HarrisDemocratic42.4%16,871TrumpRepublican56.6%22,493OliverNonpartisan0.5%205
R+14.1- Lead
- 5,622
- Total
- 39,749
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- 68.3%
Akashiccounty
Erie County, OH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.3% of 59,007 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.4%17,493TrumpRepublican54.9%22,160JorgensenLibertarian1.3%522
R+11.6- Lead
- 4,667
- Total
- 40,335
- vs nation
- R+16.0
- Turnout
- 69.5%
ClintonDemocratic41.7%16,057TrumpRepublican51.1%19,648JohnsonLibertarian3.2%1,225
R+9.3- Lead
- 3,591
- Total
- 38,478
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- 64.9%
ObamaDemocratic54.6%21,793RomneyRepublican42.5%16,952JohnsonLibertarian0.8%300
D+12.1- Lead
- 4,841
- Total
- 39,908
- vs nation
- D+8.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic55.9%23,148McCainRepublican42.1%17,432OtherAll other candidates1.9%795
D+13.8- Lead
- 5,716
- Total
- 41,375
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic53.4%21,421BushRepublican46.4%18,597OtherAll other candidates0.2%67
D+7.0- Lead
- 2,824
- Total
- 40,085
- vs nation
- D+9.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.6%17,732BushRepublican46.0%16,105NaderGreen2.5%872
D+4.6- Lead
- 1,627
- Total
- 35,015
- vs nation
- D+4.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic50.0%16,730DoleRepublican36.5%12,204PerotReform12.6%4,225
D+13.5- Lead
- 4,526
- Total
- 33,449
- vs nation
- D+5.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 74,5812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,9932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23.1 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.4 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Mahoning County, OH · twin score 89.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.3%40,282 participants ÷ 59,007 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 47.8%–51.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 38,478 | 59,313 | 64.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 31,056 | 58,994 | 52.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 40,783 | 58,663 | 69.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 29,332 | 59,762 | 49.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 40,282 | 59,007 | 68.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
125 precincts · 39,737 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #2PRECINCT PER TWP #2 | 445 | 661 | 12 | 1,118 | 39.8% | 59.1% | R+19.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PRECINCT MIL TWP #2PRECINCT MIL TWP #2 | 319 | 694 | 16 | 1,029 | 31.0% | 67.4% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN PPRECINCT SAN P | 460 | 526 | 8 | 994 | 46.3% | 52.9% | R+6.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #10PRECINCT PER TWP #10 | 363 | 601 | 13 | 977 | 37.2% | 61.5% | R+24.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BER TWP #2PRECINCT BER TWP #2 | 285 | 642 | 9 | 936 | 30.4% | 68.6% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT FLO TWP #2PRECINCT FLO TWP #2 | 288 | 630 | 7 | 925 | 31.1% | 68.1% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR TWP #2PRECINCT HUR TWP #2 | 366 | 541 | 13 | 920 | 39.8% | 58.8% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER TWP #1PRECINCT VER TWP #1 | 365 | 523 | 9 | 897 | 40.7% | 58.3% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR TWP #1PRECINCT HUR TWP #1 | 291 | 573 | 9 | 873 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #8PRECINCT PER TWP #8 | 321 | 485 | 13 | 819 | 39.2% | 59.2% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #1PRECINCT PER TWP #1 | 394 | 416 | 6 | 816 | 48.3% | 51.0% | R+2.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT GRO TWPPRECINCT GRO TWP | 196 | 592 | 9 | 797 | 24.6% | 74.3% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR APRECINCT HUR A | 316 | 465 | 7 | 788 | 40.1% | 59.0% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MAR TWP #1PRECINCT MAR TWP #1 | 245 | 517 | 2 | 764 | 32.1% | 67.7% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR TWP #3PRECINCT HUR TWP #3 | 280 | 464 | 6 | 750 | 37.3% | 61.9% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN GPRECINCT SAN G | 451 | 282 | 6 | 739 | 61.0% | 38.2% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR CPRECINCT HUR C | 294 | 422 | 7 | 723 | 40.7% | 58.4% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR EPRECINCT HUR E | 305 | 407 | 10 | 722 | 42.2% | 56.4% | R+14.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MAR TWP #3PRECINCT MAR TWP #3 | 250 | 468 | 4 | 722 | 34.6% | 64.8% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN FPRECINCT SAN F | 440 | 253 | 5 | 698 | 63.0% | 36.2% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN EPRECINCT SAN E | 406 | 277 | 4 | 687 | 59.1% | 40.3% | D+18.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #6PRECINCT PER TWP #6 | 283 | 398 | 5 | 686 | 41.3% | 58.0% | R+16.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN IPRECINCT SAN I | 422 | 255 | 6 | 683 | 61.8% | 37.3% | D+24.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #3PRECINCT PER TWP #3 | 303 | 365 | 7 | 675 | 44.9% | 54.1% | R+9.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT OX TWPPRECINCT OX TWP | 206 | 458 | 4 | 668 | 30.8% | 68.6% | R+37.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #7PRECINCT PER TWP #7 | 262 | 399 | 7 | 668 | 39.2% | 59.7% | R+20.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN HPRECINCT SAN H | 394 | 265 | 8 | 667 | 59.1% | 39.7% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN KPRECINCT SAN K | 392 | 260 | 5 | 657 | 59.7% | 39.6% | D+20.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR FPRECINCT HUR F | 307 | 340 | 8 | 655 | 46.9% | 51.9% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN BPRECINCT SAN B | 380 | 272 | 3 | 655 | 58.0% | 41.5% | D+16.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BER TWP #1PRECINCT BER TWP #1 | 233 | 406 | 5 | 644 | 36.2% | 63.0% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER 2-BPRECINCT VER 2-B | 262 | 366 | 10 | 638 | 41.1% | 57.4% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #9PRECINCT PER TWP #9 | 249 | 359 | 9 | 617 | 40.4% | 58.2% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT FLO TWP #1PRECINCT FLO TWP #1 | 212 | 400 | 3 | 615 | 34.5% | 65.0% | R+30.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN JPRECINCT SAN J | 343 | 237 | 9 | 589 | 58.2% | 40.2% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MIL TWP #1PRECINCT MIL TWP #1 | 194 | 391 | 3 | 588 | 33.0% | 66.5% | R+33.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER TWP #3PRECINCT VER TWP #3 | 202 | 383 | 3 | 588 | 34.4% | 65.1% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN NPRECINCT SAN N | 363 | 207 | 6 | 576 | 63.0% | 35.9% | D+27.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #4PRECINCT PER TWP #4 | 246 | 320 | 7 | 573 | 42.9% | 55.8% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR BPRECINCT HUR B | 278 | 289 | 5 | 572 | 48.6% | 50.5% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN DPRECINCT SAN D | 299 | 260 | 5 | 564 | 53.0% | 46.1% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER TWP #2PRECINCT VER TWP #2 | 178 | 383 | 1 | 562 | 31.7% | 68.1% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MIL VILLPRECINCT MIL VILL | 225 | 323 | 7 | 555 | 40.5% | 58.2% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN OPRECINCT SAN O | 277 | 272 | 6 | 555 | 49.9% | 49.0% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN CPRECINCT SAN C | 361 | 189 | 0 | 550 | 65.6% | 34.4% | D+31.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER 1-APRECINCT VER 1-A | 266 | 283 | 1 | 550 | 48.4% | 51.5% | R+3.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT HUR DPRECINCT HUR D | 217 | 320 | 6 | 543 | 40.0% | 58.9% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN MPRECINCT SAN M | 281 | 235 | 7 | 523 | 53.7% | 44.9% | D+8.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER TWP #5PRECINCT VER TWP #5 | 206 | 307 | 3 | 516 | 39.9% | 59.5% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER 3-BPRECINCT VER 3-B | 190 | 305 | 3 | 498 | 38.2% | 61.2% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER 3-APRECINCT VER 3-A | 205 | 279 | 8 | 492 | 41.7% | 56.7% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MAR TWP #2PRECINCT MAR TWP #2 | 149 | 334 | 1 | 484 | 30.8% | 69.0% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT MAR TWP #4PRECINCT MAR TWP #4 | 174 | 289 | 6 | 469 | 37.1% | 61.6% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN LPRECINCT SAN L | 274 | 177 | 11 | 462 | 59.3% | 38.3% | D+21.0 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER 2-APRECINCT VER 2-A | 184 | 258 | 3 | 445 | 41.3% | 58.0% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT CAST VILLPRECINCT CAST VILL | 144 | 277 | 4 | 425 | 33.9% | 65.2% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT VER TWP #4PRECINCT VER TWP #4 | 119 | 287 | 3 | 409 | 29.1% | 70.2% | R+41.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BER VILLPRECINCT BER VILL | 137 | 241 | 1 | 379 | 36.1% | 63.6% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT BV VILLPRECINCT BV VILL | 116 | 232 | 2 | 350 | 33.1% | 66.3% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT SAN APRECINCT SAN A | 92 | 233 | 4 | 329 | 28.0% | 70.8% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT KI VILLPRECINCT KI VILL | 122 | 155 | 2 | 279 | 43.7% | 55.6% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -PRECINCT PER TWP #5PRECINCT PER TWP #5 | 44 | 45 | 1 | 90 | 48.9% | 50.0% | R+1.1 |
| PRECINCT BER TWP #139_39043043ACF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BER TWP #239_39043043ACD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BER VILL39_39043043ACC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT BV VILL39_39043043ACO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT CAST VILL39_39043043ACP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FLO TWP #139_39043043ACG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT FLO TWP #239_39043043ACH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT GRO TWP39_39043043ACI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR A39_39043043AAA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR B39_39043043AAB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR C39_39043043AAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR D39_39043043AAI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR E39_39043043AAJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR F39_39043043AAE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR TWP #139_39043043ACK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR TWP #239_39043043ACL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT HUR TWP #339_39043043ACM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT KI VILL39_39043043ACN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MAR TWP #139_39043043ACQ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MAR TWP #239_39043043ACR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MAR TWP #339_39043043ACS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MAR TWP #439_39043043ACT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MIL TWP #139_39043043ACW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MIL TWP #239_39043043ACX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT MIL VILL39_39043043AEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT OX TWP39_39043043ADA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #139_39043043ADF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #1039_39043043ADO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #239_39043043ADB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #339_39043043ADM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #439_39043043ADE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #539_39043043ADN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #639_39043043ADC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #739_39043043ADD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #839_39043043ADH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT PER TWP #939_39043043ADJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN A39_39043043ADX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN B39_39043043ADY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN C39_39043043ADZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN D39_39043043AEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN E39_39043043AEB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN F39_39043043AEC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN G39_39043043AED | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN H39_39043043AEE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN I39_39043043AEF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN J39_39043043AEG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN K39_39043043AEH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN L39_39043043AEI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN M39_39043043AEJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN N39_39043043AEK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN O39_39043043AEL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT SAN P39_39043043AEM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER 1-A39_39043043ABV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER 2-A39_39043043ABX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER 2-B39_39043043ABY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER 3-A39_39043043ACA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER 3-B39_39043043ACB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER TWP #139_39043043ADT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER TWP #239_39043043ADU | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER TWP #339_39043043ADW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER TWP #439_39043043ADV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRECINCT VER TWP #539_39043043ADS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WATER39_39043043ZZZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +2.6% |
| 1896 | −7.8% |
| 1900 | −5.0% |
| 1904 | −21.5% |
| 1908 | −3.6% |
| 1912 | +9.1% |
| 1916 | +10.2% |
| 1920 | −28.0% |
| 1924 | −33.4% |
| 1928 | −15.6% |
| 1932 | +16.4% |
| 1936 | +18.7% |
| 1940 | −9.8% |
| 1944 | −15.8% |
| 1948 | −5.0% |
| 1952 | −30.7% |
| 1956 | −40.4% |
| 1960 | −15.9% |
| 1964 | +23.1% |
| 1968 | −6.1% |
| 1972 | −20.4% |
| 1976 | −3.0% |
| 1980 | −10.8% |
| 1984 | −17.1% |
| 1988 | −4.9% |
| 1992 | +5.8% |
| 1996 | +13.5% |
| 2000 | +4.6% |
| 2004 | +7.0% |
| 2008 | +13.8% |
| 2012 | +12.1% |
| 2016 | −9.3% |
| 2020 | −11.6% |
| 2024 | −14.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 38 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 53,103 |
| 2018 | 54,213 |
| 2020 | 54,129 |
| 2022 | 53,913 |
| 2024 | 54,260 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−135 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,237 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $56,648 in average income, against $72,845 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.2 on average — 1.9 points more Democratic-leaning than Erie County, OH itself (R+14.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lorain County, OH287R+5.7
- Huron County, OH264R+44.0
- Cuyahoga County, OH135D+31.4
- Sandusky County, OH114R+30.9
- Ottawa County, OH106R+25.1
- Franklin County, OH78D+28.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lorain County, OH319
- Huron County, OH301
- Cuyahoga County, OH149
- Sandusky County, OH142
- Franklin County, OH78
- Ottawa County, OH78
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −181 |
| 2012 | −135 |
| 2013 | −283 |
| 2014 | −213 |
| 2015 | −314 |
| 2016 | −215 |
| 2017 | −15 |
| 2018 | −116 |
| 2019 | −100 |
| 2021 | −236 |
| 2022 | −28 |
| 2023 | −252 |
| 2024 | −14 |
| 2025 | −135 |
Erie County backed Obama twice but has moved steadily rightward, posting a 14-point Republican margin in 2024 — a pattern common to Rust Belt lakefront counties where manufacturing decline reshaped the electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.1 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.4 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.1 points.
A population of 74,581, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,993 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mahoning County and Lorain County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Mahoning County
Ohio
89.8twin score
2004–2012 trajectory% Catholic≠ Italian ancestry
Lorain County
Ohio
89.3twin score
2000–2012 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Berkshire County
Massachusetts
86.2twin score
% Catholicmedian agepopulation scale≠ 2020 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Erie County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39043/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Erie County
Ohio at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Erie County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Erie County, Ohio voted Republican by 14.1 points (R+14.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 39,749 votes cast, 16,871 went Democratic and 22,493 went Republican.
When did Erie County, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie County, Ohio voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Erie County, Ohio?
Erie County, Ohio has a population of 74,581 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie County, Ohio?
Median household income in Erie County, Ohio is $71,993 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Erie County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Erie County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.