- Lead
- 6,561
- Total
- 32,916
- vs nation
- R+18.5
- Turnout
- 81.6%
Calumet County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.6% of 40,321 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,040
- Total
- 30,774
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- 81.7%
- Lead
- 5,725
- Total
- 26,595
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- 73.5%
- Lead
- 3,050
- Total
- 26,420
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 573
- Total
- 26,474
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,431
- Total
- 25,276
- vs nation
- R+15.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,635
- Total
- 19,947
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 109
- Total
- 16,299
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 52,9422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,8102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.0 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Outagamie County, WI · twin score 90.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 81.6%32,916 participants ÷ 40,321 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.2%–67.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 26,818 | 36,506 | 73.5% | D/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 23,703 | 37,227 | 63.7% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 30,774 | 37,687 | 81.7% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 25,025 | 39,568 | 63.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 32,916 | 40,321 | 81.6% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 49.2%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 32,916 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HARRISON WARDS 3-9,13VILLAGE OF HARRISON WARDS 3-9,13 | 2,770 | 3,158 | 64 | 5,992 | 46.2% | 52.7% | R+6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HARRISON WARDS 10-12,14VILLAGE OF HARRISON WARDS 10-12,14 | 1,125 | 1,905 | 53 | 3,083 | 36.5% | 61.8% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF SHERWOOD WARDS 1-5VILLAGE OF SHERWOOD WARDS 1-5 | 955 | 1,314 | 35 | 2,304 | 41.4% | 57.0% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF CHILTON WARDS 1-5CITY OF CHILTON WARDS 1-5 | 726 | 1,309 | 42 | 2,077 | 35.0% | 63.0% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 14-16CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 14-16 | 970 | 1,062 | 22 | 2,054 | 47.2% | 51.7% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEW HOLSTEIN WARDS 1-5CITY OF NEW HOLSTEIN WARDS 1-5 | 709 | 1,140 | 35 | 1,884 | 37.6% | 60.5% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct -CITY OF BRILLION WARDS 1-6CITY OF BRILLION WARDS 1-6 | 638 | 1,187 | 44 | 1,869 | 34.1% | 63.5% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 25CITY OF APPLETON WARD 25 | 604 | 582 | 26 | 1,212 | 49.8% | 48.0% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 13CITY OF APPLETON WARD 13 | 639 | 554 | 10 | 1,203 | 53.1% | 46.1% | D+7.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 44CITY OF APPLETON WARD 44 | 565 | 600 | 25 | 1,190 | 47.5% | 50.4% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 45CITY OF APPLETON WARD 45 | 591 | 466 | 19 | 1,076 | 54.9% | 43.3% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STOCKBRIDGE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF STOCKBRIDGE WARDS 1-2 | 310 | 727 | 11 | 1,048 | 29.6% | 69.4% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BRILLION WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BRILLION WARDS 1-2 | 243 | 733 | 29 | 1,005 | 24.2% | 72.9% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEW HOLSTEIN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NEW HOLSTEIN WARDS 1-2 | 236 | 690 | 7 | 933 | 25.3% | 74.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BROTHERTOWN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BROTHERTOWN WARDS 1-2 | 200 | 653 | 12 | 865 | 23.1% | 75.5% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHILTON WARDS 1-3TOWN OF CHILTON WARDS 1-3 | 159 | 550 | 3 | 712 | 22.3% | 77.2% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HILBERT WARDS 1-2VILLAGE OF HILBERT WARDS 1-2 | 156 | 472 | 10 | 638 | 24.5% | 74.0% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WOODVILLE WARD 1TOWN OF WOODVILLE WARD 1 | 123 | 430 | 10 | 563 | 21.8% | 76.4% | R+54.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHARLESTOWN WARD 1TOWN OF CHARLESTOWN WARD 1 | 130 | 381 | 5 | 516 | 25.2% | 73.8% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 46CITY OF APPLETON WARD 46 | 257 | 237 | 3 | 497 | 51.7% | 47.7% | D+4.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF RANTOUL WARD 1TOWN OF RANTOUL WARD 1 | 99 | 385 | 3 | 487 | 20.3% | 79.1% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 14CITY OF APPLETON WARD 14 | 274 | 195 | 8 | 477 | 57.4% | 40.9% | D+16.6 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF STOCKBRIDGE WARD 1VILLAGE OF STOCKBRIDGE WARD 1 | 135 | 319 | 9 | 463 | 29.2% | 68.9% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 15CITY OF APPLETON WARD 15 | 200 | 171 | 9 | 380 | 52.6% | 45.0% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF KIEL WARD 7CITY OF KIEL WARD 7 | 83 | 144 | 3 | 230 | 36.1% | 62.6% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF POTTER WARD 1VILLAGE OF POTTER WARD 1 | 30 | 124 | 4 | 158 | 19.0% | 78.5% | R+59.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +33.1% |
| 1896 | +9.3% |
| 1900 | +7.7% |
| 1904 | −15.1% |
| 1908 | +4.0% |
| 1912 | +15.2% |
| 1916 | −17.2% |
| 1920 | −66.0% |
| 1924 | −7.3% |
| 1928 | +23.2% |
| 1932 | +63.0% |
| 1936 | +38.3% |
| 1940 | −38.9% |
| 1944 | −47.8% |
| 1948 | −22.0% |
| 1952 | −54.2% |
| 1956 | −49.0% |
| 1960 | −9.0% |
| 1964 | +15.6% |
| 1968 | −21.4% |
| 1972 | −14.2% |
| 1976 | −2.7% |
| 1980 | −19.9% |
| 1984 | −30.5% |
| 1988 | −11.1% |
| 1992 | −10.0% |
| 1996 | −0.7% |
| 2000 | −13.2% |
| 2004 | −17.5% |
| 2008 | +2.2% |
| 2012 | −11.5% |
| 2016 | −21.5% |
| 2020 | −19.6% |
| 2024 | −19.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+118 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −57 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $66,577 in average income, against $96,871 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.4 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Calumet County, WI itself (R+19.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Outagamie County, WI509R+10.2
- Winnebago County, WI286R+4.7
- Brown County, WI135R+7.5
- Manitowoc County, WI124R+23.3
- Sheboygan County, WI63R+16.3
- Fond du Lac County, WI55R+28.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Outagamie County, WI552
- Winnebago County, WI289
- Brown County, WI109
- Manitowoc County, WI106
- Sheboygan County, WI52
- Milwaukee County, WI44
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +261 |
| 2012 | −296 |
| 2013 | −264 |
| 2014 | −321 |
| 2015 | +72 |
| 2016 | −366 |
| 2017 | +246 |
| 2018 | +23 |
| 2019 | −175 |
| 2021 | +17 |
| 2022 | +93 |
| 2023 | +407 |
| 2024 | +128 |
| 2025 | +118 |
Calumet County sits along Lake Winnebago's eastern shore and has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, posting a nearly 20-point Republican margin in 2024 despite modest population growth driven by Fox Valley suburban spillover.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 66.0 points in 1920. The 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 52,942, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,810 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Outagamie County and Jefferson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Calumet County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.