HarrisDemocratic37.0%8,866TrumpRepublican62.1%14,872OliverNonpartisan0.4%107
R+25.1- Lead
- 6,006
- Total
- 23,960
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Akashiccounty
Ottawa County, OH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 32,802 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic37.5%9,008TrumpRepublican60.9%14,628JorgensenLibertarian1.2%292
R+23.4- Lead
- 5,620
- Total
- 24,007
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- 73.6%
ClintonDemocratic36.5%8,285TrumpRepublican55.8%12,653JohnsonLibertarian4.2%957
R+19.3- Lead
- 4,368
- Total
- 22,678
- vs nation
- R+21.4
- Turnout
- 68.9%
ObamaDemocratic50.6%11,503RomneyRepublican46.3%10,538JohnsonLibertarian1.0%220
D+4.2- Lead
- 965
- Total
- 22,736
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic52.2%12,064McCainRepublican46.0%10,624OtherAll other candidates1.7%402
D+6.2- Lead
- 1,440
- Total
- 23,090
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.8%11,118BushRepublican51.9%12,073OtherAll other candidates0.3%68
R+4.1- Lead
- 955
- Total
- 23,259
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic47.5%9,485BushRepublican49.7%9,917NaderGreen2.2%432
R+2.2- Lead
- 432
- Total
- 19,968
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic49.3%9,321DoleRepublican37.0%6,991PerotReform12.9%2,438
D+12.3- Lead
- 2,330
- Total
- 18,888
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 39,9942024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,1012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.0 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+26.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jo Daviess County, IL · twin score 84.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.8%24,215 participants ÷ 32,802 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.0%–59.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,678 | 32,917 | 68.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 18,739 | 32,826 | 57.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,243 | 32,930 | 73.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 18,752 | 33,023 | 56.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,215 | 32,802 | 73.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
84 precincts · 23,956 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CATAWBA ISLAND 3CATAWBA ISLAND 3 | 351 | 617 | 5 | 973 | 36.1% | 63.4% | R+27.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -DANBURY 5DANBURY 5 | 276 | 576 | 9 | 861 | 32.1% | 66.9% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -HARRIS 1 (ELMORE)HARRIS 1 (ELMORE) | 327 | 478 | 9 | 814 | 40.2% | 58.7% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 2ALLEN 2 | 241 | 552 | 8 | 801 | 30.1% | 68.9% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -BENTON 3BENTON 3 | 240 | 537 | 5 | 782 | 30.7% | 68.7% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -PORT CLINTON 2APORT CLINTON 2A | 343 | 425 | 12 | 780 | 44.0% | 54.5% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -CATAWBA ISLAND 2CATAWBA ISLAND 2 | 251 | 523 | 3 | 777 | 32.3% | 67.3% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 4ALLEN 4 | 289 | 474 | 11 | 774 | 37.3% | 61.2% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct -CLAY 4CLAY 4 | 275 | 491 | 7 | 773 | 35.6% | 63.5% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -BAY 1 (PCS)BAY 1 (PCS) | 272 | 465 | 7 | 744 | 36.6% | 62.5% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -BENTON 2BENTON 2 | 221 | 502 | 10 | 733 | 30.2% | 68.5% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -SALEM 4SALEM 4 | 267 | 454 | 12 | 733 | 36.4% | 61.9% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -SALEM 5SALEM 5 | 250 | 478 | 5 | 733 | 34.1% | 65.2% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -CLAY 3CLAY 3 | 224 | 472 | 5 | 701 | 32.0% | 67.3% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -CATAWBA ISLAND 4CATAWBA ISLAND 4 | 257 | 437 | 3 | 697 | 36.9% | 62.7% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct -PORTAGE 1PORTAGE 1 | 238 | 449 | 9 | 696 | 34.2% | 64.5% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -DANBURY 1 (MARBLEHEAD)DANBURY 1 (MARBLEHEAD) | 298 | 380 | 4 | 682 | 43.7% | 55.7% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -CARROLL 1CARROLL 1 | 213 | 454 | 10 | 677 | 31.5% | 67.1% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -DANBURY 2DANBURY 2 | 326 | 344 | 1 | 671 | 48.6% | 51.3% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -PORT CLINTON 1APORT CLINTON 1A | 328 | 339 | 3 | 670 | 49.0% | 50.6% | R+1.6 |
| Precinct -PORT CLINTON 3APORT CLINTON 3A | 288 | 373 | 7 | 668 | 43.1% | 55.8% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -DANBURY 3DANBURY 3 | 229 | 424 | 2 | 655 | 35.0% | 64.7% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -CLAY 1 (GENOA)CLAY 1 (GENOA) | 262 | 366 | 4 | 632 | 41.5% | 57.9% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -PORT CLINTON 4APORT CLINTON 4A | 306 | 308 | 11 | 625 | 49.0% | 49.3% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -DANBURY 4DANBURY 4 | 241 | 361 | 4 | 606 | 39.8% | 59.6% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -ERIE 1ERIE 1 | 178 | 413 | 1 | 592 | 30.1% | 69.8% | R+39.7 |
| Precinct -ALLEN 3ALLEN 3 | 242 | 336 | 6 | 584 | 41.4% | 57.5% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -CARROLL 2CARROLL 2 | 194 | 380 | 4 | 578 | 33.6% | 65.7% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -PUT-IN-BAY 1 (PUT-IN-BAY)PUT-IN-BAY 1 (PUT-IN-BAY) | 254 | 307 | 4 | 565 | 45.0% | 54.3% | R+9.4 |
| Precinct -HARRIS 3 (WOODMORE)HARRIS 3 (WOODMORE) | 183 | 330 | 5 | 518 | 35.3% | 63.7% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -CLAY 2 (GENOA)CLAY 2 (GENOA) | 187 | 303 | 7 | 497 | 37.6% | 61.0% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -SALEM 2 (OAK HARBOR)SALEM 2 (OAK HARBOR) | 214 | 272 | 8 | 494 | 43.3% | 55.1% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -SALEM 3 (OAK HARBOR)SALEM 3 (OAK HARBOR) | 158 | 322 | 8 | 488 | 32.4% | 66.0% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -SALEM 1 (OAK HARBOR)SALEM 1 (OAK HARBOR) | 171 | 307 | 3 | 481 | 35.6% | 63.8% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -CATAWBA ISLAND 1CATAWBA ISLAND 1 | 160 | 290 | 3 | 453 | 35.3% | 64.0% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -HARRIS 4 (WOODMORE)HARRIS 4 (WOODMORE) | 112 | 333 | 3 | 448 | 25.0% | 74.3% | R+49.3 |
| 001 PORT CLINTON 1A39_39123123AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 002 PORT CLINTON 1B39_39123123AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 003 PORT CLINTON 2A39_39123123AAD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 004 PORT CLINTON 2B39_39123123AAF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 005 PORT CLINTON 3A39_39123123AAH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 006 PORT CLINTON 3B39_39123123AAI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 007 PORT CLINTON 4A39_39123123AAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 008 PORT CLINTON 4B39_39123123AAK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 009 ALLEN 139_39123123AAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 010 ALLEN 239_39123123AAO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 011 ALLEN 339_39123123AAM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 012 ALLEN 439_39123123AAP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 013 BAY 139_39123123AAT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 014 BENTON 139_39123123AAX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 015 BENTON 239_39123123AAU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 016 BENTON 339_39123123AAW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 017 CARROLL 139_39123123AAY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 018 CARROLL 239_39123123AAZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 019 CATAWBA ISLAND 139_39123123ABB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 020 CATAWBA ISLAND 239_39123123ABC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 021 CATAWBA ISLAND 339_39123123ABG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 022 CATAWBA ISLAND 439_39123123ABF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 023 CLAY 139_39123123ABO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 024 CLAY 239_39123123ABP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 025 CLAY 339_39123123ABH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 026 CLAY 439_39123123ABL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 027 DANBURY 139_39123123ACA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 028 DANBURY 239_39123123ABT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 029 DANBURY 339_39123123ABX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 030 DANBURY 439_39123123ABW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 031 DANBURY 539_39123123ABR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 032 ERIE 139_39123123ACC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 033 HARRIS 139_39123123ACH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 034 HARRIS 239_39123123ACJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 035 HARRIS 339_39123123ACE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 036 HARRIS 439_39123123ACG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 037 PORTAGE 139_39123123ACL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 038 PORTAGE 239_39123123ACM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 039 MIDDLE BASS39_39123123ACO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 039 North Bass39_39123123ACN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 039 PUT-IN-BAY 139_39123123ACQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 039 PUT-IN-BAY TOWNSHIP39_39123123ACP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 043 SALEM 139_39123123ACV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 044 SALEM 239_39123123ACW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 045 SALEM 339_39123123ACY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 046 SALEM 439_39123123ACU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 047 SALEM 539_39123123ACS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATER39_39123123ZZZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +29.3% |
| 1896 | +22.0% |
| 1900 | +19.7% |
| 1904 | +5.2% |
| 1908 | +20.2% |
| 1912 | +42.0% |
| 1916 | +29.9% |
| 1920 | −20.1% |
| 1924 | −19.6% |
| 1928 | −25.3% |
| 1932 | +30.5% |
| 1936 | +20.9% |
| 1940 | −10.6% |
| 1944 | −16.7% |
| 1948 | +4.8% |
| 1952 | −20.0% |
| 1956 | −26.0% |
| 1960 | −16.7% |
| 1964 | +26.1% |
| 1968 | −5.5% |
| 1972 | −19.6% |
| 1976 | +7.7% |
| 1980 | −11.2% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | −7.5% |
| 1992 | +6.8% |
| 1996 | +12.3% |
| 2000 | −2.2% |
| 2004 | −4.1% |
| 2008 | +6.2% |
| 2012 | +4.2% |
| 2016 | −19.3% |
| 2020 | −23.4% |
| 2024 | −25.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 29,606 |
| 2018 | 30,288 |
| 2020 | 30,442 |
| 2022 | 30,533 |
| 2024 | 30,695 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−21 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,072 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $75,884 in average income, against $82,964 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.2 on average — 21 points more Democratic-leaning than Ottawa County, OH itself (R+25.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lucas County, OH199D+12.6
- Wood County, OH136R+10.2
- Sandusky County, OH120R+30.9
- Erie County, OH78R+14.1
- Cuyahoga County, OH61D+31.4
- Lorain County, OH37R+5.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sandusky County, OH174
- Lucas County, OH150
- Wood County, OH138
- Erie County, OH106
- Cuyahoga County, OH51
- Franklin County, OH32
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +47 |
| 2012 | +4 |
| 2013 | −12 |
| 2014 | +20 |
| 2015 | −41 |
| 2016 | −126 |
| 2017 | +337 |
| 2018 | +336 |
| 2019 | −39 |
| 2021 | +136 |
| 2022 | +153 |
| 2023 | +128 |
| 2024 | +150 |
| 2025 | −21 |
Ottawa County sits along Lake Erie's western basin, where seasonal tourism and commercial fishing shape local economic life. Despite its small size, it draws outsized attention as a bellwether that has tracked closely with statewide Republican margins over recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 26.0 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.1 points.
A population of 39,994, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,101 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jo Daviess County and Erie County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Jo Daviess County
Illinois
84.5twin score
median age2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ Irish ancestry
Erie County
Ohio
82.6twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Jackson County
Iowa
82.5twin score
2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical% White≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ottawa County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Ottawa County
Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Ottawa County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ottawa County, Ohio voted Republican by 25.1 points (R+25.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,960 votes cast, 8,866 went Democratic and 14,872 went Republican.
When did Ottawa County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ottawa County, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Ottawa County, Ohio?
Ottawa County, Ohio has a population of 39,994 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ottawa County, Ohio?
Median household income in Ottawa County, Ohio is $76,101 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Ottawa County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ottawa County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.