- Lead
- 6,313
- Total
- 13,184
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Osceola County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 17,973 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,714
- Total
- 12,329
- vs nation
- R+50.8
- Turnout
- 68.9%
- Lead
- 4,631
- Total
- 10,609
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Turnout
- 61.1%
- Lead
- 2,160
- Total
- 10,278
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,118
- Total
- 11,026
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,132
- Total
- 11,188
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,674
- Total
- 9,930
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 230
- Total
- 9,090
- vs nation
- R+6.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,2272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,2672024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+2.5 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.8 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oscoda County, MI · twin score 86.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.8%13,262 participants ÷ 17,973 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.0 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.8%–65.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,766 | 17,634 | 61.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,536 | 17,863 | 53.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,402 | 18,009 | 68.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,458 | 17,765 | 58.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,262 | 17,973 | 73.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 13,184 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Hersey Township, Precinct 1Hersey Township, Precinct 1 | 310 | 885 | 17 | 1,212 | 25.6% | 73.0% | R+47.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Reed City, Precinct 1City of Reed City, Precinct 1 | 373 | 718 | 25 | 1,116 | 33.4% | 64.3% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -Richmond Township, Precinct 1Richmond Township, Precinct 1 | 279 | 755 | 12 | 1,046 | 26.7% | 72.2% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -Lincoln Township, Precinct 1Lincoln Township, Precinct 1 | 209 | 675 | 8 | 892 | 23.4% | 75.7% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -Marion Township, Precinct 1Marion Township, Precinct 1 | 207 | 652 | 15 | 874 | 23.7% | 74.6% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -Rose Lake Township, Precinct 1Rose Lake Township, Precinct 1 | 228 | 623 | 11 | 862 | 26.5% | 72.3% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -Burdell Township, Precinct 1Burdell Township, Precinct 1 | 192 | 624 | 8 | 824 | 23.3% | 75.7% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -Evart Township, Precinct 1Evart Township, Precinct 1 | 222 | 573 | 20 | 815 | 27.2% | 70.3% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -City of Evart, Precinct 1City of Evart, Precinct 1 | 216 | 500 | 24 | 740 | 29.2% | 67.6% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Le Roy Township, Precinct 1Le Roy Township, Precinct 1 | 168 | 548 | 12 | 728 | 23.1% | 75.3% | R+52.2 |
| Precinct -Sherman Township, Precinct 1Sherman Township, Precinct 1 | 123 | 507 | 10 | 640 | 19.2% | 79.2% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -Highland Township, Precinct 1Highland Township, Precinct 1 | 124 | 484 | 14 | 622 | 19.9% | 77.8% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -Osceola Township, Precinct 1Osceola Township, Precinct 1 | 133 | 462 | 5 | 600 | 22.2% | 77.0% | R+54.8 |
| Precinct -Middle Branch Township, Precinct 1Middle Branch Township, Precinct 1 | 120 | 406 | 13 | 539 | 22.3% | 75.3% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -Sylvan Township, Precinct 1Sylvan Township, Precinct 1 | 134 | 377 | 9 | 520 | 25.8% | 72.5% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -Orient Township, Precinct 1Orient Township, Precinct 1 | 114 | 339 | 6 | 459 | 24.8% | 73.9% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -Hartwick Township, Precinct 1Hartwick Township, Precinct 1 | 75 | 267 | 6 | 348 | 21.6% | 76.7% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -Cedar Township, Precinct 1Cedar Township, Precinct 1 | 99 | 244 | 4 | 347 | 28.5% | 70.3% | R+41.8 |
| 1331168000001133-11680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1331404000001133-14040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1332664000001133-26640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1332666000001133-26660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1333706000001133-37060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1333784000001133-37840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1333810000001133-38100-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1334712000001133-47120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1334772000001133-47720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1335168000001133-51680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1335366000001133-53660-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1336108000001133-61080-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1336128000001133-61280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1336782000001133-67820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1336844000001133-68440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1336976000001133-69760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1337328000001133-73280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1337776000001133-77760-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.3% |
| 1896 | −30.3% |
| 1900 | −47.3% |
| 1904 | −64.9% |
| 1908 | −53.4% |
| 1912 | −19.8% |
| 1916 | −25.6% |
| 1920 | −63.6% |
| 1924 | −63.4% |
| 1928 | −73.8% |
| 1932 | −12.0% |
| 1936 | −20.2% |
| 1940 | −46.0% |
| 1944 | −47.3% |
| 1948 | −40.5% |
| 1952 | −59.0% |
| 1956 | −57.0% |
| 1960 | −52.8% |
| 1964 | +2.0% |
| 1968 | −37.8% |
| 1972 | −43.1% |
| 1976 | −26.0% |
| 1980 | −27.6% |
| 1984 | −46.9% |
| 1988 | −29.0% |
| 1992 | −0.8% |
| 1996 | +2.5% |
| 2000 | −16.9% |
| 2004 | −19.1% |
| 2008 | −10.1% |
| 2012 | −21.0% |
| 2016 | −43.7% |
| 2020 | −46.3% |
| 2024 | −47.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 23.8%2,981 | 76.2%9,558 | 12,539 |
| 2020 | R | 23.3%2,757 | 76.7%9,059 | 11,816 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 17,350 |
| 2018 | 17,141 |
| 2020 | 18,464 |
| 2022 | 19,079 |
| 2024 | 19,714 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−57 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +347 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,654 in average income, against $58,517 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.1 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Osceola County, MI itself (R+47.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mecosta County, MI129R+30.0
- Wexford County, MI83R+34.6
- Lake County, MI49R+32.2
- Kent County, MI46D+5.4
- Missaukee County, MI27R+56.0
- Newaygo County, MI23R+42.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mecosta County, MI105
- Wexford County, MI69
- Lake County, MI56
- Kent County, MI36
- Missaukee County, MI35
- Clare County, MI32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −60 |
| 2012 | −205 |
| 2013 | −102 |
| 2014 | −122 |
| 2015 | −69 |
| 2016 | +3 |
| 2017 | +76 |
| 2018 | +90 |
| 2019 | +64 |
| 2021 | +311 |
| 2022 | +118 |
| 2023 | +78 |
| 2024 | +222 |
| 2025 | −57 |
Osceola County, a lightly populated stretch of central Michigan's Lower Peninsula, delivered a nearly 48-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—among the widest in a state that remains fiercely contested at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.5 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 73.8 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.9 points.
A population of 23,227, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,267 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oscoda County and Switzerland County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Osceola County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.