HarrisDemocratic42.4%218,681TrumpRepublican56.6%292,307OliverNonpartisan0.5%2,648
R+14.3- Lead
- 73,626
- Total
- 516,280
- vs nation
- R+12.8
Akashicmedia market
Toledo
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
12 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic43.8%230,855TrumpRepublican54.5%287,143OtherAll other candidates1.7%9,215
R+10.7- Lead
- 56,288
- Total
- 527,213
- vs nation
- R+15.1
ClintonDemocratic41.8%212,194TrumpRepublican50.5%256,708OtherAll other candidates7.7%39,249
R+8.8- Lead
- 44,514
- Total
- 508,151
- vs nation
- R+10.8
ObamaDemocratic53.1%275,021RomneyRepublican44.1%228,374OtherAll other candidates2.8%14,314
D+9.0- Lead
- 46,647
- Total
- 517,709
- vs nation
- D+5.2
ObamaDemocratic54.7%293,654McCainRepublican43.4%233,122OtherAll other candidates1.9%10,149
D+11.3- Lead
- 60,532
- Total
- 536,925
- vs nation
- D+4.0
KerryDemocratic48.7%258,515BushRepublican50.8%269,948OtherAll other candidates0.5%2,465
R+2.2- Lead
- 11,433
- Total
- 530,928
- vs nation
- D+0.3
GoreDemocratic47.2%214,535BushRepublican49.7%225,661OtherAll other candidates3.1%14,257
R+2.4- Lead
- 11,126
- Total
- 454,453
- vs nation
- R+3.0
ClintonDemocratic48.7%212,232DoleRepublican39.3%171,572OtherAll other candidates12.0%52,415
D+9.3- Lead
- 40,660
- Total
- 436,219
- vs nation
- D+0.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,053,3722024 5-year
- Population density
- 191 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 5,512 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,4092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Flint-Saginaw-Bay City, MI · twin score 89.1
presidential history
Party record book
Toledo · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.1%
243,369 votes · D+26.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 56.5%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
66.8%
185,133 votes · R+34.1
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 62.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
293,654votes
54.7% of the vote · D+11.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 275,021 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
292,307votes
56.6% of the vote · R+14.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 287,143 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
+13.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+16.9 · U.S. D+3.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +10.4 pts
Republican
Thomas E. Dewey1944
+28.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+20.6 · U.S. D+7.5
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · +27.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
On a multi-state Place, each row sums votes cast in the separate U.S. House races held inside the Place that year. It is a geographic vote total, not one contest or a seat tally.
Some U.S. House rows cover a contest held in only part of this Place — the votes are real, but the total is not place-wide because the rest of the Place had no such race that year.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 736,666 |
| 2018 | 748,352 |
| 2020 | 745,819 |
| 2022 | 740,423 |
| 2024 | 693,164 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−409 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −49,359 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4,708 |
| 2012 | −5,615 |
| 2013 | −4,538 |
| 2014 | −5,605 |
| 2015 | −5,171 |
| 2016 | −3,851 |
| 2017 | −3,656 |
| 2018 | −3,836 |
| 2019 | −2,987 |
| 2021 | −3,957 |
| 2022 | −2,116 |
| 2023 | −1,599 |
| 2024 | −1,311 |
| 2025 | −409 |
Toledo's media market spans northwest Ohio and reaches into southeast Michigan, blending industrial Rust Belt precincts with rural agricultural counties that together make statewide margins unusually sensitive to shifts here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.3 points.
A population of 1,053,372, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,409 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
89.1twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois
88.1twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Erie
Pennsylvania
76.8twin score
2004–2012 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Italian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/547/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Toledo
Frequently asked questions
How did Toledo, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toledo, Ohio voted Republican by 14.3 points (R+14.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 516,280 votes cast, 218,681 went Democratic and 292,307 went Republican.
When did Toledo, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Toledo, Ohio?
Toledo, Ohio has a population of 1,053,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, Ohio is $67,409 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Toledo, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.