HarrisDemocratic29.5%16,338TrumpRepublican69.3%38,398KennedyIndependent0.5%282
R+39.8- Lead
- 22,060
- Total
- 55,439
- vs nation
- R+38.3
- Turnout
- 79.5%
Akashiccounty
Lapeer County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.5% of 70,087 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic31.1%16,367TrumpRepublican67.4%35,482JorgensenLibertarian1.1%573
R+36.3- Lead
- 19,115
- Total
- 52,650
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Turnout
- 77.1%
ClintonDemocratic28.2%12,734TrumpRepublican66.5%30,037JohnsonLibertarian3.8%1,730
R+38.3- Lead
- 17,303
- Total
- 45,183
- vs nation
- R+40.4
- Turnout
- 67.5%
ObamaDemocratic43.6%18,796RomneyRepublican55.0%23,734Goode,Ust0.6%249
R+11.5- Lead
- 4,938
- Total
- 43,115
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic47.3%21,457McCainRepublican50.3%22,831OtherAll other candidates2.4%1,074
R+3.0- Lead
- 1,374
- Total
- 45,362
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.0%18,086BushRepublican57.9%25,556OtherAll other candidates1.1%505
R+16.9- Lead
- 7,470
- Total
- 44,147
- vs nation
- R+14.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic42.3%15,749BushRepublican54.7%20,351NaderGreen2.1%794
R+12.4- Lead
- 4,602
- Total
- 37,234
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.6%14,308DoleRepublican40.7%13,369PerotReform14.6%4,793
D+2.9- Lead
- 939
- Total
- 32,841
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 88,8372024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,3062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Clair County, MI · twin score 93.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.5%55,697 participants ÷ 70,087 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.0%–68.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 45,803 | 67,837 | 67.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 39,888 | 68,237 | 58.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 52,948 | 68,637 | 77.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 44,198 | 69,384 | 63.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 55,697 | 70,087 | 79.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
71 precincts · 55,439 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Dryden Township, Precinct 1Dryden Township, Precinct 1 | 876 | 2,522 | 34 | 3,432 | 25.5% | 73.5% | R+48.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Hadley Township, Precinct 1Hadley Township, Precinct 1 | 1,043 | 2,217 | 38 | 3,298 | 31.6% | 67.2% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -Almont Township, Precinct 2Almont Township, Precinct 2 | 706 | 1,842 | 30 | 2,578 | 27.4% | 71.5% | R+44.1 |
| Precinct -City of Lapeer, Precinct 1City of Lapeer, Precinct 1 | 938 | 1,399 | 31 | 2,368 | 39.6% | 59.1% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -Arcadia Township, Precinct 1Arcadia Township, Precinct 1 | 502 | 1,515 | 37 | 2,054 | 24.4% | 73.8% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -Lapeer Township, Precinct 2Lapeer Township, Precinct 2 | 660 | 1,358 | 20 | 2,038 | 32.4% | 66.6% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -North Branch Township, Precinct 1North Branch Township, Precinct 1 | 498 | 1,503 | 28 | 2,029 | 24.5% | 74.1% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -Imlay Township, Precinct 1Imlay Township, Precinct 1 | 451 | 1,491 | 31 | 1,973 | 22.9% | 75.6% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -City of Lapeer, Precinct 2City of Lapeer, Precinct 2 | 782 | 1,156 | 33 | 1,971 | 39.7% | 58.7% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -Almont Township, Precinct 1Almont Township, Precinct 1 | 486 | 1,418 | 27 | 1,931 | 25.2% | 73.4% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -Oregon Township, Precinct 2Oregon Township, Precinct 2 | 700 | 1,157 | 24 | 1,881 | 37.2% | 61.5% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -Oregon Township, Precinct 1Oregon Township, Precinct 1 | 604 | 1,248 | 27 | 1,879 | 32.1% | 66.4% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -Mayfield Township, Precinct 3Mayfield Township, Precinct 3 | 595 | 1,201 | 21 | 1,817 | 32.7% | 66.1% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 2Deerfield Township, Precinct 2 | 504 | 1,262 | 20 | 1,786 | 28.2% | 70.7% | R+42.4 |
| Precinct -Metamora Township, Precinct 1Metamora Township, Precinct 1 | 530 | 1,207 | 24 | 1,761 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Mayfield Township, Precinct 1Mayfield Township, Precinct 1 | 526 | 1,182 | 24 | 1,732 | 30.4% | 68.2% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 1Deerfield Township, Precinct 1 | 424 | 1,254 | 24 | 1,702 | 24.9% | 73.7% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -Attica Township, Precinct 2Attica Township, Precinct 2 | 430 | 1,227 | 25 | 1,682 | 25.6% | 72.9% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -Marathon Township, Precinct 1Marathon Township, Precinct 1 | 477 | 1,018 | 22 | 1,517 | 31.4% | 67.1% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -Attica Township, Precinct 1Attica Township, Precinct 1 | 375 | 1,114 | 14 | 1,503 | 25.0% | 74.1% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -Metamora Township, Precinct 2Metamora Township, Precinct 2 | 453 | 962 | 17 | 1,432 | 31.6% | 67.2% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -Elba Township, Precinct 3Elba Township, Precinct 3 | 385 | 1,012 | 12 | 1,409 | 27.3% | 71.8% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -Mayfield Township, Precinct 2Mayfield Township, Precinct 2 | 472 | 850 | 15 | 1,337 | 35.3% | 63.6% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -Lapeer Township, Precinct 1Lapeer Township, Precinct 1 | 379 | 867 | 20 | 1,266 | 29.9% | 68.5% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -Elba Township, Precinct 2Elba Township, Precinct 2 | 444 | 778 | 6 | 1,228 | 36.2% | 63.4% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -Marathon Township, Precinct 2Marathon Township, Precinct 2 | 363 | 846 | 12 | 1,221 | 29.7% | 69.3% | R+39.6 |
| Precinct -Goodland Township, Precinct 1Goodland Township, Precinct 1 | 237 | 927 | 11 | 1,175 | 20.2% | 78.9% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -Burnside Township, Precinct 1Burnside Township, Precinct 1 | 169 | 880 | 15 | 1,064 | 15.9% | 82.7% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -City of Imlay City, Precinct 2City of Imlay City, Precinct 2 | 399 | 583 | 13 | 995 | 40.1% | 58.6% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -Elba Township, Precinct 1Elba Township, Precinct 1 | 308 | 607 | 15 | 930 | 33.1% | 65.3% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -Rich Township, Precinct 1Rich Township, Precinct 1 | 198 | 710 | 15 | 923 | 21.5% | 76.9% | R+55.5 |
| Precinct -Burlington Township, Precinct 1Burlington Township, Precinct 1 | 174 | 678 | 12 | 864 | 20.1% | 78.5% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -City of Imlay City, Precinct 1City of Imlay City, Precinct 1 | 250 | 407 | 6 | 663 | 37.7% | 61.4% | R+23.7 |
| 0870168000001087-01680-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0870168000002087-01680-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0870328000001087-03280-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0870404000001087-04040-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0870404000002087-04040-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0871118000001087-11180-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0871184000001087-11840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0871190000001087-11900-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872116000001087-21160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872116000002087-21160-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872316000001087-23160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872316000002087-23160-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872516000001087-25160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872516000002087-25160-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0872516000003087-25160-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0873296000001087-32960-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0873584000001087-35840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0873584000002087-35840-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874030000001087-40300-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874032000001087-40320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874032000002087-40320-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874604001001087-46040-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874604001002087-46040-01002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874604001003087-46040-01003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874604001004087-46040-01004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874606000001087-46060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0874606000002087-46060-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875142000001087-51420-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875142000002087-51420-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875250000001087-52500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875250000002087-52500-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875250000003087-52500-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875336000001087-53360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875336000002087-53360-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0875809000001087-58090-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0876106000001087-61060-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0876106000002087-61060-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0876816000001087-68160-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.7% |
| 1896 | −10.5% |
| 1900 | −24.1% |
| 1904 | −42.2% |
| 1908 | −33.0% |
| 1912 | −9.8% |
| 1916 | −26.0% |
| 1920 | −60.1% |
| 1924 | −71.3% |
| 1928 | −66.1% |
| 1932 | −6.0% |
| 1936 | −13.0% |
| 1940 | −40.0% |
| 1944 | −44.1% |
| 1948 | −27.7% |
| 1952 | −46.1% |
| 1956 | −45.7% |
| 1960 | −34.4% |
| 1964 | +17.7% |
| 1968 | −22.7% |
| 1972 | −34.6% |
| 1976 | −12.8% |
| 1980 | −22.5% |
| 1984 | −42.0% |
| 1988 | −21.4% |
| 1992 | −1.0% |
| 1996 | +2.9% |
| 2000 | −12.4% |
| 2004 | −16.9% |
| 2008 | −3.0% |
| 2012 | −11.5% |
| 2016 | −38.3% |
| 2020 | −36.3% |
| 2024 | −39.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 66,834 |
| 2018 | 66,901 |
| 2020 | 72,188 |
| 2022 | 73,494 |
| 2024 | 75,355 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+383 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,360 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,696 in average income, against $74,818 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.4 on average — 34 points more Democratic-leaning than Lapeer County, MI itself (R+39.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Oakland County, MI481D+10.6
- Genesee County, MI422D+4.2
- Macomb County, MI413R+13.7
- St. Clair County, MI103R+34.6
- Tuscola County, MI100R+43.0
- Sanilac County, MI81R+47.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Genesee County, MI493
- Oakland County, MI354
- Macomb County, MI285
- St. Clair County, MI120
- Tuscola County, MI119
- Sanilac County, MI82
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −193 |
| 2012 | −76 |
| 2013 | +5 |
| 2014 | −135 |
| 2015 | +153 |
| 2016 | −174 |
| 2017 | +81 |
| 2018 | −95 |
| 2019 | −183 |
| 2021 | +329 |
| 2022 | +344 |
| 2023 | +576 |
| 2024 | +345 |
| 2025 | +383 |
Lapeer County, anchored by its small county-seat city of the same name, has moved steadily toward lopsided Republican margins over two decades as its largely white, working-class exurban population pulled away from the Detroit metro's political orbit.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 71.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.8 points.
A population of 88,837, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,306 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Clair County and Sanilac County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
St. Clair County
Michigan
93.3twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% White≠ Polish ancestry
Sanilac County
Michigan
90.6twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% unaffiliated≠ median income
Tuscola County
Michigan
87.8twin score
12-yr trendPolish ancestry% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lapeer County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lapeer County
Michigan at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Lapeer County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lapeer County, Michigan voted Republican by 39.8 points (R+39.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 55,439 votes cast, 16,338 went Democratic and 38,398 went Republican.
When did Lapeer County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lapeer County, Michigan voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lapeer County, Michigan?
Lapeer County, Michigan has a population of 88,837 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lapeer County, Michigan?
Median household income in Lapeer County, Michigan is $77,306 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Lapeer County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lapeer County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.