,676 | 12.7%Debs89,283 | 701,377 | ||
| R | 42.8%Wilson191,363 | 49.4%Hughes220,822 | 7.8%Benson34,949 | 447,134 | ||
| D | 41.1%Wilson164,230 | 32.7%Taft130,596 | 26.3%Roosevelt105,149 | 399,975 | ||
| R | 36.7%Bryan166,662 | 54.5%Taft247,744 | 8.8%Debs40,032 | 454,438 | ||
| R | 28.0%Parker124,205 | 63.2%Roosevelt280,315 | 8.8%Debs38,921 | 443,441 | ||
| R | 36.0%Bryan159,163 | 60.1%McKinley265,760 | 4.0%Woolley17,578 | 442,501 | ||
| R | 37.0%Bryan165,523 | 59.9%McKinley268,135 | 3.1%Palmer13,751 | 447,409 | ||
| D | 47.7%Cleveland177,325 | 46.1%Harrison171,101 | 6.2%Weaver23,055 | 371,481 |
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seatno nominee yet
Tom Tiffanypresumptive nomineeMandela BarnesSara RodriguezDavid Crowley
OPEN seat: incumbent Gov. Tony Evers (D) announced July 2025 he would not seek a third term. Aug 11 2026 primary not yet held. The Democratic field is large and genuinely wide-open (Mandela Barnes, Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, Milwaukee County Exec David Crowley, state Sen. Kelda Roys, plus Francesca Hong and Joel Brennan) with no clear front-runner. U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany is the clear Republican front-runner (Trump-endorsed). Note: Bill Berrien withdrew (2025); Eric Hovde never entered; Rebecca Cooke is a U.S. House candidate, not a gubernatorial candidate.
Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 213 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 · R 6 | 48.2% | 51.2% | 3,325,606 | |
| D 2 · R 6 | 40.1% | 55.4% | 2,531,324 | |
| D 3 · R 5 | 48.4% | 51.3% | 3,238,051 | |
| D 3 · R 5 | 53.2% | 45.6% | 2,571,655 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 49.3%1,672,777 | 48.5%1,643,996 | 3,390,787 |
| 2022 | R | 49.4%1,310,467 | 50.4%1,337,185 | 2,652,477 |
| 2018 | D | 55.4%1,472,914 | 44.6%1,184,885 | 2,657,799 |
| 2016 | R | 46.8%1,380,335 | 50.2%1,479,471 | 2,948,733 |
| 2012 | D | 51.4%1,547,104 | 45.9%1,380,126 | 3,009,298 |
| 2010 | R | 47.0%1,020,958 | 51.9%1,126,133 | 2,170,693 |
| 2006 | D | 67.3%1,439,214 | 29.5%630,299 | 2,138,297 |
| 2004 | D | 55.4%1,632,697 | 44.1%1,301,183 | 2,948,909 |
| 2000 | D | 61.5%1,563,238 | 37.0%940,744 | 2,540,083 |
| 1998 | D | 50.6%890,059 | 48.4%852,272 | 1,760,130 |
| 1994 | D | 58.3%912,662 | 40.7%636,989 | 1,565,628 |
| 1992 | D | 52.6%1,290,662 | 46.0%1,129,599 | 2,454,665 |
| 1988 | D | 52.1%1,128,625 | 47.5%1,030,440 | 2,168,190 |
| 1986 | R | 47.4%702,963 | 50.9%754,573 | 1,483,174 |
| 1982 | D | 63.6%983,311 | 34.1%527,355 | 1,544,883 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3%1,065,487 | 50.2%1,106,311 | 2,204,135 |
| 1976 | D | 72.6%1,404,324 | 27.0%521,902 | 1,935,183 |
Three straight presidential races inside a single point — Trump by 0.8, Biden by 0.6, Trump by 0.9 — each one the sum of Madison and Milwaukee against the WOW suburbs and the rural north.
- Three straight razor margins
- R+0.8 (2016) → D+0.6 (2020) → R+0.9 (2024) — none wider than a point · MIT Election Lab
- 2024 decided by 29,397 votes
- Trump 1,697,626 to Harris 1,668,229 of 3.4M cast — a 1.5-pt swing from 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- The two Democratic engines
- Dane (Madison) D+51.5 and Milwaukee D+38.4 — together 590,000+ Democratic votes · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The WOW suburbs are softening
- Waukesha R+34.5 (2012) → R+19.7 (2024); Ozaukee R+30.3 → R+10.4; Washington still R+36.2 · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest and reddest county
- Menominee D+61.7 (tribal land) and Florence R+49.8 (the rural north) · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Open governor in 2026
- Gov. Evers (D) is not seeking a third term; Rep. Tom Tiffany (R) leads a Trump-endorsed field, with a wide-open Democratic primary Aug 11 · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Michigan
Michigan
68.4twin score
Polish ancestry2008–2012 trajectoryScottish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Minnesota
Minnesota
67.1twin score
% WhiteGerman ancestryScottish ancestry≠ Polish ancestry
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
55.7twin score
% Catholic2004 margin% Latino≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/WI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Largest cities in Wisconsin
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Frequently asked questions
How did Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wisconsin voted Republican by 0.9 points (R+0.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,422,918 votes cast, 1,668,229 went Democratic and 1,697,626 went Republican.
When did Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Wisconsin?
Wisconsin has a population of 5,914,872 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wisconsin?
Median household income in Wisconsin is $77,485 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Wisconsin from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.