HarrisDemocratic40.5%10,080TrumpRepublican58.1%14,455KennedyNonpartisan0.5%127
R+17.6- Lead
- 4,375
- Total
- 24,895
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- 79.1%
Akashiccounty
Oneida County, WI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.1% of 31,567 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic41.8%10,105TrumpRepublican56.6%13,671JorgensenLibertarian1.2%283
R+14.8- Lead
- 3,566
- Total
- 24,159
- vs nation
- R+19.2
- Turnout
- 83.1%
ClintonDemocratic37.7%8,109TrumpRepublican56.3%12,132JohnsonLibertarian3.5%751
R+18.7- Lead
- 4,023
- Total
- 21,531
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Turnout
- 74.3%
ObamaDemocratic48.3%10,452RomneyRepublican50.4%10,917GrayIndependent0.6%137
R+2.1- Lead
- 465
- Total
- 21,652
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.3%11,907McCainRepublican43.9%9,630OtherAll other candidates1.8%390
D+10.4- Lead
- 2,277
- Total
- 21,927
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.5%10,464BushRepublican51.5%11,351OtherAll other candidates1.0%224
R+4.0- Lead
- 887
- Total
- 22,039
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.1%8,339BushRepublican50.4%9,512NaderGreen4.3%805
R+6.2- Lead
- 1,173
- Total
- 18,891
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic45.0%7,619DoleRepublican37.5%6,339PerotReform15.4%2,604
D+7.6- Lead
- 1,280
- Total
- 16,917
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,1672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,3712024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mason County, MI · twin score 92.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.1%24,969 participants ÷ 31,567 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +2.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.5%–67.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 21,753 | 29,277 | 74.3% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 19,716 | 29,098 | 67.8% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,245 | 29,188 | 83.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,369 | 31,125 | 65.4% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,969 | 31,567 | 79.1% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 24,895 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CITY OF RHINELANDER WARDS 1-17CITY OF RHINELANDER WARDS 1-17 | 1,926 | 1,895 | 67 | 3,888 | 49.5% | 48.7% | D+0.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF MINOCQUA WARDS 1-7TOWN OF MINOCQUA WARDS 1-7 | 1,450 | 2,146 | 50 | 3,646 | 39.8% | 58.9% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF THREE LAKES WARDS 1-3TOWN OF THREE LAKES WARDS 1-3 | 617 | 1,187 | 41 | 1,845 | 33.4% | 64.3% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PELICAN WARDS 1-4TOWN OF PELICAN WARDS 1-4 | 755 | 992 | 28 | 1,775 | 42.5% | 55.9% | R+13.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PINE LAKE WARDS 1-4TOWN OF PINE LAKE WARDS 1-4 | 740 | 991 | 21 | 1,752 | 42.2% | 56.6% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEWBOLD WARDS 2-4TOWN OF NEWBOLD WARDS 2-4 | 742 | 959 | 26 | 1,727 | 43.0% | 55.5% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WOODRUFF WARDS 1-3TOWN OF WOODRUFF WARDS 1-3 | 585 | 818 | 16 | 1,419 | 41.2% | 57.6% | R+16.4 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CRESCENT WARDS 1-3TOWN OF CRESCENT WARDS 1-3 | 566 | 814 | 24 | 1,404 | 40.3% | 58.0% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SUGAR CAMP WARDS 1-2TOWN OF SUGAR CAMP WARDS 1-2 | 442 | 862 | 19 | 1,323 | 33.4% | 65.2% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NOKOMIS WARDS 1-2TOWN OF NOKOMIS WARDS 1-2 | 415 | 640 | 7 | 1,062 | 39.1% | 60.3% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HAZELHURST WARDS 1-2TOWN OF HAZELHURST WARDS 1-2 | 408 | 530 | 16 | 954 | 42.8% | 55.6% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF CASSIAN WARDS 1-2TOWN OF CASSIAN WARDS 1-2 | 298 | 512 | 4 | 814 | 36.6% | 62.9% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LAKE TOMAHAWK WARDS 1-2TOWN OF LAKE TOMAHAWK WARDS 1-2 | 291 | 477 | 13 | 781 | 37.3% | 61.1% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF WOODBORO WARD 1TOWN OF WOODBORO WARD 1 | 213 | 387 | 7 | 607 | 35.1% | 63.8% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF STELLA WARDS 1-2TOWN OF STELLA WARDS 1-2 | 165 | 243 | 6 | 414 | 39.9% | 58.7% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF SCHOEPKE WARD 1TOWN OF SCHOEPKE WARD 1 | 113 | 186 | 7 | 306 | 36.9% | 60.8% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF NEWBOLD WARD 1TOWN OF NEWBOLD WARD 1 | 102 | 193 | 1 | 296 | 34.5% | 65.2% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LITTLE RICE WARD 1TOWN OF LITTLE RICE WARD 1 | 87 | 181 | 2 | 270 | 32.2% | 67.0% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF ENTERPRISE WARD 1TOWN OF ENTERPRISE WARD 1 | 64 | 189 | 3 | 256 | 25.0% | 73.8% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF MONICO WARD 1TOWN OF MONICO WARD 1 | 54 | 137 | 1 | 192 | 28.1% | 71.4% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LYNNE WARD 1TOWN OF LYNNE WARD 1 | 31 | 85 | 0 | 116 | 26.7% | 73.3% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF PIEHL WARD 1TOWN OF PIEHL WARD 1 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 64.6% | R+31.3 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +6.6% |
| 1896 | −43.3% |
| 1900 | −42.7% |
| 1904 | −58.9% |
| 1908 | −32.5% |
| 1912 | −2.7% |
| 1916 | −1.5% |
| 1920 | −42.6% |
| 1924 | −27.0% |
| 1928 | −10.4% |
| 1932 | +36.9% |
| 1936 | +36.2% |
| 1940 | +18.4% |
| 1944 | +11.1% |
| 1948 | +4.4% |
| 1952 | −24.0% |
| 1956 | −30.4% |
| 1960 | −6.6% |
| 1964 | +24.4% |
| 1968 | −6.1% |
| 1972 | −22.0% |
| 1976 | −0.9% |
| 1980 | −9.5% |
| 1984 | −20.6% |
| 1988 | −4.6% |
| 1992 | +2.3% |
| 1996 | +7.6% |
| 2000 | −6.2% |
| 2004 | −4.0% |
| 2008 | +10.4% |
| 2012 | −2.1% |
| 2016 | −18.7% |
| 2020 | −14.8% |
| 2024 | −17.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+198 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,586 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $82,046 in average income, against $81,098 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.1 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Oneida County, WI itself (R+17.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Vilas County, WI119R+23.0
- Marathon County, WI76R+18.6
- Lincoln County, WI69R+25.1
- Dane County, WI47D+51.5
- Milwaukee County, WI38D+38.4
- Waukesha County, WI29R+19.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Vilas County, WI174
- Marathon County, WI83
- Lincoln County, WI80
- Dane County, WI44
- Brown County, WI30
- Waukesha County, WI29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −30 |
| 2012 | −24 |
| 2013 | +36 |
| 2014 | −74 |
| 2015 | +164 |
| 2016 | +204 |
| 2017 | +42 |
| 2018 | +345 |
| 2019 | +293 |
| 2021 | +783 |
| 2022 | +213 |
| 2023 | +188 |
| 2024 | +248 |
| 2025 | +198 |
Oneida County's economy revolves around lakes, logging, and seasonal tourism, and it has shifted steadily toward Republican margins over the past decade, landing at R+17.6 in 2024 despite a sizable Ho-Chunk and Ojibwe community presence in the region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 58.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.6 points.
A population of 38,167, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,371 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mason County and Sawyer County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Mason County
Michigan
92.2twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectoryPolish ancestry≠ German ancestry
Sawyer County
Wisconsin
91.8twin score
median age2004–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Door County
Wisconsin
89.6twin score
median ageelasticity2004–2008 trajectory≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oneida County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55085/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Oneida County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Oneida County, Wisconsin vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oneida County, Wisconsin voted Republican by 17.6 points (R+17.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 24,895 votes cast, 10,080 went Democratic and 14,455 went Republican.
When did Oneida County, Wisconsin last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Oneida County, Wisconsin voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Oneida County, Wisconsin?
Oneida County, Wisconsin has a population of 38,167 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oneida County, Wisconsin?
Median household income in Oneida County, Wisconsin is $69,371 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wisconsin state median is $77,485.
What is the political history of Oneida County, Wisconsin?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Oneida County, Wisconsin from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.