- Lead
- 1,573
- Total
- 3,158
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- 80.5%
Florence County, WI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 80.5% of 3,924 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,352
- Total
- 2,940
- vs nation
- R+50.4
- Turnout
- 81.1%
- Lead
- 1,233
- Total
- 2,656
- vs nation
- R+48.5
- Turnout
- 71.6%
- Lead
- 692
- Total
- 2,625
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 378
- Total
- 2,685
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 710
- Total
- 2,724
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 712
- Total
- 2,405
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 58
- Total
- 2,142
- vs nation
- R+11.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,6462024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,0862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Ontonagon County, MI · twin score 83.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 80.5%3,158 participants ÷ 3,924 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 64.8%–67.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,690 | 3,757 | 71.6% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,204 | 3,606 | 61.1% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,957 | 3,646 | 81.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,518 | 3,851 | 65.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,158 | 3,924 | 80.5% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 3,158 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -TOWN OF FLORENCE WARDS 1-7TOWN OF FLORENCE WARDS 1-7 | 406 | 1,007 | 10 | 1,423 | 28.5% | 70.8% | R+42.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -TOWN OF AURORA WARDS 1-3TOWN OF AURORA WARDS 1-3 | 149 | 500 | 3 | 652 | 22.9% | 76.7% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF HOMESTEAD WARD 1TOWN OF HOMESTEAD WARD 1 | 63 | 218 | 2 | 283 | 22.3% | 77.0% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF COMMONWEALTH WARDS 1-4TOWN OF COMMONWEALTH WARDS 1-4 | 65 | 210 | 0 | 275 | 23.6% | 76.4% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FERN WARD 1TOWN OF FERN WARD 1 | 27 | 112 | 1 | 140 | 19.3% | 80.0% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF LONG LAKE WARD 1TOWN OF LONG LAKE WARD 1 | 28 | 105 | 2 | 135 | 20.7% | 77.8% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF FENCE WARD 1TOWN OF FENCE WARD 1 | 26 | 108 | 0 | 134 | 19.4% | 80.6% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -TOWN OF TIPLER WARD 1TOWN OF TIPLER WARD 1 | 19 | 96 | 1 | 116 | 16.4% | 82.8% | R+66.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −38.4% |
| 1896 | −57.4% |
| 1900 | −62.5% |
| 1904 | −72.8% |
| 1908 | −65.8% |
| 1912 | −21.8% |
| 1916 | −42.1% |
| 1920 | −77.7% |
| 1924 | −46.1% |
| 1928 | −29.3% |
| 1932 | +14.4% |
| 1936 | +12.3% |
| 1940 | −1.4% |
| 1944 | +7.9% |
| 1948 | +7.3% |
| 1952 | −17.2% |
| 1956 | −16.2% |
| 1960 | −3.9% |
| 1964 | +26.6% |
| 1968 | −6.1% |
| 1972 | −11.9% |
| 1976 | +2.2% |
| 1980 | −10.8% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | −4.1% |
| 1992 | +1.4% |
| 1996 | −2.7% |
| 2000 | −29.6% |
| 2004 | −26.1% |
| 2008 | −14.1% |
| 2012 | −26.4% |
| 2016 | −46.4% |
| 2020 | −46.0% |
| 2024 | −49.8% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+97 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +494 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,785 in average income, against $71,423 for residents who stayed — 8% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.3 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Florence County, WI itself (R+49.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dickinson County, MI40R+36.3
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +18 |
| 2012 | +2 |
| 2013 | +42 |
| 2014 | −31 |
| 2015 | +24 |
| 2016 | +12 |
| 2017 | +58 |
| 2018 | −12 |
| 2019 | +24 |
| 2021 | +74 |
| 2022 | +143 |
| 2023 | +19 |
| 2024 | +24 |
| 2025 | +97 |
Florence, a sparsely populated county in Wisconsin's Northwoods, recorded a nearly 50-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest gaps in a state that has repeatedly decided on razor-thin statewide margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 77.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.8 points.
A population of 4,646, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,086 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ontonagon County and Warren County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Florence County, Wisconsin. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/55037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.