HarrisDemocratic46.8%44,660TrumpRepublican51.6%49,179KennedyNonpartisan0.5%509
R+4.7- Lead
- 4,519
- Total
- 95,371
- vs nation
- R+3.3
- Turnout
- 71.5%
Akashiccounty
Winnebago County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.5% of 134,702 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic46.9%44,060TrumpRepublican50.8%47,796JorgensenLibertarian1.7%1,629
R+4.0- Lead
- 3,736
- Total
- 94,032
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- 71.0%
ClintonDemocratic42.5%37,047TrumpRepublican49.9%43,445JohnsonLibertarian4.4%3,818
R+7.3- Lead
- 6,398
- Total
- 87,135
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Turnout
- 66.7%
ObamaDemocratic51.0%45,449RomneyRepublican47.2%42,122GrayIndependent1.0%922
D+3.7- Lead
- 3,327
- Total
- 89,173
- vs nation
- R+0.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.9%48,167McCainRepublican43.3%37,946OtherAll other candidates1.8%1,564
D+11.7- Lead
- 10,221
- Total
- 87,677
- vs nation
- D+4.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic46.2%40,943BushRepublican52.5%46,542OtherAll other candidates1.3%1,111
R+6.3- Lead
- 5,599
- Total
- 88,596
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.7%33,983BushRepublican50.4%38,330NaderGreen3.9%2,963
R+5.7- Lead
- 4,347
- Total
- 76,080
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.3%29,564DoleRepublican42.7%27,880PerotReform10.0%6,531
D+2.6- Lead
- 1,684
- Total
- 65,247
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 171,7692024 5-year
- Population density
- 395 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 435 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,9252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Brown County, WI · twin score 92.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.5%96,356 participants ÷ 134,702 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.8%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 87,738 | 131,605 | 66.7% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 76,459 | 132,073 | 57.9% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 94,713 | 133,411 | 71.0% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 75,537 | 134,243 | 56.3% | D/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 96,356 | 134,702 | 71.5% | D/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 8.7%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 8.7%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 9.0%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 20.1%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 20.6%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
59 precincts · 95,370 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALGOMA WARDS 1-8TOWN OF ALGOMA WARDS 1-8 | 2,098 | 2,473 | 69 | 4,640 | 45.2% | 53.3% | R+8.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 1-2,4,7,9VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 1-2,4,7,9 | 1,748 | 2,117 | 62 | 3,927 | 44.5% | 53.9% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 16-19,24CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 16-19,24 | 1,814 | 1,705 | 63 | 3,582 | 50.6% | 47.6% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 3,5-6,8VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 3,5-6,8 | 1,488 | 1,790 | 65 | 3,343 | 44.5% | 53.5% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 9-12,27CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 9-12,27 | 1,631 | 1,308 | 62 | 3,001 | 54.3% | 43.6% | D+10.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 5-8CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 5-8 | 1,348 | 1,292 | 56 | 2,696 | 50.0% | 47.9% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 22CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 22 | 1,271 | 1,365 | 36 | 2,672 | 47.6% | 51.1% | R+3.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 1-4CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 1-4 | 1,488 | 1,074 | 49 | 2,611 | 57.0% | 41.1% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 12CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 12 | 1,398 | 1,138 | 33 | 2,569 | 54.4% | 44.3% | D+10.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 11CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 11 | 1,373 | 1,049 | 43 | 2,465 | 55.7% | 42.6% | D+13.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 5CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 5 | 1,363 | 1,060 | 37 | 2,460 | 55.4% | 43.1% | D+12.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEENAH WARDS 1-5TOWN OF NEENAH WARDS 1-5 | 1,104 | 1,320 | 33 | 2,457 | 44.9% | 53.7% | R+8.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 5,6-8CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 5,6-8 | 1,220 | 1,122 | 38 | 2,380 | 51.3% | 47.1% | D+4.1 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 13-16VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 13-16 | 1,131 | 1,158 | 53 | 2,342 | 48.3% | 49.4% | R+1.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 1CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 1 | 1,195 | 1,082 | 40 | 2,317 | 51.6% | 46.7% | D+4.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLAYTON WARDS 1-3,7-9TOWN OF CLAYTON WARDS 1-3,7-9 | 814 | 1,454 | 24 | 2,292 | 35.5% | 63.4% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 8CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 8 | 1,344 | 889 | 29 | 2,262 | 59.4% | 39.3% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 1,2-4CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 1,2-4 | 1,144 | 1,084 | 33 | 2,261 | 50.6% | 47.9% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 9-12,17-19CITY OF MENASHA WARDS 9-12,17-19 | 1,172 | 1,005 | 29 | 2,206 | 53.1% | 45.6% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 10CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 10 | 1,230 | 848 | 46 | 2,124 | 57.9% | 39.9% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OMRO WARDS 1-5CITY OF OMRO WARDS 1-5 | 761 | 1,262 | 35 | 2,058 | 37.0% | 61.3% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 20CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 20 | 1,001 | 952 | 27 | 1,980 | 50.6% | 48.1% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WINNECONNE WARDS 1-4TOWN OF WINNECONNE WARDS 1-4 | 612 | 1,285 | 26 | 1,923 | 31.8% | 66.8% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 13-15,22,26CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 13-15,22,26 | 981 | 889 | 34 | 1,904 | 51.5% | 46.7% | D+4.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 20-21CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 20-21 | 919 | 908 | 29 | 1,856 | 49.5% | 48.9% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 3CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 3 | 910 | 871 | 39 | 1,820 | 50.0% | 47.9% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 16CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 16 | 918 | 860 | 31 | 1,809 | 50.7% | 47.5% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 7CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 7 | 1,019 | 733 | 30 | 1,782 | 57.2% | 41.1% | D+16.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BLACK WOLF WARDS 1-3TOWN OF BLACK WOLF WARDS 1-3 | 651 | 1,085 | 28 | 1,764 | 36.9% | 61.5% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OMRO WARDS 1-4TOWN OF OMRO WARDS 1-4 | 578 | 1,154 | 21 | 1,753 | 33.0% | 65.8% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OSHKOSH WARDS 1,2-4TOWN OF OSHKOSH WARDS 1,2-4 | 684 | 1,008 | 31 | 1,723 | 39.7% | 58.5% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 10-12,18-19VILLAGE OF FOX CROSSING WARDS 10-12,18-19 | 794 | 833 | 32 | 1,659 | 47.9% | 50.2% | R+2.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF WINNECONNE WARDS 1-4VILLAGE OF WINNECONNE WARDS 1-4 | 555 | 1,059 | 28 | 1,642 | 33.8% | 64.5% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 9CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 9 | 775 | 763 | 19 | 1,557 | 49.8% | 49.0% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 18CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 18 | 758 | 671 | 16 | 1,445 | 52.5% | 46.4% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 15CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 15 | 627 | 625 | 12 | 1,264 | 49.6% | 49.4% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 13CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 13 | 619 | 582 | 23 | 1,224 | 50.6% | 47.5% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WINCHESTER WARDS 1-2TOWN OF WINCHESTER WARDS 1-2 | 362 | 820 | 19 | 1,201 | 30.1% | 68.3% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 19CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 19 | 644 | 529 | 19 | 1,192 | 54.0% | 44.4% | D+9.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF RUSHFORD WARDS 1-2TOWN OF RUSHFORD WARDS 1-2 | 270 | 818 | 15 | 1,103 | 24.5% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEKIMI WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NEKIMI WARDS 1-2 | 266 | 658 | 14 | 938 | 28.4% | 70.1% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WOLF RIVER WARDS 1-2ATOWN OF WOLF RIVER WARDS 1-2A | 249 | 668 | 12 | 929 | 26.8% | 71.9% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF UTICA WARDS 1-3TOWN OF UTICA WARDS 1-3 | 280 | 623 | 21 | 924 | 30.3% | 67.4% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF POYGAN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF POYGAN WARDS 1-2 | 246 | 631 | 13 | 890 | 27.6% | 70.9% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLAYTON WARDS 4-6TOWN OF CLAYTON WARDS 4-6 | 241 | 501 | 11 | 753 | 32.0% | 66.5% | R+34.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF VINLAND WARD 2TOWN OF VINLAND WARD 2 | 249 | 420 | 4 | 673 | 37.0% | 62.4% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF VINLAND WARD 1TOWN OF VINLAND WARD 1 | 218 | 397 | 6 | 621 | 35.1% | 63.9% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF MENASHA WARD 13CITY OF MENASHA WARD 13 | 302 | 305 | 9 | 616 | 49.0% | 49.5% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEPEUSKUN WARD 1TOWN OF NEPEUSKUN WARD 1 | 147 | 341 | 5 | 493 | 29.8% | 69.2% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 33CITY OF APPLETON WARD 33 | 204 | 126 | 7 | 337 | 60.5% | 37.4% | D+23.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 14CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 14 | 142 | 119 | 9 | 270 | 52.6% | 44.1% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 2CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 2 | 95 | 131 | 5 | 231 | 41.1% | 56.7% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 21CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 21 | 65 | 62 | 0 | 127 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WINCHESTER WARDS 3-4TOWN OF WINCHESTER WARDS 3-4 | 36 | 61 | 0 | 97 | 37.1% | 62.9% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 23,25CITY OF NEENAH WARDS 23,25 | 48 | 46 | 0 | 94 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct -CITY OF APPLETON WARD 34CITY OF APPLETON WARD 34 | 49 | 38 | 1 | 88 | 55.7% | 43.2% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 17CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 17 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 18 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 28CITY OF OSHKOSH WARD 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WOLF RIVER WARD 2BTOWN OF WOLF RIVER WARD 2B | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Winnebago County, WI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
58.6%
18,522 votes · D+21.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 56.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
71.4%
28,759 votes · R+43.8
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 69.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
48,167votes
54.9% of the vote · D+11.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 45,449 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
49,179votes
51.6% of the vote · R+4.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 47,796 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+5.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+17.6 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · +4.4 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
+28.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+43.8 · U.S. R+15.4
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +27.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+702 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,558 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,997 in average income, against $85,321 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+10.8 on average — 6.1 points more Republican-leaning than Winnebago County, WI itself (R+4.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Outagamie County, WI1,392R+10.2
- Fond du Lac County, WI382R+28.7
- Calumet County, WI289R+19.9
- Brown County, WI222R+7.5
- Milwaukee County, WI172D+38.4
- Waupaca County, WI132R+33.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Outagamie County, WI1,380
- Calumet County, WI286
- Fond du Lac County, WI262
- Brown County, WI249
- Milwaukee County, WI199
- Waupaca County, WI177
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −35 |
| 2012 | +455 |
| 2013 | +179 |
| 2014 | −485 |
| 2015 | −596 |
| 2016 | −221 |
| 2017 | +203 |
| 2018 | +100 |
| 2019 | +683 |
| 2021 | −1,225 |
| 2022 | +221 |
| 2023 | +802 |
| 2024 | +775 |
| 2025 | +702 |
Winnebago anchors the Fox Valley manufacturing belt and has moved from a reliable swing county toward modest Republican margins, tracking a broader blue-collar realignment visible across Wisconsin's lakeshore industrial corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 49.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.7 points.
A population of 171,769, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,925 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brown County and Portage County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Brown County
Wisconsin
92.9twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Portage County
Wisconsin
92.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
La Crosse County
Wisconsin
91.6twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winnebago County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55139/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Winnebago County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Winnebago County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winnebago County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 4.7 points (R+4.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 95,371 votes cast, 44,660 went Democratic and 49,179 went Republican.
When did Winnebago County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winnebago County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Winnebago County, Wisconsin?
Winnebago County, Wisconsin has a population of 171,769 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winnebago County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Winnebago County, Wisconsin is $74,925 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Winnebago County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winnebago County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.