- Lead
- 7,785
- Total
- 26,809
- vs nation
- R+27.6
- Turnout
- 73.9%
Barron County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.9% of 36,479 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,609
- Total
- 25,346
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- 72.8%
- Lead
- 5,725
- Total
- 22,671
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Turnout
- 65.1%
- Lead
- 553
- Total
- 22,692
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,621
- Total
- 22,886
- vs nation
- R+0.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 334
- Total
- 23,937
- vs nation
- D+1.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 920
- Total
- 19,904
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,867
- Total
- 17,191
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 46,7972024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,9332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pope County, MN · twin score 90.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.9%26,959 participants ÷ 36,479 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 56.9%–59.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,921 | 35,205 | 65.1% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,677 | 35,018 | 53.3% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 25,468 | 34,968 | 72.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,244 | 36,229 | 55.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 26,959 | 36,479 | 73.9% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 1.7%; series 294/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 1.5%; series 298/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 1.8%; series 302/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 1.5%; series 307/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:partially allocated; allocation share 1.7%; series 312/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 26,809 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF RICE LAKE WARDS 1-20CITY OF RICE LAKE WARDS 1-20 | 1,926 | 2,547 | 88 | 4,561 | 42.2% | 55.8% | R+13.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF RICE LAKE WARDS 1-4TOWN OF RICE LAKE WARDS 1-4 | 616 | 1,084 | 85 | 1,785 | 34.5% | 60.7% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STANLEY WARDS 1-4TOWN OF STANLEY WARDS 1-4 | 443 | 1,062 | 72 | 1,577 | 28.1% | 67.3% | R+39.3 |
| Precinct -CITY OF BARRON WARDS 1-7CITY OF BARRON WARDS 1-7 | 587 | 905 | 80 | 1,572 | 37.3% | 57.6% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -CITY OF CUMBERLAND WARDS 1-5CITY OF CUMBERLAND WARDS 1-5 | 518 | 717 | 40 | 1,275 | 40.6% | 56.2% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CHETEK WARDS 1-3TOWN OF CHETEK WARDS 1-3 | 461 | 787 | 8 | 1,256 | 36.7% | 62.7% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -CITY OF CHETEK WARDS 1-4CITY OF CHETEK WARDS 1-4 | 418 | 716 | 67 | 1,201 | 34.8% | 59.6% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PRAIRIE LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF PRAIRIE LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 307 | 709 | 65 | 1,081 | 28.4% | 65.6% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF CAMERON WARDS 1-3VILLAGE OF CAMERON WARDS 1-3 | 284 | 636 | 59 | 979 | 29.0% | 65.0% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CEDAR LAKE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF CEDAR LAKE WARDS 1-2 | 249 | 570 | 20 | 839 | 29.7% | 67.9% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAKELAND WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LAKELAND WARDS 1-2 | 219 | 443 | 6 | 668 | 32.8% | 66.3% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ALMENA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF ALMENA WARDS 1-2 | 172 | 402 | 32 | 606 | 28.4% | 66.3% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF OAK GROVE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF OAK GROVE WARDS 1-2 | 174 | 373 | 32 | 579 | 30.1% | 64.4% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAPLE PLAIN WARD 1TOWN OF MAPLE PLAIN WARD 1 | 236 | 315 | 11 | 562 | 42.0% | 56.0% | R+14.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MAPLE GROVE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF MAPLE GROVE WARDS 1-2 | 133 | 353 | 44 | 530 | 25.1% | 66.6% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CUMBERLAND WARD 1TOWN OF CUMBERLAND WARD 1 | 179 | 318 | 31 | 528 | 33.9% | 60.2% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CRYSTAL LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF CRYSTAL LAKE WARD 1 | 146 | 341 | 17 | 504 | 29.0% | 67.7% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DOVRE WARD 1TOWN OF DOVRE WARD 1 | 139 | 332 | 22 | 493 | 28.2% | 67.3% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SUMNER WARD 1TOWN OF SUMNER WARD 1 | 119 | 313 | 40 | 472 | 25.2% | 66.3% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BARRON WARDS 1-2TOWN OF BARRON WARDS 1-2 | 115 | 299 | 34 | 448 | 25.7% | 66.7% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF BEAR LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF BEAR LAKE WARD 1 | 166 | 253 | 29 | 448 | 37.1% | 56.5% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF TURTLE LAKE WARD 1VILLAGE OF TURTLE LAKE WARD 1 | 146 | 284 | 16 | 446 | 32.7% | 63.7% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF VANCE CREEK WARD 1TOWN OF VANCE CREEK WARD 1 | 111 | 276 | 32 | 419 | 26.5% | 65.9% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SIOUX CREEK WARD 1TOWN OF SIOUX CREEK WARD 1 | 108 | 290 | 20 | 418 | 25.8% | 69.4% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STANFOLD WARD 1TOWN OF STANFOLD WARD 1 | 121 | 278 | 17 | 416 | 29.1% | 66.8% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CLINTON WARD 1TOWN OF CLINTON WARD 1 | 117 | 276 | 21 | 414 | 28.3% | 66.7% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TURTLE LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF TURTLE LAKE WARD 1 | 103 | 271 | 31 | 405 | 25.4% | 66.9% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ARLAND WARD 1TOWN OF ARLAND WARD 1 | 119 | 223 | 24 | 366 | 32.5% | 60.9% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PRAIRIE FARM WARDS 1-2TOWN OF PRAIRIE FARM WARDS 1-2 | 89 | 244 | 18 | 351 | 25.4% | 69.5% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DOYLE WARDS 1-2TOWN OF DOYLE WARDS 1-2 | 94 | 249 | 7 | 350 | 26.9% | 71.1% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF ALMENA WARD 1VILLAGE OF ALMENA WARD 1 | 85 | 220 | 25 | 330 | 25.8% | 66.7% | R+40.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF DALLAS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF DALLAS WARDS 1-2 | 77 | 230 | 15 | 322 | 23.9% | 71.4% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF PRAIRIE FARM WARD 1VILLAGE OF PRAIRIE FARM WARD 1 | 66 | 159 | 9 | 234 | 28.2% | 67.9% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF DALLAS WARD 1VILLAGE OF DALLAS WARD 1 | 37 | 140 | 9 | 186 | 19.9% | 75.3% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF HAUGEN WARD 1VILLAGE OF HAUGEN WARD 1 | 56 | 98 | 15 | 169 | 33.1% | 58.0% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -VILLAGE OF NEW AUBURN WARD 2VILLAGE OF NEW AUBURN WARD 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 19 | 26.3% | 68.4% | R+42.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −33.2% |
| 1896 | −33.8% |
| 1900 | −49.5% |
| 1904 | −64.6% |
| 1908 | −40.5% |
| 1912 | −8.8% |
| 1916 | −17.7% |
| 1920 | −75.2% |
| 1924 | −25.3% |
| 1928 | −44.9% |
| 1932 | +30.4% |
| 1936 | +17.6% |
| 1940 | −11.4% |
| 1944 | −12.1% |
| 1948 | +5.3% |
| 1952 | −34.1% |
| 1956 | −22.8% |
| 1960 | −14.4% |
| 1964 | +18.7% |
| 1968 | −17.2% |
| 1972 | −21.7% |
| 1976 | +7.8% |
| 1980 | −0.7% |
| 1984 | −8.6% |
| 1988 | +2.4% |
| 1992 | +7.4% |
| 1996 | +10.9% |
| 2000 | −4.6% |
| 2004 | −1.4% |
| 2008 | +7.1% |
| 2012 | −2.4% |
| 2016 | −25.3% |
| 2020 | −26.1% |
| 2024 | −29.0% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−103 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −585 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,245 in average income, against $70,559 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+15.8 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Barron County, WI itself (R+29.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Polk County, WI121R+30.9
- Washburn County, WI84R+28.2
- Chippewa County, WI83R+22.9
- Eau Claire County, WI66D+10.6
- Rusk County, WI54R+38.0
- Dunn County, WI51R+15.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Eau Claire County, WI126
- Polk County, WI99
- Chippewa County, WI91
- Washburn County, WI69
- Dunn County, WI56
- Hennepin County, MN49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +47 |
| 2012 | −202 |
| 2013 | −243 |
| 2014 | −259 |
| 2015 | −30 |
| 2016 | −132 |
| 2017 | −73 |
| 2018 | −14 |
| 2019 | +69 |
| 2021 | +115 |
| 2022 | +168 |
| 2023 | +172 |
| 2024 | −100 |
| 2025 | −103 |
Barron County's economy is rooted in agriculture and light manufacturing, and its electorate has shifted decisively rightward over the past decade — the 2024 presidential margin of R+29 reflects a 20-point swing from its competitive era.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 75.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.0 points.
A population of 46,797, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,933 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pope County and Chippewa County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Barron County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.