Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Toledo
presidential margin
2008D+11.32012D+9.02016R+8.82020R+10.72024R+14.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+14.3
2024
median income$67,409U.S. $80,734 · OH $71,389
median age39.9U.S. 39.1
poverty rate13.8%U.S. 12.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)26.9%U.S. 35.6%
non-english5.1%U.S. 22.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German29.1%
Irish10.9%
English10.4%
African American†7.6%
African0.7%
Mexican5.9%
Puerto Rican0.7%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline10.3%
Black Protestant2.2%
Muslim0.8%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Toledo, Ohio

Akashic
ToledoTrumpR+14.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Toledo, OHA map of the constituent counties of Toledo, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Williams County, OH · R+48.2Lucas County, OH · D+12.6Wyandot County, OH · R+51.2Hancock County, OH · R+38.4Defiance County, OH · R+39.9Henry County, OH · R+46.7Wood County, OH · R+10.2Ottawa County, OH · R+25.1Lenawee County, MI · R+23.0Sandusky County, OH · R+30.9Fulton County, OH · R+42.4Seneca County, OH · R+37.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican56.6%292,307
Kamala HarrisDemocratic42.4%218,681
Chase OliverLibertarian1.0%5,292
D+60
R+60
12 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (12 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Toledo, OH — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Defiance County, OHRepublicanR+39.9
Fulton County, OHRepublicanR+42.4
Hancock County, OHRepublicanR+38.4
Henry County, OHRepublicanR+46.7
Lenawee County, MIRepublicanR+23.0
Lucas County, OHDemocraticD+12.6
Ottawa County, OHRepublicanR+25.1
Sandusky County, OHRepublicanR+30.9
Seneca County, OHRepublicanR+37.5
Williams County, OHRepublicanR+48.2
Wood County, OHRepublicanR+10.2
Wyandot County, OHRepublicanR+51.2
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
42.4%Harris218,681
56.6%Trump292,307
1.0%Oliver5,292
−14.3%
516,280
R
43.8%Biden230,855
54.5%Trump287,143
1.7%Jorgensen9,215
−10.7%
527,213
R
41.8%Clinton212,194
50.5%Trump256,708
7.7%Stein39,249
−8.8%
508,151
D
53.1%Obama275,021
44.1%Romney228,374
2.8%Johnson14,314
+9.0%
517,709
D
54.7%Obama293,654
43.4%McCain233,122
1.9%Nader10,149
+11.3%
536,925
R
48.7%Kerry258,515
50.8%Bush269,948
0.5%Other2,465
−2.2%
530,928
R
47.2%Gore214,535
49.7%Bush225,661
3.1%Designated14,257
−2.4%
454,453
D
48.7%Clinton212,232
39.3%Dole171,572
12.0%Perot52,415
+9.3%
436,219
D
40.7%Clinton194,509
36.8%Bush176,085
22.5%Perot107,654
+3.9%
478,248
R
44.5%Dukakis188,600
54.6%Bush231,445
0.9%Fulani3,726
−10.1%
423,771
R
38.6%Mondale171,458
60.5%Reagan268,955
0.9%Serrette3,967
−21.9%
444,380
R
37.7%Carter160,695
53.1%Reagan226,224
9.2%Anderson39,226
−15.4%
426,145
R
48.8%Carter198,919
48.9%Ford199,155
2.3%McCarthy9,220
−0.1%
407,294
R
40.6%McGovern161,877
56.8%Nixon226,814
2.6%Schmitz10,427
−16.3%
399,118
R
42.8%Humphrey163,208
48.0%Nixon183,170
9.2%Wallace35,266
−5.2%
381,644
D
63.1%Johnson243,369
36.9%Goldwater142,255
0.0%Hass60
+26.2%
385,684
R
42.8%Kennedy175,153
57.2%Nixon234,110
0.0%Byrd75
−14.4%
409,338
R
37.4%Stevenson142,478
62.6%Eisenhower238,272
0.0%Andrews74
−25.2%
380,824
R
38.7%Stevenson147,761
61.3%Eisenhower234,147
0.0%Hallinan117
−22.6%
382,025
R
45.1%Truman136,028
54.0%Dewey162,829
0.9%Thurmond2,828
−8.9%
301,685
R
39.7%Roosevelt129,464
60.3%Dewey196,748
0.0%Thomas111
−20.6%
326,323
R
41.2%Roosevelt141,304
58.8%Willkie201,920
0.0%Thomas71
−17.7%
343,295
D
49.7%Roosevelt154,013
41.6%Landon128,760
8.7%Lemke27,016
+8.2%
309,789
D
54.8%Roosevelt155,537
42.6%Hoover120,879
2.5%Thomas7,169
+12.2%
283,585
R
32.7%Smith90,555
66.8%Hoover185,133
0.5%Thomas1,361
−34.1%
277,049
R
22.0%Davis51,097
57.5%Coolidge133,441
20.5%La Follette47,538
−35.5%
232,076
R
35.4%Cox80,462
61.1%Harding138,939
3.5%Debs7,876
−25.7%
227,277
D
56.5%Wilson78,492
39.7%Hughes55,101
3.8%Benson5,221
+16.9%
138,814
D
44.1%Wilson52,352
19.2%Taft22,767
36.8%Roosevelt43,698
+24.9%
118,817
D
48.0%Bryan63,050
47.1%Taft61,962
4.9%Debs6,422
+0.8%
131,434
R
36.0%Parker43,649
58.9%Roosevelt71,304
5.1%Debs6,150
−22.8%
121,103
D
49.2%Bryan62,978
48.7%McKinley62,302
2.1%Woolley2,730
+0.5%
128,010
D
50.9%Bryan64,967
48.0%McKinley61,303
1.1%Palmer1,438
+2.9%
127,708
D
49.0%Cleveland51,208
45.5%Harrison47,534
5.5%Weaver5,793
+3.5%
104,535
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −14.3% in 2024.flipped R · 2016−14.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+3.5%
1896+2.9%
1900+0.5%
1904−22.8%
1908+0.8%
1912+24.9%
1916+16.9%
1920−25.7%
1924−35.5%
1928−34.1%
1932+12.2%
1936+8.2%
1940−17.7%
1944−20.6%
1948−8.9%
1952−22.6%
1956−25.2%
1960−14.4%
1964+26.2%
1968−5.2%
1972−16.3%
1976−0.1%
1980−15.4%
1984−21.9%
1988−10.1%
1992+3.9%
1996+9.3%
2000−2.4%
2004−2.2%
2008+11.3%
2012+9.0%
2016−8.8%
2020−10.7%
2024−14.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in ToledoTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 693,164 in 2024.187.1K374.2K561.3K748.4K693.2K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Toledo
YearTotal registered
2016736,666
2018748,352
2020745,819
2022740,423
2024693,164
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Toledo's media market spans northwest Ohio and reaches into southeast Michigan, blending industrial Rust Belt precincts with rural agricultural counties that together make statewide margins unusually sensitive to shifts here.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.3 points.

A population of 1,053,372, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,409 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Flint-Saginaw-Bay City and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Flint-Saginaw-Bay City
Michigan
89.1twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Scottish ancestry
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois
88.1twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryelasticity≠ Polish ancestry
Erie
Pennsylvania
76.8twin score
2004–2012 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Italian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/547/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Toledo

counties12
Defiance CountyFulton CountyHancock CountyHenry CountyLenawee CountyLucas CountyOttawa CountySandusky CountySeneca CountyWilliams CountyWood CountyWyandot County

Frequently asked questions

How did Toledo, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toledo, Ohio voted Republican by 14.3 points (R+14.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 516,280 votes cast, 218,681 went Democratic and 292,307 went Republican.
When did Toledo, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Toledo, Ohio?
Toledo, Ohio has a population of 1,053,372 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, Ohio is $67,409 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Toledo, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.