- Lead
- 2,302
- Total
- 5,192
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Turnout
- 77.7%
Oscoda County, MI
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.7% of 6,741 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,124
- Total
- 4,874
- vs nation
- R+48.0
- Turnout
- 77.7%
- Lead
- 1,799
- Total
- 4,092
- vs nation
- R+46.1
- Turnout
- 64.8%
- Lead
- 651
- Total
- 4,053
- vs nation
- R+19.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 433
- Total
- 4,328
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 778
- Total
- 4,409
- vs nation
- R+15.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 530
- Total
- 3,992
- vs nation
- R+13.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 107
- Total
- 3,725
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,4252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,5152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.4 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montmorency County, MI · twin score 94.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.7%5,238 participants ÷ 6,741 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 61.0%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 4,365 | 6,732 | 64.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,814 | 6,663 | 57.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,188 | 6,673 | 77.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,048 | 6,630 | 61.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,238 | 6,741 | 77.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 5,192 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Comins Township, Precinct 1Comins Township, Precinct 1 | 253 | 812 | 22 | 1,087 | 23.3% | 74.7% | R+51.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Big Creek Township, Precinct 2Big Creek Township, Precinct 2 | 261 | 688 | 10 | 959 | 27.2% | 71.7% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Greenwood Township, Precinct 1Greenwood Township, Precinct 1 | 233 | 585 | 6 | 824 | 28.3% | 71.0% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -Big Creek Township, Precinct 1Big Creek Township, Precinct 1 | 222 | 543 | 7 | 772 | 28.8% | 70.3% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -Mentor Township, Precinct 1Mentor Township, Precinct 1 | 245 | 517 | 8 | 770 | 31.8% | 67.1% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -Elmer Township, Precinct 1Elmer Township, Precinct 1 | 122 | 339 | 6 | 467 | 26.1% | 72.6% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township, Precinct 1Clinton Township, Precinct 1 | 78 | 232 | 3 | 313 | 24.9% | 74.1% | R+49.2 |
| 1350822000001135-08220-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1350822000002135-08220-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1351654000001135-16540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1351760000001135-17600-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1352550000001135-25500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1353520000001135-35200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 1355312000001135-53120-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −20.1% |
| 1896 | −64.3% |
| 1900 | −60.3% |
| 1904 | −74.4% |
| 1908 | −48.1% |
| 1912 | −13.0% |
| 1916 | −16.3% |
| 1920 | −69.5% |
| 1924 | −71.2% |
| 1928 | −73.1% |
| 1932 | −7.9% |
| 1936 | +3.8% |
| 1940 | −23.5% |
| 1944 | −29.8% |
| 1948 | −45.9% |
| 1952 | −61.8% |
| 1956 | −56.1% |
| 1960 | −43.8% |
| 1964 | +8.5% |
| 1968 | −30.4% |
| 1972 | −38.2% |
| 1976 | −16.2% |
| 1980 | −17.0% |
| 1984 | −40.1% |
| 1988 | −25.3% |
| 1992 | −2.9% |
| 1996 | +2.9% |
| 2000 | −13.3% |
| 2004 | −17.6% |
| 2008 | −10.0% |
| 2012 | −16.1% |
| 2016 | −44.0% |
| 2020 | −43.6% |
| 2024 | −44.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 27.9%1,360 | 72.1%3,516 | 4,876 |
| 2020 | R | 24.6%1,157 | 75.4%3,540 | 4,697 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 6,768 |
| 2018 | 6,768 |
| 2020 | 7,315 |
| 2022 | 7,662 |
| 2024 | 7,850 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+134 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +789 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,909 in average income, against $54,138 for residents who stayed — 13% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.1 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Oscoda County, MI itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oakland County, MI24D+10.6
- Montmorency County, MI23R+45.3
- Wayne County, MI20D+29.0
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +56 |
| 2012 | −6 |
| 2013 | −164 |
| 2014 | −7 |
| 2015 | −22 |
| 2016 | +3 |
| 2017 | +37 |
| 2018 | +35 |
| 2019 | +58 |
| 2021 | +182 |
| 2022 | +152 |
| 2023 | +229 |
| 2024 | +102 |
| 2025 | +134 |
Oscoda County's small, rural population and heavy reliance on forestry and agriculture have long correlated with lopsided Republican margins — the 2024 result continued a decades-long pattern of single-party dominance in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.4 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 8,425, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,515 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montmorency County and Crawford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Oscoda County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26135/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.