HarrisDemocratic48.7%1,668,229TrumpRepublican49.6%1,697,626KennedyNo Party0.5%17,740
R+0.9- Lead
- 29,397
- Total
- 3,422,918
- vs nation
- D+0.6
- Turnout
- 76.2%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+0.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,914,8722024 5-year
- Population density
- 109 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 54,168 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,4852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.5 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Michigan, MI · twin score 68.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 76.2%3,434,185 participants ÷ 4,505,016 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.7%–64.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,993,000 | 4,313,304 | 69.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,688,341 | 4,347,413 | 61.8% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,308,331 | 4,392,490 | 75.3% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,673,154 | 4,473,075 | 59.8% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,434,185 | 4,505,016 | 76.2% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
63.8%
802,984 votes · D+33.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 63.5%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.1%
498,676 votes · R+54.9
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 63.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,676,761votes
56.2% of the vote · D+13.9
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,668,229 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,697,626votes
49.6% of the vote · R+0.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,610,184 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+14.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.3 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +13.5 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+28.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+54.9 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +16.9 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seat
David CrowleynomineeTom TiffanynomineeMandela BarnesSara Rodriguez
Open seat — Gov. Tony Evers is not seeking a third term. Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley (Evers-endorsed) beat Francesca Hong 39.8%-39.3% (~3,800 votes) in the Aug 11 primary; Rep. Tom Tiffany (WI-07, Trump-endorsed) won the GOP primary with 95.3%. First post-primary poll: Crowley 48-44.
U.S. House elections · 213 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 · R 6 | 48.2% | 51.2% | 3,325,606 | |
| D 2 · R 6 | 40.1% | 55.4% | 2,531,324 | |
| D 3 · R 5 | 48.4% | 51.3% | 3,238,051 | |
| D 3 · R 5 | 53.2% | 45.6% | 2,571,655 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,984 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −58,969 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8,377 |
| 2012 | −10,462 |
| 2013 | −7,458 |
| 2014 | −10,025 |
| 2015 | −15,083 |
| 2016 | −11,395 |
| 2017 | −3,460 |
| 2018 | −871 |
| 2019 | −1,438 |
| 2021 | −18,299 |
| 2022 | +7,343 |
| 2023 | +7,744 |
| 2024 | +5,828 |
| 2025 | +6,984 |
Three straight presidential races inside a single point — Trump by 0.8, Biden by 0.6, Trump by 0.9 — each one the sum of Madison and Milwaukee against the WOW suburbs and the rural north.
- Three straight razor margins
- R+0.8 (2016) → D+0.6 (2020) → R+0.9 (2024) — none wider than a point · MIT Election Lab
- 2024 decided by 29,397 votes
- Trump 1,697,626 to Harris 1,668,229 of 3.4M cast — a 1.5-pt swing from 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- The two Democratic engines
- Dane (Madison) D+51.5 and Milwaukee D+38.4 — together 590,000+ Democratic votes · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The WOW suburbs are softening
- Waukesha R+34.5 (2012) → R+19.7 (2024); Ozaukee R+30.3 → R+10.4; Washington still R+36.2 · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest and reddest county
- Menominee D+61.7 (tribal land) and Florence R+49.8 (the rural north) · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Open governor in 2026
- Gov. Evers (D) is not seeking a third term; Rep. Tom Tiffany (R) leads a Trump-endorsed field, with a wide-open Democratic primary Aug 11 · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Michigan
Michigan
68.4twin score
Polish ancestry2008–2012 trajectoryScottish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Minnesota
Minnesota
67.1twin score
% WhiteGerman ancestryScottish ancestry≠ Polish ancestry
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania
55.7twin score
% Catholic2004 margin% Latino≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/WI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wisconsin voted Republican by 0.9 points (R+0.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,422,918 votes cast, 1,668,229 went Democratic and 1,697,626 went Republican.
When did Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Wisconsin?
Wisconsin has a population of 5,914,872 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wisconsin?
Median household income in Wisconsin is $77,485 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Wisconsin from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.