HarrisDemocratic53.2%9,406TrumpRepublican45.4%8,035KennedyIndependent0.5%86
D+7.8- Lead
- 1,371
- Total
- 17,685
- vs nation
- D+9.2
- Turnout
- 93.2%
Akashiccounty
Leelanau County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 93.2% of 19,126 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic52.0%8,795TrumpRepublican46.8%7,916JorgensenLibertarian0.8%134
D+5.2- Lead
- 879
- Total
- 16,900
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- 95.0%
ClintonDemocratic45.5%6,774TrumpRepublican48.6%7,239JohnsonLibertarian3.4%510
R+3.1- Lead
- 465
- Total
- 14,892
- vs nation
- R+5.2
- Turnout
- 84.8%
ObamaDemocratic46.2%6,576RomneyRepublican52.6%7,483SteinGreen0.4%59
R+6.4- Lead
- 907
- Total
- 14,219
- vs nation
- R+10.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic50.9%7,355McCainRepublican48.0%6,938OtherAll other candidates1.2%171
D+2.9- Lead
- 417
- Total
- 14,464
- vs nation
- R+4.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic43.5%6,048BushRepublican55.6%7,733OtherAll other candidates1.0%136
R+12.1- Lead
- 1,685
- Total
- 13,917
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.6%4,635BushRepublican57.0%6,840NaderGreen3.8%456
R+18.4- Lead
- 2,205
- Total
- 12,009
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.3%4,019DoleRepublican50.4%5,155PerotReform9.0%924
R+11.1- Lead
- 1,136
- Total
- 10,237
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+7.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 22,7342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $99,4222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+7.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Emmet County, MI · twin score 92.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 93.2%17,834 participants ÷ 19,126 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 81.1%–85.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,047 | 17,739 | 84.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,362 | 17,738 | 81.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,013 | 17,915 | 95.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 15,578 | 18,810 | 82.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,834 | 19,126 | 93.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 17,685 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Elmwood Township, Precinct 1Elmwood Township, Precinct 1 | 1,218 | 1,019 | 25 | 2,262 | 53.8% | 45.0% | D+8.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Suttons Bay Township, Precinct 1Suttons Bay Township, Precinct 1 | 1,174 | 868 | 41 | 2,083 | 56.4% | 41.7% | D+14.7 |
| Precinct -Bingham Township, Precinct 1Bingham Township, Precinct 1 | 938 | 1,061 | 24 | 2,023 | 46.4% | 52.4% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct -Leelanau Township, Precinct 1Leelanau Township, Precinct 1 | 1,121 | 660 | 20 | 1,801 | 62.2% | 36.6% | D+25.6 |
| Precinct -Leland Township, Precinct 1Leland Township, Precinct 1 | 897 | 764 | 20 | 1,681 | 53.4% | 45.4% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -Elmwood Township, Precinct 2Elmwood Township, Precinct 2 | 707 | 638 | 19 | 1,364 | 51.8% | 46.8% | D+5.1 |
| Precinct -Kasson Township, Precinct 1Kasson Township, Precinct 1 | 518 | 646 | 25 | 1,189 | 43.6% | 54.3% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -Solon Township, Precinct 1Solon Township, Precinct 1 | 521 | 640 | 14 | 1,175 | 44.3% | 54.5% | R+10.1 |
| Precinct -Empire Township, Precinct 1Empire Township, Precinct 1 | 679 | 391 | 9 | 1,079 | 62.9% | 36.2% | D+26.7 |
| Precinct -Centerville Township, Precinct 1Centerville Township, Precinct 1 | 469 | 486 | 14 | 969 | 48.4% | 50.2% | R+1.8 |
| Precinct -Cleveland Township, Precinct 1Cleveland Township, Precinct 1 | 473 | 381 | 13 | 867 | 54.6% | 43.9% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -Glen Arbor Township, Precinct 1Glen Arbor Township, Precinct 1 | 467 | 304 | 10 | 781 | 59.8% | 38.9% | D+20.9 |
| Precinct -City of Traverse City, Precinct 4City of Traverse City, Precinct 4 | 224 | 177 | 10 | 411 | 54.5% | 43.1% | D+11.4 |
| 0890844000001089-08440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0891434000001089-14340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0891640000001089-16400-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0892570000001089-25700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0892570000002089-25700-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0892600000001089-26000-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0893238000001089-32380-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0894232000001089-42320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0894670000001089-46700-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0894682000001089-46820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0897450000001089-74500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0897762000001089-77620-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0898034000004089-80340-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −13.4% |
| 1896 | −32.6% |
| 1900 | −38.9% |
| 1904 | −53.9% |
| 1908 | −36.5% |
| 1912 | −15.8% |
| 1916 | −12.1% |
| 1920 | −66.8% |
| 1924 | −62.7% |
| 1928 | −25.4% |
| 1932 | +6.6% |
| 1936 | −4.4% |
| 1940 | −32.5% |
| 1944 | −37.0% |
| 1948 | −39.1% |
| 1952 | −49.0% |
| 1956 | −39.7% |
| 1960 | −20.2% |
| 1964 | +6.6% |
| 1968 | −26.5% |
| 1972 | −33.8% |
| 1976 | −26.5% |
| 1980 | −28.2% |
| 1984 | −36.1% |
| 1988 | −21.9% |
| 1992 | −5.4% |
| 1996 | −11.1% |
| 2000 | −18.4% |
| 2004 | −12.1% |
| 2008 | +2.9% |
| 2012 | −6.4% |
| 2016 | −3.1% |
| 2020 | +5.2% |
| 2024 | +7.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 52.5%9,038 | 47.5%8,165 | 17,203 |
| 2020 | R | 47.4%7,844 | 52.6%8,710 | 16,554 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,127 |
| 2018 | 20,150 |
| 2020 | 21,380 |
| 2022 | 21,661 |
| 2024 | 22,144 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+291 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,888 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $130,938 in average income, against $117,174 for residents who stayed — 12% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 6.3 points more Republican-leaning than Leelanau County, MI itself (D+7.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grand Traverse County, MI245R+1.7
- Benzie County, MI33R+8.7
- Wayne County, MI28D+29.0
- Oakland County, MI27D+10.6
- Kent County, MI24D+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grand Traverse County, MI252
- Kent County, MI44
- Benzie County, MI27
- Cook County, IL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −273 |
| 2012 | −12 |
| 2013 | +157 |
| 2014 | +189 |
| 2015 | +96 |
| 2016 | −98 |
| 2017 | +202 |
| 2018 | +125 |
| 2019 | +87 |
| 2021 | +488 |
| 2022 | +370 |
| 2023 | +223 |
| 2024 | +43 |
| 2025 | +291 |
Leelanau's blend of resort tourism, cherry farming, and an educated in-migrant population produces Democratic margins unusual for rural Michigan, where most similar counties trend sharply the other way.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 7.8 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 66.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 7.8 points.
A population of 22,734, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,422 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Emmet County and Grand Traverse County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Emmet County
Michigan
92.0twin score
12-yr trendPolish ancestry% unaffiliated≠ median age
Grand Traverse County
Michigan
89.8twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ median age
Talbot County
Maryland
87.2twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectorymedian age≠ Polish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Leelanau County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Leelanau County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Leelanau County, Michigan voted Democratic by 7.8 points (D+7.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,685 votes cast, 9,406 went Democratic and 8,035 went Republican.
When did Leelanau County, Michigan last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Leelanau County, Michigan voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Leelanau County, Michigan?
Leelanau County, Michigan has a population of 22,734 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Leelanau County, Michigan?
Median household income in Leelanau County, Michigan is $99,422 — above the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Leelanau County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Leelanau County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.