- Lead
- 1,894
- Total
- 27,306
- vs nation
- D+8.4
Wisconsin 54th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,405
- Total
- 27,994
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Lead
- 1,097
- Total
- 28,122
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Lead
- 4,532
- Total
- 29,207
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Lead
- 6,711
- Total
- 28,961
- vs nation
- D+15.9
- Lead
- 1,653
- Total
- 28,646
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Lead
- 1,411
- Total
- 24,660
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Lead
- 2,764
- Total
- 21,476
- vs nation
- D+4.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 58,9632024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,661 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 35.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,8212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 53, WI · twin score 93.6
presidential history
Party record book
Wisconsin 54th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
63.3%
6,705 votes · D+31.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 61.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
65.9%
8,192 votes · R+33.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 63.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
17,542votes
60.6% of the vote · D+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 16,575 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
13,273votes
46.3% of the vote · D+5.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 12,468 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+17.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +15.9 pts
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
+17.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.2 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +15.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 42.2%8,767 | 57.8%11,997 | 20,764 |
| 2018 | R | 46.2%7,622 | 53.8%8,864 | 16,486 |
Assembly District 54 sits within the Madison metropolitan orbit, where dense urban settlement and a large university-affiliated population consistently push presidential margins toward Democrats by mid-single to low-double digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 31.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 39.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.9 points.
A population of 58,963, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,821 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 53 and Assembly District 71.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Wisconsin 54th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/55054/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.