HarrisDemocratic34.2%1,313TrumpRepublican64.5%2,479KennedyIndependent0.5%18
R+30.4- Lead
- 1,166
- Total
- 3,841
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- 74.9%
Akashiccounty
Ontonagon County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.9% of 5,175 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic36.6%1,391TrumpRepublican62.0%2,358JorgensenLibertarian0.8%30
R+25.4- Lead
- 967
- Total
- 3,804
- vs nation
- R+29.9
- Turnout
- 75.2%
ClintonDemocratic34.3%1,176TrumpRepublican60.2%2,066JohnsonLibertarian3.7%128
R+25.9- Lead
- 890
- Total
- 3,433
- vs nation
- R+28.0
- Turnout
- 66.3%
ObamaDemocratic44.8%1,586RomneyRepublican53.9%1,906Goode,Ust0.6%23
R+9.0- Lead
- 320
- Total
- 3,539
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic50.6%1,966McCainRepublican46.9%1,823OtherAll other candidates2.5%96
D+3.7- Lead
- 143
- Total
- 3,885
- vs nation
- R+3.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.4%1,863BushRepublican54.0%2,262OtherAll other candidates1.6%67
R+9.5- Lead
- 399
- Total
- 4,192
- vs nation
- R+7.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic36.5%1,514BushRepublican59.6%2,472NaderGreen3.3%135
R+23.1- Lead
- 958
- Total
- 4,151
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.0%2,080DoleRepublican35.9%1,523PerotReform14.2%604
D+13.1- Lead
- 557
- Total
- 4,247
- vs nation
- D+4.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,8502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,3982024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sawyer County, WI · twin score 86.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.9%3,877 participants ÷ 5,175 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 64.8%–67.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,531 | 5,329 | 66.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,209 | 5,190 | 61.8% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,833 | 5,099 | 75.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,362 | 5,168 | 65.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,877 | 5,175 | 74.9% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
23 precincts · 3,841 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Ontonagon Township, Precinct 1Ontonagon Township, Precinct 1 | 495 | 915 | 20 | 1,430 | 34.6% | 64.0% | R+29.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Stannard Township, Precinct 1Stannard Township, Precinct 1 | 135 | 290 | 3 | 428 | 31.5% | 67.8% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -Greenland Township, Precinct 1Greenland Township, Precinct 1 | 130 | 283 | 8 | 421 | 30.9% | 67.2% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -Carp Lake Township, Precinct 1Carp Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 152 | 230 | 5 | 387 | 39.3% | 59.4% | R+20.2 |
| Precinct -Bergland Township, Precinct 1Bergland Township, Precinct 1 | 102 | 215 | 5 | 322 | 31.7% | 66.8% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -McMillan Township, Precinct 1McMillan Township, Precinct 1 | 105 | 176 | 1 | 282 | 37.2% | 62.4% | R+25.2 |
| Precinct -Interior Township, Precinct 1Interior Township, Precinct 1 | 60 | 130 | 2 | 192 | 31.3% | 67.7% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -Rockland Township, Precinct 1Rockland Township, Precinct 1 | 37 | 97 | 1 | 135 | 27.4% | 71.9% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -Haight Township, Precinct 1Haight Township, Precinct 1 | 54 | 78 | 0 | 132 | 40.9% | 59.1% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct -Matchwood Township, Precinct 1Matchwood Township, Precinct 1 | 24 | 38 | 0 | 62 | 38.7% | 61.3% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -Bohemia Township, Precinct 1Bohemia Township, Precinct 1 | 19 | 27 | 4 | 50 | 38.0% | 54.0% | R+16.0 |
| 1310764000001131-07640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1310946000001131-09460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1310946000002131-09460-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1311352000001131-13520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1313500000001131-35000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1313596000001131-35960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1314076000001131-40760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1315046000001131-50460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1315232000001131-52320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1316088000001131-60880-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1316914000001131-69140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1317618000001131-76180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +20.7% |
| 1896 | −28.3% |
| 1900 | −38.8% |
| 1904 | −56.7% |
| 1908 | −47.1% |
| 1912 | −20.6% |
| 1916 | −15.3% |
| 1920 | −45.2% |
| 1924 | −58.2% |
| 1928 | −25.9% |
| 1932 | +1.0% |
| 1936 | +19.3% |
| 1940 | +3.6% |
| 1944 | +3.5% |
| 1948 | −7.8% |
| 1952 | −16.0% |
| 1956 | −15.5% |
| 1960 | −1.3% |
| 1964 | +35.5% |
| 1968 | +3.4% |
| 1972 | −17.0% |
| 1976 | +11.4% |
| 1980 | −3.7% |
| 1984 | −2.4% |
| 1988 | +10.8% |
| 1992 | +20.8% |
| 1996 | +13.1% |
| 2000 | −23.1% |
| 2004 | −9.5% |
| 2008 | +3.7% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −25.9% |
| 2020 | −25.4% |
| 2024 | −30.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,661 |
| 2018 | 5,555 |
| 2020 | 5,763 |
| 2022 | 5,688 |
| 2024 | 5,794 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+26 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −41 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,983 in average income, against $56,438 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −85 |
| 2012 | −162 |
| 2013 | −44 |
| 2014 | −67 |
| 2015 | −73 |
| 2016 | −32 |
| 2017 | +23 |
| 2018 | −3 |
| 2019 | −5 |
| 2021 | +168 |
| 2022 | +113 |
| 2023 | +51 |
| 2024 | +49 |
| 2025 | +26 |
Ontonagon's population has fallen by more than half since 1960, and its heavily rural, resource-economy roots correlate with some of the widest Republican presidential margins in Michigan, reaching R+30 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 58.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.4 points.
A population of 5,850, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,398 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sawyer County and Burnett County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Sawyer County
Wisconsin
86.7twin score
2004–2008 trajectoryelasticity% Evangelical≠ median age
Burnett County
Wisconsin
85.2twin score
median age2008 margin% Evangelical≠ Norwegian ancestry
Florence County
Wisconsin
83.3twin score
median agepopulation scaleelasticity≠ % unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ontonagon County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Ontonagon County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ontonagon County, Michigan voted Republican by 30.4 points (R+30.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,841 votes cast, 1,313 went Democratic and 2,479 went Republican.
When did Ontonagon County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ontonagon County, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Ontonagon County, Michigan?
Ontonagon County, Michigan has a population of 5,850 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ontonagon County, Michigan?
Median household income in Ontonagon County, Michigan is $54,398 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Ontonagon County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ontonagon County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.