HarrisDemocratic37.8%20,787TrumpRepublican60.8%33,463KennedyIndependent0.5%283
R+23.0- Lead
- 12,676
- Total
- 55,016
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- 71.7%
Akashiccounty
Lenawee County, MI
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.7% of 77,203 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic39.2%20,918TrumpRepublican59.1%31,541JorgensenLibertarian1.3%690
R+19.9- Lead
- 10,623
- Total
- 53,375
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- 70.2%
ClintonDemocratic36.2%16,750TrumpRepublican57.1%26,430JohnsonLibertarian4.4%2,044
R+20.9- Lead
- 9,680
- Total
- 46,298
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- 61.2%
ObamaDemocratic48.5%21,776RomneyRepublican49.7%22,351Goode,Ust0.5%234
R+1.3- Lead
- 575
- Total
- 44,928
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic51.6%24,640McCainRepublican46.6%22,225OtherAll other candidates1.8%869
D+5.1- Lead
- 2,415
- Total
- 47,734
- vs nation
- R+2.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic44.2%20,787BushRepublican54.6%25,675OtherAll other candidates1.2%550
R+10.4- Lead
- 4,888
- Total
- 47,012
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic45.8%18,365BushRepublican51.6%20,681NaderGreen1.9%760
R+5.8- Lead
- 2,316
- Total
- 40,093
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic47.5%16,924DoleRepublican39.8%14,168PerotReform11.7%4,167
D+7.7- Lead
- 2,756
- Total
- 35,619
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 98,4152024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,5182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shiawassee County, MI · twin score 94.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.7%55,327 participants ÷ 77,203 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.1%–61.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 46,630 | 76,205 | 61.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 41,972 | 76,204 | 55.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 53,678 | 76,418 | 70.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 43,200 | 77,561 | 55.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 55,327 | 77,203 | 71.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
84 precincts · 55,016 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 1,387 | 1,430 | 44 | 2,861 | 48.5% | 50.0% | R+1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 2City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 2 | 1,372 | 1,316 | 50 | 2,738 | 50.1% | 48.1% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Woodstock Township, Precinct 1Woodstock Township, Precinct 1 | 614 | 1,587 | 34 | 2,235 | 27.5% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin Township, Precinct 1Franklin Township, Precinct 1 | 700 | 1,355 | 19 | 2,074 | 33.8% | 65.3% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -Adrian Township, Precinct 1Adrian Township, Precinct 1 | 808 | 1,241 | 20 | 2,069 | 39.1% | 60.0% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Rollin Township, Precinct 1Rollin Township, Precinct 1 | 635 | 1,321 | 21 | 1,977 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -Adrian Township, Precinct 2Adrian Township, Precinct 2 | 763 | 1,158 | 24 | 1,945 | 39.2% | 59.5% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -Blissfield Township, Precinct 2Blissfield Township, Precinct 2 | 724 | 1,181 | 20 | 1,925 | 37.6% | 61.4% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -Raisin Township, Precinct 1Raisin Township, Precinct 1 | 671 | 1,199 | 29 | 1,899 | 35.3% | 63.1% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 4City of Adrian, Precinct 4 | 877 | 810 | 32 | 1,719 | 51.0% | 47.1% | D+3.9 |
| Precinct -Raisin Township, Precinct 3Raisin Township, Precinct 3 | 650 | 959 | 24 | 1,633 | 39.8% | 58.7% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -Cambridge Township, Precinct 1Cambridge Township, Precinct 1 | 432 | 1,056 | 13 | 1,501 | 28.8% | 70.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township, Precinct 2Clinton Township, Precinct 2 | 688 | 752 | 24 | 1,464 | 47.0% | 51.4% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 6City of Adrian, Precinct 6 | 737 | 698 | 18 | 1,453 | 50.7% | 48.0% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -Raisin Township, Precinct 2Raisin Township, Precinct 2 | 564 | 867 | 16 | 1,447 | 39.0% | 59.9% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Cambridge Township, Precinct 2Cambridge Township, Precinct 2 | 504 | 852 | 18 | 1,374 | 36.7% | 62.0% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 1City of Adrian, Precinct 1 | 800 | 552 | 17 | 1,369 | 58.4% | 40.3% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -Tecumseh Township, Precinct 1Tecumseh Township, Precinct 1 | 544 | 796 | 22 | 1,362 | 39.9% | 58.4% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 3City of Adrian, Precinct 3 | 690 | 598 | 25 | 1,313 | 52.6% | 45.5% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -Palmyra Township, Precinct 1Palmyra Township, Precinct 1 | 391 | 837 | 16 | 1,244 | 31.4% | 67.3% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -Madison Charter Township, Precinct 1Madison Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 511 | 706 | 22 | 1,239 | 41.2% | 57.0% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -Madison Charter Township, Precinct 2Madison Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 365 | 818 | 12 | 1,195 | 30.5% | 68.5% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Cambridge Township, Precinct 3Cambridge Township, Precinct 3 | 439 | 715 | 11 | 1,165 | 37.7% | 61.4% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 2City of Adrian, Precinct 2 | 621 | 514 | 27 | 1,162 | 53.4% | 44.2% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 5City of Adrian, Precinct 5 | 538 | 571 | 20 | 1,129 | 47.7% | 50.6% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -Rome Township, Precinct 1Rome Township, Precinct 1 | 254 | 831 | 6 | 1,091 | 23.3% | 76.2% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -Madison Charter Township, Precinct 3Madison Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 380 | 634 | 11 | 1,025 | 37.1% | 61.9% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -City of Hudson, Precinct 1City of Hudson, Precinct 1 | 321 | 681 | 16 | 1,018 | 31.5% | 66.9% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -City of Morenci, Precinct 1City of Morenci, Precinct 1 | 287 | 687 | 17 | 991 | 29.0% | 69.3% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -Dover Township, Precinct 1Dover Township, Precinct 1 | 251 | 683 | 12 | 946 | 26.5% | 72.2% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Hudson Township, Precinct 1Hudson Township, Precinct 1 | 246 | 675 | 11 | 932 | 26.4% | 72.4% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Fairfield Township, Precinct 1Fairfield Township, Precinct 1 | 250 | 646 | 15 | 911 | 27.4% | 70.9% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township, Precinct 1Clinton Township, Precinct 1 | 276 | 621 | 10 | 907 | 30.4% | 68.5% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -Macon Township, Precinct 1Macon Township, Precinct 1 | 245 | 646 | 14 | 905 | 27.1% | 71.4% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -Ridgeway Township, Precinct 1Ridgeway Township, Precinct 1 | 246 | 639 | 12 | 897 | 27.4% | 71.2% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 1Deerfield Township, Precinct 1 | 250 | 620 | 16 | 886 | 28.2% | 70.0% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Riga Township, Precinct 1Riga Township, Precinct 1 | 227 | 595 | 15 | 837 | 27.1% | 71.1% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -Ogden Township, Precinct 1Ogden Township, Precinct 1 | 143 | 448 | 21 | 612 | 23.4% | 73.2% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -Seneca Township, Precinct 1Seneca Township, Precinct 1 | 167 | 423 | 3 | 593 | 28.2% | 71.3% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -Medina Township, Precinct 1Medina Township, Precinct 1 | 142 | 428 | 2 | 572 | 24.8% | 74.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -Blissfield Township, Precinct 1Blissfield Township, Precinct 1 | 77 | 317 | 7 | 401 | 19.2% | 79.1% | R+59.9 |
| 0910044000001091-00440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910044000002091-00440-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910044000003091-00440-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910044000004091-00440-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910044000005091-00440-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910044000006091-00440-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910046000001091-00460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910046000002091-00460-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910902000001091-09020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0910902000002091-09020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0911272000001091-12720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0911272000002091-12720-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0911272000003091-12720-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0911650000001091-16500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0911650000002091-16500-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0912120000001091-21200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0912282000001091-22820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0912702000001091-27020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0913032000001091-30320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0913972000001091-39720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0913974000001091-39740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0915052000001091-50520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0915054000001091-50540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0915054000002091-50540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0915054000003091-50540-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0915282000001091-52820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0915550000001091-55500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916026000001091-60260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916224000001091-62240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916684000001091-66840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916684000002091-66840-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916684000003091-66840-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916854000001091-68540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916858000001091-68580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916934000001091-69340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0916936000001091-69360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0917244000001091-72440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0917912001001091-79120-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0917912001002091-79120-01002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0917912001003091-79120-01003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0917912001004091-79120-01004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0917914000001091-79140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 0918864000001091-88640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.9% |
| 1896 | −4.2% |
| 1900 | −6.7% |
| 1904 | −38.9% |
| 1908 | −16.2% |
| 1912 | +11.2% |
| 1916 | −6.1% |
| 1920 | −39.6% |
| 1924 | −51.2% |
| 1928 | −54.5% |
| 1932 | −2.3% |
| 1936 | −18.0% |
| 1940 | −40.7% |
| 1944 | −41.4% |
| 1948 | −36.8% |
| 1952 | −45.9% |
| 1956 | −45.6% |
| 1960 | −29.5% |
| 1964 | +19.2% |
| 1968 | −19.7% |
| 1972 | −26.4% |
| 1976 | −11.3% |
| 1980 | −20.6% |
| 1984 | −33.9% |
| 1988 | −16.4% |
| 1992 | +2.8% |
| 1996 | +7.7% |
| 2000 | −5.8% |
| 2004 | −10.4% |
| 2008 | +5.1% |
| 2012 | −1.3% |
| 2016 | −20.9% |
| 2020 | −19.9% |
| 2024 | −23.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.7%18,830 | 64.3%33,964 | 52,794 |
| 2020 | R | 38.9%20,435 | 61.1%32,072 | 52,507 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 73,564 |
| 2018 | 72,621 |
| 2020 | 79,214 |
| 2022 | 79,894 |
| 2024 | 81,670 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+201 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,981 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,057 in average income, against $69,526 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.8 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Lenawee County, MI itself (R+23.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washtenaw County, MI274D+44.4
- Wayne County, MI184D+29.0
- Monroe County, MI167R+27.1
- Jackson County, MI164R+21.3
- Hillsdale County, MI118R+51.4
- Lucas County, OH96D+12.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washtenaw County, MI241
- Jackson County, MI197
- Monroe County, MI166
- Wayne County, MI157
- Lucas County, OH132
- Hillsdale County, MI105
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −406 |
| 2012 | −553 |
| 2013 | −251 |
| 2014 | −193 |
| 2015 | −351 |
| 2016 | +91 |
| 2017 | −90 |
| 2018 | −304 |
| 2019 | +367 |
| 2021 | +90 |
| 2022 | −460 |
| 2023 | −431 |
| 2024 | +309 |
| 2025 | +201 |
Lenawee sits in Michigan's southeastern corner, blending small manufacturing towns with agricultural townships. Its R+23 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a decade-long rightward shift driven by working-class rural voters moving away from their ancestral Democratic leanings.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.0 points.
A population of 98,415, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,518 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shiawassee County and Jackson County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Shiawassee County
Michigan
94.0twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% unaffiliated
Jackson County
Michigan
88.1twin score
elasticity2000–2008 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ American ancestry
Gratiot County
Michigan
84.6twin score
elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lenawee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26091/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Lenawee County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lenawee County, Michigan vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lenawee County, Michigan voted Republican by 23.0 points (R+23.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 55,016 votes cast, 20,787 went Democratic and 33,463 went Republican.
When did Lenawee County, Michigan last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lenawee County, Michigan voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Lenawee County, Michigan?
Lenawee County, Michigan has a population of 98,415 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lenawee County, Michigan?
Median household income in Lenawee County, Michigan is $70,518 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Lenawee County, Michigan?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lenawee County, Michigan from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.